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Nottingham Forest
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Brentford
Prediction published on Apr 29, 2025 1:44 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on May 2, 2025 8:07 PM
After saying goodbye to their FA Cup final dream, Nottingham Forest now have a huge opportunity to climb to third place in the Premier League table and reignite their Champions League hopes, as they host Brentford on Matchday 34. The past weekend was bitter for Nuno Espirito Santo’s side, who fell 2-0 to Manchester City, missing their chance to end the season with a trophy. However, this setback shouldn’t distract the Tricky Trees from their Champions League race. A win over Brentford would allow Forest to leapfrog Chelsea, Manchester City, and Newcastle, claiming third place and moving just four points behind Arsenal. While morale might be low, grabbing all three points at home shouldn’t be too difficult for a team that has lost only one of its last ten home league matches. To make things more favorable, at least on paper, they face a Brentford side with no more real objectives this season, except finishing in the top half of the table by improving on their current 11th place. Thomas Frank’s men come into this match in good shape, fresh off a 4-2 win over Brighton and with only one loss in their last eight away matches. However, at this point in the season, motivation often makes the difference—and that edge clearly belongs to the home side.
Nottingham Forest are coming off a disappointing 2-0 defeat in the FA Cup semifinal against Manchester City, with goals from Lewis and Gvardiol. However, they bounced back in their most recent Premier League match, winning 2-1 away at Tottenham, thanks to first-half goals from Anderson and Wood, snapping a two-match losing streak (vs Aston Villa and Everton).
Nuno Espirito Santo’s side currently sits on 60 points, with 18 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses. They average 1.61 goals scored and 1.18 goals conceded per game. At home, before their recent 0-1 loss to Everton, they had an 11-match unbeaten streak across all competitions (8 wins, 3 draws). Chris Wood is the team’s top scorer with 19 goals.
In their last Premier League match, Brentford defeated Brighton 4-2, securing their third consecutive positive result after draws against Chelsea and Arsenal (0-0 and 1-1). Despite this recent form, the Bees are playing mainly for pride, as their 46 points don’t allow for any real European qualification hopes.
Thomas Frank’s side has collected 18 points away from home, with 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses. All five wins came in a row between January and March. In their last two away fixtures, they lost 2-1 to Newcastle (despite Mbeumo's equalizer, who has 18 league goals), and drew 1-1 at the Emirates Stadium against Arsenal, with a goal from Wissa.
From a motivational standpoint, Nottingham Forest clearly have more at stake. A win would send them into third place, overtaking three direct competitors in the process. Brentford, by contrast, are simply aiming to close out their season respectably.
The last five Premier League head-to-heads between these teams have seen 2 wins for Brentford, 1 for Nottingham Forest, and 2 draws. This time, though, Espirito Santo’s men need to play one of the matches of their season to keep their unlikely Champions League dream alive—a dream that seemed impossible just a few months ago.
Injuries and absentees: Nottingham Forest may still be without Ola Aina, while Brentford could miss Carvalho, Dasilva, and Konak.
Based on current form and motivation, the BetMines algorithm prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Brentford slightly favors the home team to win this Premier League clash.
Nottingham Forest (4-2-3-1): Sels; Williams, Milenkovic, Murillo, Toffolo; Dominguez, Anderson; Elanga, Gibbs-White, Hudson-Odoi; Wood. Manager: Nuno Espirito Santo
Brentford (4-3-3): Flekken; Ajer, Collins, Van den Berg, Lewis-Potter; Norgaard, Yarmolyuk, Damsgaard; Mbeumo, Wissa, Schade. Manager: Thomas Frank
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Nottingham Forest
Brentford
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