The upcoming Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Burnley at the City Ground promises to be a tense and decisive encounter in the battle for survival. With Forest sitting 16th and Burnley 19th in the standings, both sides are desperate for points as the season nears its conclusion. The hosts have shown signs of resilience in recent weeks, while the visitors continue to struggle for consistency. This fixture could play a crucial role in determining who remains in the top flight next season.

Nottingham Forest’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Nottingham Forest approach this match in good spirits after a 1-0 victory over Porto on April 16, a result that extended their unbeaten run to six matches across all competitions. In their last five outings, they have recorded three wins and two draws, averaging 1.6 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per game. This solid defensive record has been the foundation of their recent improvement.

In the Premier League, Forest’s season record stands at 8 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Their home form has been mixed, but they have become harder to beat at the City Ground, losing only once in their last six home league fixtures. However, scoring remains a concern — they have netted the fewest home goals in the division, just 14 so far.

Low-scoring games have been a recurring theme for Forest. Under 3.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 10 home Premier League matches, and three of those have even seen under 0.5 total goals. They have also drawn at half time in their last six home league games, underlining their cautious approach early in matches.

• Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.6 | Conceded: 0.6


• Under 3.5 goals in last 10 home matches


• Drawn at half time in last 6 home matches


• Fewest home goals in Premier League (14)

Despite injury concerns, the team’s morale remains high. Their recent European success has boosted confidence, and the home crowd will expect another disciplined performance to edge closer to safety.

Burnley’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Burnley come into this fixture under immense pressure after a 0-2 home defeat to Brighton on April 11. That result marked their 20th league loss of the season, leaving them with a record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 20 defeats. Their recent form paints a bleak picture — no wins in their last six league matches, with four losses and just one draw. During that run, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game.

Defensively, Burnley have struggled all season, conceding 63 goals — the most in the Premier League. Away from home, they have earned only nine points from 16 matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 11 defeats). The Clarets have also failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 16 away league games, conceding at least once in each of them. However, their matches tend to produce goals: over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 16 away fixtures.

• Last 5 matches: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats


• Average goals scored: 0.8 | Conceded: 2.2


• Over 1.5 goals in last 16 away matches


• At least 1 goal conceded in last 16 away matches


• Winless in 22 of last 23 league games

Burnley’s away record against Forest offers a small glimmer of hope — they have taken a point from each of their last three visits to the City Ground in league competition. Yet, given their current form and defensive frailties, avoiding defeat here would still be a significant achievement.

Nottingham Forest vs Burnley: Tactical Overview and Prediction

This fixture has all the ingredients of a classic relegation battle. Nottingham Forest will likely rely on their defensive organization and home advantage, while Burnley must find a way to rediscover their attacking rhythm. Both teams have struggled in front of goal, and recent trends suggest another tight, low-scoring contest.

Forest’s ability to grind out results has been key to their recent unbeaten run, while Burnley’s defensive issues continue to undermine their efforts. Given that both sides have seen a high proportion of matches finish with few goals, a cautious and tense affair is expected at the City Ground.

Historically, meetings between these two have been balanced, with the last head-to-head ending 1-1 on September 20, 2025. Across their last five encounters, Forest have one win, two draws, and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. With both teams fighting for survival, fine margins could decide the outcome once again.

Nottingham Forest vs Burnley prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 55% probability.