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Notts County
11:30 AM
August 15, 2026
Leicester City
Prediction published on Aug 13, 2026 2:08 PM by Dario in England - League One | Modified on Aug 13, 2026 2:08 PM
Notts County host Leicester City on August 15, 2026, in an early League One contest between two clubs adjusting to the division from opposite directions. Notts County earned promotion from League Two and are competing in the English third tier for the first time since 2015, while Leicester dropped out of the Championship last season. The current League One ranking places Notts County seventh and Leicester fourth. Recent results provide a sharp contrast: the hosts are without a victory in five matches, whereas the visitors have won three of their previous five. Those trends make this a demanding test for the promoted side, although Notts County’s resilient first-half record at home suggests the contest may remain competitive.
Notts County approach this fixture following a difficult sequence of results. Their last five matches produced no wins, two draws and three defeats, with an average of only 0.4 goals scored per game and 1.6 conceded. That combination highlights the challenge facing the Magpies: they need to create more in attack while becoming harder to break down at the other end.
Their preparations began positively with a victory over Alfreton, but they subsequently went winless across their final four friendlies, recording one draw and three losses. Results against stronger opposition exposed some of the difficulties they may encounter in League One. Their home league record at the end of last season also offered limited encouragement, as Notts County failed to win three of their final four such fixtures.
The Magpies most recently drew 1-1 with Burnley on August 8, 2026, before losing 4-3 on penalties in the first round of the Carabao Cup. Although the elimination represented another match without a victory, holding Burnley to a draw over the regulation period showed that Notts County can remain competitive against demanding opponents.
One of the strongest indicators in their favour concerns how they begin home matches. Notts County have not been behind at half-time in any of their last 17 home games. The pattern suggests they have regularly avoided giving visiting teams an early advantage. However, later stages have often brought more action, with at least one second-half goal recorded in 19 of their previous 21 matches. Maintaining their first-half resistance after the interval could therefore be crucial.
Leicester City arrive with the stronger short-term record. Across their last five matches, the Foxes have registered three wins, one draw and one defeat. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded during that run, giving them a considerably healthier balance than their hosts in both penalty areas.
Leicester endured relegation from the Championship, but their previous league campaign ended with three consecutive unbeaten results. That recovery continued through much of pre-season, when they won four of their final six outings while drawing once and losing once. They have consequently avoided defeat in nine of their last 10 matches stretching back to last season.
The visitors also opened their 2026-27 Carabao Cup campaign successfully. Leicester defeated Northampton Town 1-0 on August 8, 2026, securing progression through a clean sheet and a narrow victory. Compared with Notts County’s penalty-shootout elimination on the same date, that result gives the Foxes a more positive immediate platform for this League One meeting.
Corner statistics are another notable feature of Leicester’s recent games. More than 7.5 corners have been taken in each of their last 20 matches, while the total has exceeded 8.5 in their previous 18. The away pattern is even more pronounced, with over 10.5 corners in Leicester City’s last nine away fixtures. These figures refer to total match corners and indicate that their games have consistently produced substantial activity in that area.
The recent numbers point to two sides entering this game with very different momentum. Notts County have averaged 0.4 goals across their last five matches and have not won during that sequence. Leicester, by comparison, have scored four times as frequently on average over their own five-game sample and have conceded only half as many goals per match as the hosts.
Even so, the home side’s record of avoiding a half-time deficit in 17 consecutive home matches should not be overlooked. Notts County have repeatedly shown that they can stay level or move ahead during the opening period on their own ground. Leicester may therefore need patience, particularly if the Magpies reproduce the discipline that enabled them to draw 1-1 with Burnley.
The second half could become the decisive phase. A goal after the interval has occurred in 19 of Notts County’s last 21 matches, while Leicester’s stronger scoring average gives the visitors the recent attacking edge. If the hosts again keep the opening 45 minutes balanced, the ability of each team to manage the later stages may determine the result.
The latest listed head-to-head meeting finished 2-1 to Leicester City on July 9, 2022. The broader head-to-head summary records one Notts County win, no draws and one loss, with Notts County averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. With only two results represented in that summary, recent form offers a more substantial guide to this encounter. Leicester bring the better five-match record, but Notts County’s home first-half sequence provides an important counterpoint in what promises to be an intriguing League One fixture.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Notts County
Leicester City
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
3
7
6
4
2.5
7
3
7
3
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1