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Novara
0 - 2
FT
Cittadella
Prediction published on Oct 8, 2026 4:33 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone A | Modified on Oct 8, 2026 4:33 PM
Novara host Cittadella in Serie C: Girone A on Saturday, October 10, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 15:30 at the Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola. The visitors lead the standings after seven wins from eight league matches, although a 1-2 defeat to AlbinoLeffe last time out ended their perfect start. Novara, 11th in the table, arrive with a victory of their own and an opportunity to build on it against the league leaders. Cittadella’s stronger record makes this a demanding fixture for the home side, but both teams have a result to respond to: Novara will want to turn one win into sustained form, while Cittadella will look to show that their first setback was an exception.
Novara beat Dolomiti Bellunesi 2-1 away on October 4, ending a five-match sequence that otherwise contained two draws and two defeats. Across those five games, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their Serie C: Girone A record stands at two wins, three draws and three losses, with season averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.3 conceded.
The latest victory gives Novara a platform, but their recent numbers suggest they still need more consistency. Coach Manuel Iori, a former Cittadella figure, faces an opponent whose seven league wins already exceed Novara’s total of two. For the hosts, following up the Dolomiti Bellunesi result would be a significant step against the competition’s current leaders.
There is also an early-match pattern worth watching. At least one goal has been scored before half-time in each of Novara’s last 10 home league matches, while they have trailed at the break in six of those 10 fixtures. Across all venues, Novara have been behind at half-time in eight of their last 12 league games. Those figures underline the importance of a steadier opening period against a side that has frequently started well itself.
Cittadella lost 1-2 to AlbinoLeffe on October 3, their first league defeat after seven consecutive victories. Even with that interruption, they remain first in Serie C: Girone A with a record of seven wins, no draws and one loss. Their season averages are 1.8 goals scored and just 0.5 conceded per match, a combination that helps explain their position at the top.
Over their last five matches, Cittadella have won four and lost one, averaging 1.8 goals for and 0.6 against. The AlbinoLeffe result therefore stands apart from an otherwise strong recent run. They have scored at least once in each of their last 14 matches, so Novara will be facing a visiting team with a lengthy scoring streak despite last weekend’s defeat.
Cittadella’s games have nevertheless tended to stay within a limited goals range: each of their last 10 league matches has finished with under 3.5 total goals. They have recorded no draw in their last 16 Serie C: Girone A matches, and the same is true of their last 16 away league fixtures. Their first-half record is notable too, with Cittadella leading at the break in nine of their last 14 matches. A response to the AlbinoLeffe loss would preserve the momentum established by their opening seven victories.
The contrast in season records is clear: Novara have won two of eight league matches, while Cittadella have won seven. The supplied win probabilities give the visitors a narrow advantage at 39%, compared with 31% for Novara and 30% for the draw. Those figures reflect Cittadella’s stronger start without ruling out a competitive home performance, particularly after Novara’s victory over Dolomiti Bellunesi.
The early stages could be especially important. Novara’s run of first-half goals in home matches meets a Cittadella side that has led at half-time in nine of its last 14 games. That does not guarantee an open contest throughout: Cittadella’s 10-match under-3.5 sequence and their average of 0.5 goals conceded this season point in a different direction over the full 90 minutes. Novara’s recent scoring average of 0.8 goals per game adds another reason to consider how many chances they can convert.
The most recent meeting finished 0-1 on April 19, 2026. Across the head-to-head record supplied for Novara against Cittadella, Novara have two wins, one draw and two losses, with both sides averaging 1.4 goals scored per meeting. That balanced history offers less of a guide than the current league form, which favors the visitors. For this match preview, the central question is whether Novara can build on their latest win while limiting a Cittadella team that has scored in 14 straight matches. The visitors’ defensive average and their repeated under-3.5 results make a tightly scored game a credible prospect.
Novara vs Cittadella prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 62% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Novara
Cittadella
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
10
0
9
1