Tools
Novara
11:30 AM
November 15, 2026
Lecco
Prediction published on Nov 13, 2026 11:32 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone A | Modified on Nov 13, 2026 11:32 AM
Novara host Lecco in a Serie C: Girone A fixture on Sunday, November 15, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 11:30 local time. The match will be played at Stadio Città di Meda in Meda. The sides arrive with contrasting recent records: Novara are 14th after losing three of their last five matches, while seventh-placed Lecco are unbeaten across the same span. Yet the visitors’ stronger form does not settle the question of how this game might unfold. Novara’s limited scoring output and a goalless result in the teams’ most recent meeting offer a counterpoint to Lecco’s prolific run.
Novara enter the fixture after a 2-0 defeat to Treviso on November 8. Their last five matches have brought one win, one draw and three losses, with averages of 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Across their Serie C: Girone A campaign, they have recorded three wins, four draws and six defeats, scoring 0.9 goals per match and conceding 1.4. Those figures underline the challenge facing the hosts: they need to improve their results while finding goals more regularly.
Recent first-half results have also been difficult for Novara. They have been behind at the break in six of their last ten league matches at home and in 11 of their last 17 league fixtures overall. That does not mean the opening period has been without incident, however: at least one first-half goal has been scored in each of Novara’s last 12 home matches in Serie C: Girone A. They will be looking to turn that early activity into a better position against a visiting side with a strong half-time record.
Another consistent feature of Novara’s recent games is the corner count. Their last eight league matches have all finished with fewer than 8.5 corners, while each of their last five home league fixtures has produced fewer than 7.5. Those numbers describe a recurring pattern, although Novara’s scoring record is more central to the assessment of this match’s goals potential.
Lecco arrive after a 4-0 win over Juventus Next Gen on November 8. They have taken three wins and two draws from their last five matches, averaging 3.2 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per game. Their season record stands at five wins, five draws and three defeats, with averages of 1.7 goals for and 0.9 against. Compared with Novara’s recent figures, Lecco have offered considerably more in attack while allowing fewer goals.
The visitors have also been effective before half-time, winning at the interval in six of their last ten Serie C: Girone A away matches. Across all league venues, they have avoided trailing at half-time in 19 of their last 21 games. There is a notable detail alongside those results: at least one team failed to score in the first half in 29 of Lecco’s last 31 league matches. Their early leads, therefore, should not be mistaken for a pattern in which both sides routinely score before the break.
Lecco’s away matches have consistently featured a goal after half-time, with at least one second-half goal in each of their last 12 Serie C: Girone A away fixtures. That is a match-total statistic, not a record of goals scored by Lecco alone. It gives the visitors’ trips a clear second-half pattern, but does not by itself establish that this meeting will have a high overall score.
The form comparison favors Lecco: they are unbeaten in five, have just scored four against Juventus Next Gen and have conceded an average of only 0.6 goals across that five-match run. Novara, by contrast, have scored 0.6 per game over their last five and are coming off a match in which they failed to score. The contrast makes Lecco’s attacking form important, but Novara’s recent output raises the question of how much the hosts can contribute to the total.
The most recent head-to-head meeting ended 0-0 on March 15, 2026. The supplied head-to-head summary is evenly split at one Novara win, three draws and one Lecco win, with Novara averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in those meetings. Those figures do not erase Lecco’s current scoring surge, but they give this fixture a different context from the visitors’ latest results.
A low-scoring match remains plausible even with Lecco in strong attacking form. Novara’s difficulty finding the net, Lecco’s recent defensive record and the goalless last meeting all support a cautious view of the total goals. The first-half and second-half trends show that a goal can arrive in either period; they do not require a high final tally. That balance makes the overall goals market a more natural focus than assuming the visitors’ recent scoring average will carry straight into this fixture.
Novara vs Lecco prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Novara
Lecco
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
7
3
3
7
3.5
8
2
4
6
4.5
10
0
9
1