The upcoming Serie C clash between Novara and Union Brescia promises to be a tightly contested encounter between two sides with contrasting ambitions. Scheduled for Saturday, February 7, this match at the Piola Stadium will see the home team looking to bounce back from a disappointing derby defeat, while the visitors aim to consolidate their position near the top of the table. The travelling fans are expected to turn out in large numbers, adding further intensity to a fixture that already carries significant weight for both clubs.

Novara’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Novara enter this match after a narrow 1-0 loss against Pro Vercelli, a result that hurt not only because of the scoreline but also due to the emotional impact of losing a local derby. Despite that setback, their recent form has been relatively steady, with just one defeat in their last five matches (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss). The team has averaged 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded per game during this stretch, showing a balanced but somewhat conservative approach.

Across the season, Novara’s record in Serie C: Girone A stands at 4 wins, 15 draws, and 5 losses. Their tendency to draw matches highlights a side that is difficult to beat but often struggles to turn possession into victories. With an average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, they have been involved in low-scoring games, a pattern that could continue against one of the division’s most solid defensive units.

• Ranking: 15th in Serie C: Girone A


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat


• Average goals per match: 0.9 scored, 1.0 conceded


• Last head-to-head vs Union Brescia: 1-1 (September 25, 2025)

Playing at home, Novara will be eager to rediscover their attacking rhythm and give their supporters a reason to believe again. However, facing one of the league’s most consistent teams, they will need to show greater precision in front of goal to avoid another frustrating result.

Union Brescia’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Since the return of their current coach, Union Brescia have shown a remarkable improvement in both attitude and results. The visitors come into this fixture after a convincing 2-0 away win against Giana Erminio on February 2, a result that further strengthened their position near the top of the standings. Over their last five matches, they have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

In the overall Serie C: Girone A campaign, Union Brescia boast an impressive record of 13 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses. Their defensive solidity has been a key factor, with only 0.6 goals conceded per match on average. The team’s ability to manage games efficiently, especially away from home, has been reflected in several notable statistics:

• Under 3.5 goals in each of their last 20 league matches


• Under 1.5 goals at half time in their last 12 away fixtures


• Under 3.5 goals in their last 10 away matches


• Drawn at half time in 9 of their last 10 away games


• Under 0.5 goals in 2 of their last 10 away matches

These numbers underline a disciplined and pragmatic side that prioritises control and defensive organisation. Even when not at their best, Union Brescia have shown the ability to grind out results, a quality that often separates promotion contenders from the rest of the pack.

Novara vs Union Brescia Analysis and Prediction

Historically, meetings between these two sides have been tight, with the last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw. Both teams tend to favour cautious starts, and the data strongly suggests another low-scoring affair. Novara’s limited attacking output and Union Brescia’s defensive consistency point towards a match where chances could be few and far between.

Given that Under 3.5 goals has been a recurring outcome in Union Brescia’s recent fixtures, and that Novara themselves rarely engage in high-scoring games, the likelihood of a goal fest appears slim. The visitors, however, carry a slight edge thanks to their superior form and league position — currently 2nd compared to Novara’s 15th. Their ability to remain composed away from home could once again prove decisive.

According to the latest probabilities, Union Brescia are considered favourites with a 40% chance of winning, while Novara’s chances stand at 27% and the draw at 33%. In terms of goals, the Under 2.5 market is dominant with a 66% probability, and Both Teams To Score – No is favoured at 58%.

Taking all these factors into account, the most logical prediction aligns with a low-scoring match, potentially decided by a single moment of quality or a defensive lapse. Union Brescia’s consistency and Novara’s struggle to convert draws into wins make the visitors the more reliable pick.

Novara vs Union Brescia prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 66% probability.