Tools
Ñublense
5 - 0
FT
Cobresal
Prediction published on Dec 5, 2025 9:10 PM by Dario in Chile - Primera Division | Modified on Dec 5, 2025 9:10 PM
Ñublense will close a disappointing campaign this Sunday when they host Cobresal at the Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas. The home side, known as the “Red Devils,” have endured a tough end to the season, losing each of their last five league matches and failing to win any of their previous nine. This poor run has pushed them down to 10th place in the Primera División, far from the international qualification spots they once aimed for. With nothing at stake for Ñublense, the focus will be on finishing the year with dignity in front of their fans.
Ñublense come into this final fixture in one of their worst runs of the season. Their last victory dates back more than two months, and they have since collected five consecutive defeats against Audax Italiano, Huachipato, O’Higgins, Colo Colo, and Unión La Calera. In those matches, they averaged only 0.4 goals scored per game while conceding 2.0 goals on average. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 7 wins, 9 draws, and 13 losses, with an average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
Ñublense’s struggles have been particularly evident at home, where they have failed to score in their last two appearances. The lack of attacking efficiency has been a major issue, and the team’s inability to convert chances has cost them valuable points. Another notable trend is their low corner count — under 7.5 corners have been taken in each of their last five league games, reflecting a lack of sustained offensive pressure. With their league position already settled, this match will be more about restoring pride than achieving any tangible goal.
For Cobresal, this match carries far greater significance. The visitors are fighting to secure qualification for next season’s Copa Sudamericana, and a draw would be enough to guarantee their place. However, draws have been rare for Cobresal — none of their last 14 matches have ended level, with the team recording 8 wins and 6 defeats in that span. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with 4 losses and 1 win in their last five fixtures, but they did manage to bounce back impressively with a 3-0 victory over Colo Colo in their most recent outing.
Throughout the season, Cobresal have shown a solid balance between attack and defense, registering 14 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. They have also been strong starters, having led at half time in 9 of their last 12 away matches. Another consistent pattern is their attacking intent early in games — over 0.5 goals at half time have been scored in each of their last 12 away fixtures. In addition, Cobresal’s matches tend to be lively affairs, with over 7.5 corners recorded in 20 of their last 21 league games. These stats underline their proactive style and ability to create chances, even on the road.
This encounter presents a contrast between two teams with very different motivations. Ñublense will be looking to end a difficult season on a positive note, while Cobresal have everything to play for as they chase continental qualification. Historically, their head-to-head record has been balanced, with one win each and three draws in their last five meetings, including a 1-1 draw earlier this year on June 22.
Given Ñublense’s recent scoring drought and Cobresal’s need for at least a point, the match could develop cautiously in the early stages. The hosts have struggled to find the net, while the visitors have shown defensive discipline when required. However, Cobresal’s attacking rhythm and their tendency to score before the break could prove decisive. The visitors’ ability to control the tempo and exploit Ñublense’s defensive vulnerabilities might allow them to secure the result they need.
From a tactical perspective, Ñublense will likely rely on compact defending and quick transitions, hoping to catch Cobresal off guard. Cobresal, on the other hand, are expected to maintain their usual aggressive approach, pressing high and seeking to take advantage of set pieces and early scoring opportunities. The outcome may hinge on whether Ñublense can rediscover their scoring touch or if Cobresal’s motivation and superior form will prevail.
The most likely outcome is a Ñublense win (1) with a 53% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 22%, while a Cobresal win (2) stands at 25%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Ñublense
Cobresal
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
8
2
4
6
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
8
2