Tools
Prediction published on Dec 5, 2025 1:04 PM by Dario in Germany - 2. Bundesliga | Modified on Dec 5, 2025 1:04 PM
The Franconian derby returns with all its passion and rivalry as 1. FC Nürnberg host SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Sunday, December 7, in the 2. Bundesliga. This clash is not only about three points but also about regional pride and bragging rights. Nürnberg have recently managed to win two consecutive derbies for the first time since 1997, and they now aim to extend that streak in front of their home fans. However, their momentum was halted last weekend with a heavy 0-3 defeat away to Magdeburg, ending a six-match unbeaten run. Fürth, on the other hand, arrive in poor form and deep in relegation trouble, making this encounter crucial for both sides.
Nürnberg enter this fixture sitting 10th in the 2. Bundesliga table. Despite the setback in Magdeburg, their recent record remains solid, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five matches. They have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded during that period, showing a balanced but occasionally fragile defensive line. Over the course of the season, Nürnberg have collected five wins, three draws, and six losses, scoring an average of 1.1 goals per game while conceding 1.4.
At home, the team has been far more convincing, targeting a third consecutive victory at the Max-Morlock-Stadion. Their attacking play has been consistent, with Over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last ten league matches. Moreover, the second half has been particularly lively in Nürnberg’s games — Over 0.5 goals have been recorded after the break in 21 of their last 23 fixtures. This pattern suggests that the Club often grows stronger as matches progress, a factor that could prove decisive in a high-intensity derby atmosphere.
Greuther Fürth travel to Nürnberg in dire need of points. The team currently sits 17th in the standings, having lost four of their last five matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 0-3 defeat to VfL Bochum, underlining their defensive frailties. Across those five games, Fürth have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, a worrying trend that has left them struggling to find stability.
Defensively, Fürth’s numbers are alarming. They have conceded at least one goal in 25 of their last 27 league matches and in 19 of their last 20 away games. With 37 goals conceded this season, they possess one of the weakest backlines in the division. Away from home, the situation is even more concerning — they have allowed an average of three goals per match. Interestingly, most of the damage tends to occur after halftime, with only six of their away goals conceded in the first half compared to fifteen in the second. This late-game vulnerability could be exploited by Nürnberg’s strong second-half performances.
Offensively, Fürth have shown flashes of potential, scoring 13 goals on the road this season — a figure surpassed only by Hannover. However, their inability to balance attack and defense has cost them dearly. The team’s matches tend to be open and high-scoring, averaging nearly five total goals per away fixture, which makes them unpredictable but entertaining to watch.
This derby promises intensity, emotion, and goals. Both teams have defensive weaknesses that could lead to an open contest. Nürnberg’s home advantage and slightly better form make them the favorites, but Fürth’s attacking unpredictability ensures that the visitors cannot be underestimated. Historically, the rivalry has been balanced, with each side winning twice and one draw in their last five meetings. The most recent encounter ended in a 3-0 victory for Nürnberg in March 2025, a result that the hosts will be eager to repeat.
Given the attacking tendencies of both sides and their defensive inconsistencies, goals are expected. Nürnberg’s matches have consistently produced multiple goals, while Fürth’s away fixtures have been particularly high-scoring. The atmosphere at the Max-Morlock-Stadion will add further energy to a match that rarely disappoints in terms of drama and intensity. Expect a fast-paced game with plenty of chances at both ends, especially after halftime when both teams tend to open up.
Nürnberg vs Greuther Fürth prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Nürnberg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
1
9
4
6
3.5
3
7
6
4
4.5
6
4
7
3