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Prediction published on Feb 5, 2026 4:08 PM by Dario in Chile - Primera Division | Modified on Feb 5, 2026 4:08 PM
The new season of the Chilean Primera Division continues with an exciting clash between O’Higgins and La Serena. Both teams started their 2026 campaigns with contrasting results, and this encounter promises to be a key early test for their ambitions. O’Higgins, currently sitting second in the table, began with a solid victory, while La Serena had to settle for a draw in a high-scoring opener. With both sides showing attacking intent in their first matches, fans can expect an entertaining contest filled with goal opportunities.
O’Higgins kicked off their season in style, defeating Concepción 2-1 on February 2, 2026. That result extended their impressive run of form, as they have now recorded four wins in their last five matches across all competitions. During this period, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, showing a balanced combination of attacking efficiency and defensive resilience.
In the Primera Division, O’Higgins have started with a perfect record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 defeats, averaging two goals per match while conceding just one. Their consistency in the second half has been remarkable — Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 23 of their last 25 matches, including 22 of their last 24 league fixtures. This trend highlights their ability to maintain intensity and find breakthroughs even in the later stages of games.
With such momentum, O’Higgins will look to capitalize on their home advantage and continue their strong start to the season. Their attacking rhythm and late-game scoring ability make them a dangerous opponent for any visiting side.
La Serena opened their campaign with a 2-2 draw against Universidad Católica on February 1, 2026. While they showed resilience to score twice, defensive issues remain a concern. The team has struggled for consistency, failing to win any of their last five matches, with a record of 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 defeats. During this stretch, they have averaged only 0.6 goals scored per game while conceding 1.8 goals on average.
Defensively, La Serena’s record is worrying. They have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 32 matches, including 26 consecutive league games. Their away form has been particularly fragile — they have allowed goals in their last 19 away fixtures, and Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in each of their last 16 away matches. These numbers underline their vulnerability when playing outside their home ground.
Despite their attacking flashes, La Serena’s defensive instability could be their biggest obstacle. To get a positive result against O’Higgins, they will need to tighten up at the back and avoid the lapses that have cost them points in recent months.
The recent meetings between these two sides have been evenly balanced. In their last five head-to-head encounters, O’Higgins have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, with both teams averaging 1.4 goals scored per match. Their most recent clash ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw on August 9, 2025, suggesting that goals are often on the menu when these teams face each other.
Given O’Higgins’ attacking form and La Serena’s defensive struggles, this fixture could once again produce multiple goals. The home side’s ability to score consistently, especially in the second half, contrasts with La Serena’s tendency to concede late. If O’Higgins maintain their current rhythm, they are well-positioned to secure another victory and strengthen their position near the top of the table.
La Serena, on the other hand, will aim to exploit any defensive gaps and rely on counterattacks to surprise their hosts. However, their poor away record — with no clean sheets in their last 15 league trips — makes their task particularly challenging.
O’Higgins vs La Serena prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 59% probability.
Based on current form and statistical trends, O’Higgins appear to have the upper hand. Their attacking consistency and strong home performances make them favorites to claim all three points, while La Serena’s defensive frailties could once again prove costly.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
O'Higgins
La Serena
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
5
5
2
8
3.5
7
3
3
7
4.5
7
3
4
6