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Prediction published on Oct 23, 2026 5:35 AM by Dario in Belgium - Pro League | Modified on Oct 23, 2026 5:35 AM
OH Leuven host Lommel SK on October 24 in the ninth round of Belgium’s Pro League. Kick-off is scheduled for 16:15 local time at King Power at Den Dreef. The teams enter the match five points apart: OH Leuven are 15th, while Lommel SK are 10th. Both have recent results to build on. Leuven are unbeaten in four matches across all competitions and won their latest outing, while Lommel’s last league game brought a 3-1 away victory over Beveren. Lommel have since lost in the Belgian Cup, leaving Saturday’s meeting as a chance to respond.
OH Leuven beat Royal Francs Borains 1-0 on October 17, continuing a four-match unbeaten run across all competitions. Over their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per game. They have also taken five points from their last nine available. Those recent figures give the home side some encouragement as they seek to move further away from the lower end of the table.
Their broader Pro League record is less reassuring: one win, two draws and five defeats, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. The difference between that season-long record and their latest results is central to this preview. Leuven have become harder to beat recently, but they still need to turn that improvement into more league points. They won their most recent home match and will now try to follow it with another victory in front of their supporters.
There are also patterns worth noting within Leuven’s matches. They have led at half-time in each of their last three Pro League games. At least one second-half goal has been scored in 19 of their last 21 matches across competitions, including 18 of their last 20 in the Pro League. Corners have been frequent too: more than 7.5 have been taken in each of Leuven’s last 16 home matches, including their last 15 home league fixtures. That same corners threshold has been reached in 26 of their last 28 matches overall.
Lommel SK arrive with a contrast between their latest league and cup results. Their 3-1 win away to Beveren gave them a positive result on the road, but a 4-1 defeat against Sint-Truiden followed on October 18. Across their last five matches, Lommel have two wins, one draw and two defeats. They have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in that stretch, so their recent games have brought goals at both ends without consistently bringing results.
In the Pro League, Lommel’s record stands at three wins, two draws and three defeats. Their league averages are 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, a more balanced picture than their last-five figures. The victory at Beveren shows they can take points away from home, while the subsequent cup defeat gives them a result to put behind them. For this trip, the question is whether they can repeat their league performance rather than carry the effects of that loss into Saturday’s game.
Second-half goals are a recurring feature of Lommel’s away matches. At least one goal has been scored after the break in 19 of their last 21 away fixtures. That is a total-match statistic, not a measure of Lommel’s own second-half scoring, but it does suggest that their games on the road often remain active late on. It also mirrors the second-half pattern in Leuven’s recent results.
The league standings favour Lommel, but the recent results make this a less straightforward contest. Leuven have avoided defeat in four consecutive matches and have won their latest home game; Lommel have a league away win to draw on, followed by a heavy cup loss. The available win probabilities give OH Leuven 45%, compared with 31% for Lommel SK and 24% for the draw. Those figures point to a home advantage, though not an overwhelming one.
The head-to-head record offers Leuven further encouragement. Across the five meetings in the supplied summary, they have four wins and one defeat, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The most recent meeting finished 5-1 on July 15. Previous results provide context, but this match also brings current questions: can Leuven sustain their improved run despite their difficult league record, and can Lommel recover quickly from the defeat to Sint-Truiden?
Goals could be important to the outcome. Leuven’s season averages show a side that has conceded more often than it has scored, while Lommel have scored 1.2 and conceded 2.0 per game across their last five matches. At the same time, both teams have produced better league results recently than their setbacks alone would suggest. With both teams to score rated at 61%, the prospect of each side finding a goal fits the combination of Leuven’s recent progress, Lommel’s win at Beveren and the defensive figures in their latest matches.
OH Leuven vs Lommel SK prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 61% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
OH Leuven
Lommel SK
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
8
2