Tools
Olimpia
3 - 1
FT
Vasco da Gama
Prediction published on May 18, 2026 10:03 PM by Dario in South America - Copa Sudamericana | Modified on May 18, 2026 10:03 PM
The upcoming Copa Sudamericana clash between Olimpia and Vasco da Gama promises to be a compelling encounter between two sides that have shown both resilience and attacking intent in the group stage. Both teams come into this fixture with 7 points, and a victory here could be decisive in shaping their path toward the knockout rounds. The Paraguayan side will rely on their intensity at home, while the Brazilian visitors will look to bounce back from a recent domestic setback.
Olimpia approach this match after a 1-2 away win over Barracas Central in Argentina, a result that kept their qualification hopes alive. The team has displayed a balanced approach so far, combining determination in midfield with a relatively solid defensive structure. In the Copa Sudamericana, their record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. This consistency has allowed them to remain competitive in a tight group.
Domestically, Olimpia recently defeated Deportivo Recoleta 3-2, showing their ability to find goals even in high-pressure situations. Over their last five matches across all competitions, they have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. At home, they tend to be proactive, pushing their lines forward and creating chances, although they have seen under 0.5 total goals in 2 of their last 10 home fixtures, suggesting occasional low-scoring outcomes.
Playing in front of their supporters, Olimpia are expected to take the initiative, pressing high and seeking to break through early. Their midfield intensity and home advantage could prove decisive if they manage to maintain defensive discipline against a side that can be dangerous on the counter.
Vasco da Gama travel to Paraguay after a mixed run of results. Their last outing ended in a 4-1 defeat against Internacional, a setback that exposed some defensive vulnerabilities. However, in the Copa Sudamericana, they have been more consistent, registering 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. This balance between attack and defense has kept them at the top of the group standings.
In their last five matches across all competitions, Vasco have achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Despite their attacking potential, they have struggled in the first halves of away games, having lost at halftime in their last four away fixtures. This trend could be a concern against an Olimpia side that tends to start aggressively at home.
Vasco’s strength lies in their structured midfield and ability to transition quickly into attack. Even though they have shown some inconsistency away from home, their overall performance in the group stage suggests they can compete effectively, especially if they manage to contain Olimpia’s early pressure.
This fixture is shaping up to be a balanced and hard-fought contest. Olimpia will look to impose their rhythm through possession and pressing, while Vasco da Gama may rely on compact defending and quick counterattacks. The previous meeting between these sides ended 3-0 in favor of Vasco, but Olimpia’s recent improvement and home advantage could make this encounter much tighter.
Statistically, both teams have shown moderate scoring patterns, with neither side averaging more than 1.6 goals per game in recent outings. The data also points to a slight edge for Olimpia in win probability (47%), compared to 26% for Vasco da Gama and 27% for a draw. With both teams capable of finding the net but also prone to defensive lapses, a cautious yet open game could unfold.
Given the current form and statistical trends, the match could feature moments of attacking intensity from both sides, especially in the second half. Olimpia’s home drive and Vasco’s counterattacking potential suggest that goals may come from both ends, though not in abundance.
Olimpia vs Vasco da Gama prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Olimpia
Vasco da Gama
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
2
8
3
7
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
7
3
9
1