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Prediction published on Nov 2, 2025 9:06 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Nov 2, 2025 9:53 PM
The UEFA Champions League group stage continues with an intriguing clash between Olympiacos and PSV Eindhoven, two sides with rich European histories and contrasting recent fortunes. This encounter, scheduled for Tuesday, November 5th, marks their first-ever meeting in this competition, though they previously faced each other in the Europa League during the 2020/21 season, when Olympiacos advanced after a thrilling 5-4 aggregate victory. The Greek side will host this match at the Karaiskakis Stadium, aiming to revive their European campaign against a PSV team in excellent form.
Olympiacos enter this fixture looking to turn around a difficult start to their Champions League journey. The Greek champions have yet to secure a win in the group stage, collecting just one point from their opening three matches. Their campaign began with a goalless draw at home against Pafos, followed by a 2-0 defeat at Arsenal and a heavy 6-1 loss away to Barcelona. Despite these setbacks, the Piraeus-based side remain formidable at home, where they have not lost in their last 20 matches across all competitions. This impressive streak includes 18 games without trailing at half time, underlining their resilience in front of their supporters.
Domestically, Olympiacos recently returned to winning ways with a 2-1 victory over Aris on November 1st, a result that boosted morale ahead of this European test. Portuguese forward Daniel Podence was the standout performer, scoring his first goal in nine matches and providing an assist. His creativity and pace will be crucial as the hosts look to exploit PSV’s defensive vulnerabilities. However, they will be without midfielder Santiago Hezze, who is suspended for this match. Historically, Olympiacos have enjoyed success against Dutch opposition at home, remaining unbeaten in their last seven such encounters. Yet, their record in Champions League group-stage fixtures remains concerning, with only two wins in their last 23 outings at this level.
PSV Eindhoven arrive in Greece in scintillating form, having won each of their last five matches in all competitions. Their most recent outing saw them dismantle Fortuna Sittard 5-2 on October 31st, extending a run that has seen them score an astonishing 20 goals in their last five games. In the Champions League, the Dutch side have bounced back impressively from an opening defeat to Union SG. They drew 1-1 away to Bayer Leverkusen before producing a statement performance in a 6-2 demolition of Napoli on matchday three. This resurgence has lifted them to 16th in the overall standings, while Olympiacos sit 33rd.
PSV’s attacking power has been spearheaded by Ismael Saibari, who has scored in seven of the team’s last eight matches, including goals against both Leverkusen and Napoli. The Moroccan forward has netted 10 times during this run, often providing the opening goal for his side. PSV have also been remarkably consistent in front of goal, scoring in 38 of their last 40 matches and in each of their last 17 away games. However, their defensive record remains a concern, as they have conceded in 29 of their last 31 Champions League matches. This vulnerability could be exploited by Olympiacos, especially given the Greeks’ strong home record.
Despite their attacking flair, PSV’s away form in Europe has been mixed. They have won just once in their last eight Champions League away fixtures, often struggling to maintain control in hostile environments. Nevertheless, they have shown improvement recently, winning six of their last eight matches in all competitions and leading at half time in each of their last five. Manager Peter Bosz will be eager to see his side translate their domestic dominance into European consistency.
This match promises to be a captivating contest between two teams with contrasting strengths. Olympiacos will rely on their home advantage and defensive organization, while PSV will look to impose their attacking rhythm and high pressing. The Greeks’ unbeaten home streak and PSV’s prolific scoring form suggest that both sides are likely to find the net. Olympiacos have struggled to keep clean sheets in Europe, while PSV’s defense has been far from watertight, conceding in nearly every Champions League outing.
Historically, encounters between these two clubs have produced goals, with their last meeting in 2021 ending 2-1. Given the attacking quality on display—Podence and El Kaabi for Olympiacos, Saibari and Bakayoko for PSV—this fixture could follow a similar pattern. PSV’s offensive momentum makes them slight favorites, but Olympiacos’ home resilience cannot be underestimated. A balanced, high-tempo match is expected, with both teams capable of scoring and conceding.
Olympiacos vs PSV Eindhoven prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 57% probability. The attacking form of PSV and Olympiacos’ strong home record make this the most probable scenario for Tuesday’s Champions League clash.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Olympiacos F.C.
PSV
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
0
10
1.5
4
6
0
10
2.5
7
3
1
9
3.5
9
1
2
8
4.5
10
0
5
5