Tools
Prediction published on Sep 2, 2026 5:06 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Sep 2, 2026 5:06 PM
Olympique Lyonnais host Auxerre at the Groupama Stadium on September 4, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:00 local time. This Ligue 1 match brings together teams that have experienced very different starts to the season. Lyon have collected four points from two league fixtures and sit fourth, while Auxerre are 18th after opening their campaign with two defeats. The home side are also looking for a response following elimination by Fenerbahce in the Champions League play-offs, where they lost 3-2 on aggregate. A 1-1 draw against Le Havre then prevented Lyon from immediately returning to winning ways. Auxerre travel to Decines-Charpieu under even greater pressure after conceding eight goals across losses to RC Lens and Angers SCO. With Lyon aiming to reinforce their positive domestic start and Auxerre searching for their first point, this third-round fixture carries early importance for both clubs.
Olympique Lyonnais began their Ligue 1 season with a 2-0 away victory over Toulouse FC before drawing 1-1 at home to Le Havre on August 29. Lyon came close to losing that second match after Ally Samatta opened the scoring with around 15 minutes remaining, but Lois Openda equalised and secured a point. Their league record now stands at one win, one draw and no defeats, with averages of 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match.
Across their last five matches in all competitions, Lyon have registered two victories, two draws and one defeat. They averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded during that sequence, suggesting a generally competitive run despite their European disappointment. The goal trends are particularly notable: each of their last 12 matches has produced more than 1.5 total goals, while the same outcome has occurred in their last 13 home fixtures. At least one second-half goal has also been recorded in each of those two sequences.
There is uncertainty over Julien Duranville, who missed the previous two matches, while Ainsley Maitland-Niles and Malick Fofana departed near the end of the transfer window. Among the available options, Dominik Greif has impressed in goal and Moussa Niakhate has regularly provided solidity in central defence. Corentin Tolisso offers an important presence in midfield, while Openda will look to build on his first Ligue 1 goal of the campaign. Lyon will expect their stronger defensive numbers to provide a useful platform as they pursue a second league victory.
Auxerre have endured a difficult opening to the new Ligue 1 season. They were beaten 5-2 away by RC Lens in their first match, during which Christ Makosso was sent off, before suffering a 3-1 home defeat against Angers SCO on August 29. Those results leave Auxerre with zero points from two matches and a league record of no wins, no draws and two losses. They have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game, but their average of four conceded highlights the main concern before this trip.
The broader five-match record is more balanced, consisting of two wins, one draw and two defeats. Across those fixtures, Auxerre averaged 1.2 goals for and 1.8 against. Their preparations had also produced only two victories in five matches, and the return of league competition has brought consecutive setbacks. Despite those results, Auxerre have scored three times across their first two Ligue 1 outings, so they have at least demonstrated an ability to contribute in attack.
Auxerre have several confirmed absentees, with Marvin Senaya, Bryan Okoh, Francisco Sierralta, Sekou Fofana and Assane Diousse injured. Axel Tuanzebe joined near the end of the transfer window but is not expected to be available for this fixture, while Fredrik Oppegard remains uncertain. After conceding eight times in two league games, goalkeeper Mamadou Diop will be seeking a more reassuring performance. Kevin Danois and Romain Faivre are midfield options, while Remy Labeau-Lascary and Danny Namaso have already found the net this season.
The available statistics make Olympique Lyonnais the clear favourites. The hosts are unbeaten in Ligue 1, have conceded only once in two league fixtures and carry a 61% win probability. Auxerre, by contrast, have lost both games and allowed four goals per match on average. Their absences add another challenge ahead of a fixture against a Lyon team determined to respond to its Champions League elimination and frustrating draw with Le Havre.
Goals remain an important part of the outlook. Lyon have been involved in more than 1.5 total goals in each of their last 12 matches and each of their previous 13 home games. Auxerre have scored in both league defeats but have struggled badly to contain their opponents. The figures assign a 54% probability to over 2.5 goals and a 51% probability to both teams scoring. At least one first-half goal carries a 79% probability, while Lyon's repeated second-half goal trend indicates that the match could continue to develop after the interval.
The recent head-to-head record also favours the home side. Lyon have recorded three wins and two draws across the supplied five-match summary against Auxerre, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The latest meeting ended in a 3-2 victory on April 25, 2026. Auxerre's attacking output means they cannot be dismissed completely, but their defensive record and lack of points provide strong reasons to favour Lyon. If the hosts reproduce the control shown in their 2-0 victory over Toulouse while making use of their scoring opportunities, they will have a clear chance to secure all three points.
Olympique Lyonnais vs Auxerre prediction from BetMines: Olympique Lyonnais win (1) with 61% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Olympique Lyonnais
Auxerre
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2