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Prediction published on Oct 22, 2025 6:53 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Oct 22, 2025 6:54 AM
Olympique Lyon and FC Basel will meet on matchday three of the UEFA Europa League in a clash that promises to be both tactical and intense. The French side will host the encounter at the Groupama Stadium, aiming to recover from recent domestic setbacks, while the Swiss visitors arrive in good spirits after a strong run in their national league. Both teams have shown attacking intent in recent weeks, and this fixture could play a crucial role in shaping their European ambitions.
Olympique Lyonnais have experienced a mixed run of form lately. After a bright start to the season, they have stumbled in Ligue 1 with back-to-back defeats against Toulouse and Nice. Despite these domestic struggles, their European campaign remains flawless so far. Lyon opened their Europa League journey with a narrow 1-0 away win at Utrecht before following it up with a convincing 2-0 home victory over Salzburg. These results have placed them in a strong position in their group, and they will look to maintain that momentum.
At home, Lyon have been particularly dominant in European competitions. They have lost only once in their last 17 Europa League group or league phase matches at the Groupama Stadium, winning 12 of those. Their attacking consistency is also notable — they have scored in 30 of their last 31 matches across all competitions and have found the net in each of their last 16 home games. Moreover, Lyon’s matches tend to be lively, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 29 of their last 31 fixtures. The team’s ability to start strong is reflected in the fact that they have been leading at halftime in 6 of their last 10 matches.
Currently ranked 5th in the Europa League standings, Lyon’s average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game in their last five outings suggests a balanced side capable of both attacking flair and defensive resilience. The home crowd will expect a reaction after recent league disappointments, and this European night offers the perfect stage for redemption.
FC Basel arrive in France on the back of a strong domestic run. The Swiss club recently defeated Winterthur 3-0, marking their third consecutive victory in all competitions. During this streak, Basel have scored at least two goals in each match, starting with a 2-0 win over Stuttgart. Their attack has been particularly efficient, averaging 2.0 goals per game in their last five fixtures while conceding just 0.8 on average.
In European competition, however, Basel’s form has been less convincing. They suffered an away defeat to Freiburg on matchday one, extending their run of consecutive losses in Europe. That said, their domestic confidence could translate into a more competitive performance in Lyon. Basel’s attacking consistency is undeniable — they have scored in 36 of their last 37 matches and in 20 of their last 21 away games. Furthermore, their matches tend to be open, with over 1.5 goals scored in 33 of their last 34 fixtures and over 0.5 goals at halftime in 22 of their last 23.
Ranked 14th in the Europa League standings, Basel will be eager to improve their European record. Historically, Swiss teams have struggled against Lyon, and this will be Basel’s first-ever meeting with the French side. Breaking that trend will require a disciplined defensive display and clinical finishing from their forwards. The team’s recent habit of leading at halftime — in 6 of their last 10 Europa League matches — could be a key factor if they start well in Lyon.
This encounter brings together two teams with contrasting domestic fortunes but similar attacking philosophies. Lyon will rely on their home advantage and European pedigree to dictate the tempo, while Basel will look to exploit transitions and capitalize on any defensive lapses. The French side’s strong record at home, combined with their ability to score consistently, makes them the favorites heading into this fixture.
Basel’s recent scoring form suggests they will not sit back, and their attacking approach could lead to an open contest. However, Lyon’s experience in managing European nights at the Groupama Stadium gives them a psychological edge. The hosts’ motivation to bounce back from domestic defeats, coupled with their impressive home record in the Europa League, could prove decisive.
Historically, Lyon have never lost to a Swiss opponent, and maintaining that record would further strengthen their position in the group. Expect an entertaining match with chances at both ends, but the balance of quality and home support tilts the scales in favor of the French side.
Lyon vs FC Basel 1893 prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Lyon win (1) with a 51% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 21%, while a Basel win (2) stands at 28%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Olympique Lyonnais
Basel
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
5
5
2
8
3.5
8
2
4
6
4.5
8
2
8
2