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Prediction published on Dec 12, 2025 3:04 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Dec 12, 2025 3:04 PM
The 16th round of Ligue 1 opens this Sunday at 15:00 with an intriguing clash between Olympique Lyonnais and Le Havre AC at the Groupama Stadium. After securing qualification for the Europa League knockout stage, Lyon now turn their attention back to domestic duties, eager to close the gap on the top four. Despite sitting fifth in the table, the hosts are five points behind the Champions League spots and need to bounce back quickly after last weekend’s 1-0 defeat away to Lorient. For Le Havre, the trip to Lyon comes at a difficult time, as the visitors are struggling near the bottom of the standings and have not won in their last five league outings.
Olympique Lyonnais approach this fixture with renewed confidence after their midweek 2-1 victory over Go Ahead Eagles in the Europa League. That result extended their positive run in all competitions, with three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per game. In Ligue 1, their record stands at seven wins, three draws and five losses, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match.
The Groupama Stadium has been a reliable fortress for Lyon. They have scored in each of their last 20 home games and have not drawn any of their last 15 Ligue 1 fixtures on home soil. Moreover, at least one goal has been scored in the second half in 19 of their last 20 home matches, showing their ability to maintain attacking pressure throughout the game. Their last home league outing ended in a convincing 3-0 win over Nantes, underlining their strength in front of their supporters.
Defensively, Lyon have been solid, with goalkeeper Dominik Greif returning to the starting lineup after being rested in Europe. The central pairing of Clinton Mata and Moussa Niakhaté provides stability at the back, while Corentin Tolisso continues to be a key figure in midfield. In attack, Afonso Moreira has been decisive in two of the last three matches and will once again be one to watch. Despite several absences due to injuries and suspensions, the squad remains strong enough to aim for another home victory.
Le Havre AC are enduring a difficult spell in Ligue 1. They have failed to win any of their last five matches, recording three draws and two defeats, with an average of just 0.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their overall league record stands at three wins, six draws and six losses, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. The team’s last outing ended in a goalless draw against Paris, which at least halted a run of two consecutive defeats against PSG (3-0) and Lille (0-1).
Currently sitting 15th in the table, Le Havre are only three points above the relegation zone. Their away form has also been underwhelming, with under 0.5 goals scored in two of their last ten away games. The visitors will need to show defensive discipline to contain Lyon’s attacking power. Goalkeeper Mory Diaw will be crucial, supported by centre-backs Gautier Lloris and Arouna Sangante. Offensively, Issa Soumaré has been the standout performer with three goals and two assists, while Fodé Doucouré has contributed two goals and one assist so far this season.
In their last head-to-head meeting, Lyon triumphed 4-2, and overall, the hosts have won three of the last five encounters between the sides. Given their current form and home advantage, Lyon will be confident of extending that record.
This fixture presents a clear contrast between a Lyon side pushing for European qualification and a Le Havre team fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone. The hosts have been consistent in front of goal, scoring in every home match this season, while the visitors have struggled to find the net regularly. Lyon’s attacking rhythm, combined with their defensive solidity, makes them strong favourites to claim all three points.
Le Havre’s recent lack of goals and their defensive vulnerabilities away from home suggest that they could face another difficult afternoon. Lyon, on the other hand, will look to dominate possession and create chances through their dynamic midfield and wide players. If they maintain their current intensity, another clean sheet and a comfortable win are within reach.
Lyon vs Le Havre prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 70% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Olympique Lyonnais
Le Havre
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
5
5
8
2
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
8
2
8
2