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Prediction published on Feb 13, 2026 9:01 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Feb 13, 2026 9:01 PM
The 22nd round of Ligue 1 concludes with an exciting clash between Olympique Lyonnais and Nice, scheduled for Sunday evening at 20:45. The encounter at the Groupama Stadium promises to be one of the highlights of the weekend, as both teams enter the match with very different dynamics. Lyon are enjoying a remarkable run of form that has propelled them into the top three, while Nice continue to struggle in the lower half of the table. With the home side chasing a seventh consecutive league win and the visitors desperate to regain confidence, this fixture could have a significant impact on both ends of the standings.
Olympique Lyonnais approach this match in outstanding form, having won their last twelve games across all competitions. Their recent 0-1 victory away to Nantes confirmed their ability to grind out results even under pressure, as they played much of the match with ten men. In Ligue 1, Lyon have now won six consecutive matches, scoring freely and defending with discipline. The team’s season record of 13 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats reflects a balance between attacking flair and defensive solidity, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
At home, the Gones have been particularly dominant. They have won their last eight home matches and have not drawn any of their last nineteen at the Groupama Stadium. In fact, at least one goal has been scored by Lyon in each of their last twenty home games, underlining their attacking consistency. Their ability to take control early is also evident — they have led at half time in six of their last ten league fixtures and have not trailed at the break in eighteen of their last twenty home matches.
Even with several absentees, Lyon’s squad depth remains impressive. The absence of Endrick due to suspension and injuries to players like Tagliafico and Mangala have not slowed their momentum. Pavel Sulc, already with ten league goals, continues to be a decisive figure in attack, while the defensive unit anchored by Clinton Mata and Moussa Niakhaté has provided the stability needed to sustain their winning streak. The home fans will expect another strong performance to consolidate their place on the podium and keep the pressure on the league leaders.
In contrast, Nice find themselves in a difficult position. Sitting 14th in the Ligue 1 table, they are eight points adrift of the top six and have struggled to find consistency throughout the campaign. Their recent 0-0 draw against Monaco offered some defensive reassurance, but the broader picture remains concerning. Over their last five matches, Nice have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. However, their away form continues to be a major weakness — they have lost five of their last six league trips and have conceded at least one goal in each of their last thirteen away matches.
Defensive fragility has been a recurring issue for the Aiglons. They have conceded in 26 of their last 28 matches overall, and in Ligue 1, they have allowed goals in every away fixture this season. Their tendency to start slowly is also notable, having lost at half time in seven of their last ten league games. Despite these struggles, there are still individual bright spots. Goalkeeper Maxime Dupé has been in solid form, while Sofiane Diop and Elye Wahi have provided attacking sparks, combining for several key goals in recent weeks. Yet, against a Lyon side that rarely drops points at home, Nice will need a near-perfect performance to come away with a result.
Statistically, the visitors’ defensive record is worrying: over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of 21 of their last 23 Ligue 1 away matches, suggesting that they often fade as games progress. To stand a chance, Nice must tighten up defensively and capitalize on any counterattacking opportunities that arise.
Historically, this fixture has produced entertaining encounters, with the last head-to-head ending 3-2 in favor of Lyon. The hosts have won three of the last five meetings, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded against Nice. Given the current form of both teams, the pattern seems likely to continue. Lyon’s attacking rhythm, combined with their home advantage, makes them clear favorites, while Nice’s defensive vulnerabilities on the road could once again prove costly.
All indicators point toward another strong showing from the home side. Lyon have scored in every one of their last twelve matches and have been particularly effective after the break, with over 0.5 goals in the second half in 18 of their last 20 home games. Nice, meanwhile, have conceded in nearly every recent outing and have struggled to keep clean sheets away from home. The contrast in form, confidence, and momentum could hardly be sharper.
With Lyon’s offensive power and Nice’s defensive instability, the match is expected to feature goals, but the balance of play should favor the hosts. Lyon’s ability to control possession and create chances through their midfield could be decisive, while Nice will likely rely on quick transitions and set pieces to threaten.
BetMines prediction for Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice:
Home Win (1) with 66% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Olympique Lyonnais
Nice
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
2
8
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
5
5
7
3
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
8
2
10
0