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Prediction published on Sep 30, 2025 8:15 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Sep 30, 2025 8:26 PM
Olympique Lyonnais welcome Salzburg to the Parc Olympique Lyonnais for the second matchday of the UEFA Europa League. Both sides come into this clash with contrasting fortunes from their opening fixtures, and the encounter promises to be a decisive one in shaping the group standings.
Lyon began their Europa League campaign with a narrow but valuable 1-0 away win against FC Utrecht, thanks to Tanner Tessmann’s strike in the 75th minute. That victory extended their impressive record in the competition, with only two defeats in their last 33 group or league phase matches. Paulo Fonseca’s men are now aiming to build on that momentum and secure back-to-back wins in Europe.
Domestically, Lyon have been in excellent form. Their most recent outing saw them defeat Lille 1-0 away from home, marking their sixth win in their last seven matches. Over their last five fixtures, Lyon have collected four wins and suffered just one defeat, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Their defensive solidity has been a key factor, with three consecutive clean sheets heading into this clash.
At home, Lyon have been consistent in finding the net, scoring at least once in their last 14 matches at the Parc Olympique Lyonnais. They also tend to grow stronger as matches progress, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of each of their last 14 home games. With confidence high and a strong defensive unit, Les Gones will look to make it four wins in a row across all competitions.
Salzburg endured a frustrating start to their Europa League campaign, losing 1-0 at home to FC Porto after conceding in stoppage time. That result extended their winless streak in European competition to four matches, including three consecutive defeats. Their struggles in front of goal were evident, as despite creating chances, they failed to convert them into goals.
However, Salzburg managed to bounce back domestically with a 2-1 away win against WSG Tirol in the Austrian Bundesliga, ending a run of four games without victory in all competitions. Still, their recent form remains inconsistent, with just one win, one draw, and three defeats in their last five matches. During this period, they have averaged 1.0 goals scored but conceded 1.8 per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
On the road, Salzburg have been involved in high-scoring encounters. They have scored at least once in each of their last 16 away matches, with over 2.5 goals recorded in their last 13 away fixtures. Additionally, over 1.5 goals in the second half has been a recurring trend in their last 12 away games. While their attack has shown promise, their defensive lapses could prove costly against a disciplined Lyon side.
This clash brings together two sides with very different dynamics. Lyon are in strong form, boasting a solid defense and a knack for grinding out narrow victories. Their ability to keep clean sheets and score at crucial moments makes them favorites heading into this fixture. On the other hand, Salzburg have been inconsistent, struggling to convert chances in Europe and leaking goals defensively.
Historically, Lyon’s home advantage and current momentum suggest they will control proceedings. Salzburg’s attacking intent could make the game open, but their defensive fragility may leave them exposed. Given Lyon’s recent run of low-scoring wins and Salzburg’s tendency to concede, this match is likely to be competitive but not overly high-scoring.
For these reasons, the Lyon vs Salzburg prediction leans towards a Lyon victory in a match with limited goalscoring opportunities. Lyon’s defensive strength and Salzburg’s inefficiency in the final third point to a tight contest where the French side should edge it.
Lyon vs Salzburg prediction by BetMines: Home Win (1) with 44% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Olympique Lyonnais
Salzburg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1