Favourites
Settings

Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Ligue 1 25-10-2026

Olympique Marseille

4:15 PM

October 25, 2026

Le Havre

Stade Vélodrome
Clément Turpin
scattered clouds °C

Prediction published on Oct 23, 2026 4:50 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Oct 23, 2026 4:50 PM

Olympique Marseille host Le Havre at the Stade Vélodrome on Sunday, October 25, in the eighth round of Ligue 1. Kick-off is scheduled for 16:15 local time. The teams arrive with sharply different league records: Marseille are ninth after winning their last two domestic matches, while 18th-placed Le Havre have taken just two points from seven games. Marseille’s midweek Europa League defeat adds a complication to their preparations, but their recent Ligue 1 results give them an opportunity to build momentum against visitors still searching for a first league victory.

Olympique Marseille’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Olympique Marseille have responded to four successive Ligue 1 defeats with consecutive wins over ES Troyes AC and SCO Angers. They won 2-0 away to Troyes before scoring five times in a 5-2 victory at Angers. Those results lifted Bruno Génésio’s team to ninth, although their league record of three wins and four defeats shows why extending this run matters. Across their seven Ligue 1 matches, Marseille have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

Europe has brought a contrasting set of results. Marseille lost 1-0 to Sturm Graz on October 22, their third defeat in three Europa League league-phase matches after losses to Besiktas and Olympiakos. Across their most recent five matches in all competitions, they have registered two wins and three defeats, scoring 1.4 goals and conceding 1.0 per game on average. Their task on Sunday is to turn the attacking output from their two latest league victories into a third consecutive domestic success.

Amine Harit, Igor Paixao and Amine Gouiri all scored in the win over Angers. Gouiri has been involved in six decisive actions since the start of the Ligue 1 season, according to the supplied match information. Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg returned from injury in Europe, while Derek Cornelius is the player listed as unavailable for Marseille. Another notable pattern concerns the timing of goals: Marseille’s last 16 Ligue 1 matches, including their last 14 at home, have each featured at least one goal after half-time. That statistic refers to total goals in those matches, not necessarily goals scored by Marseille.

Le Havre’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Le Havre travel to Marseille at the bottom of the Ligue 1 standings. Their opening seven league fixtures have produced two draws and five defeats, with averages of 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. They have lost their last three league games, falling to Toulouse FC, LOSC and, most recently, Auxerre. The 3-1 defeat to Auxerre on October 18 underlined the difficulty of ending that sequence before a visit to a Marseille side that has just scored seven goals across two league outings.

Across Le Havre’s last five matches in all competitions, the record is one win, one draw and three defeats, with 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game on average. Their league record is less encouraging: Didier Digard’s team have yet to win in Ligue 1 this season and are five points behind the first side outside the relegation places. Those figures put particular importance on any chances they create at the Stade Vélodrome.

Le Havre have several stated absences: Lionel Mpasi, Elias Jelert, Stephan Zagadou, Timothée Pembélé and Felix Mambimbi are unavailable. Gauthier Gallon has played in goal since Mpasi’s injury and has recorded one clean sheet in that period. Ayumu Seko is available again after suspension, while Ally Samatta, who has scored twice in Ligue 1, offers a route to goal for the visitors. Le Havre’s ability to improve on their season scoring average could be central to whether they can disrupt Marseille’s recent league run.

Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre Match Analysis

The clearest contrast in this Ligue 1 preview is between Marseille’s domestic recovery and Le Havre’s winless start. Marseille have scored twice and five times in their two latest league victories, whereas Le Havre have conceded in each match of their current three-game losing streak. Marseille’s European defeats cannot be ignored, but their recent results also show that those setbacks have not prevented them from winning in the league.

The supplied head-to-head summary records five Marseille wins and no draws or defeats across five meetings with Le Havre, with Marseille averaging 3.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in that sequence. The most recent meeting ended 0-1 on May 10, 2026. Past results do not settle Sunday’s contest, especially after Marseille’s midweek loss, but they reinforce the advantage suggested by the teams’ current Ligue 1 records. If Marseille carry forward the attacking form shown against Troyes and Angers, Le Havre will need a stronger performance than their recent league results suggest to take something from the trip.

Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre prediction from BetMines: Olympique Marseille win (1) with 57% probability.

Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre - Predictions

Go premium

This is a PREMIUM functionality. Subscribe now to use this and many other exclusive functionalities

Odds

Go premium

This is a PREMIUM functionality. Subscribe now to use this and many other exclusive functionalities

Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Olympique Marseille

Le Havre

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Standings of Olympique Marseille and Le Havre in Ligue 1

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

10

Olympique Marseille

7

3

0

4

14:10

9

1.29

L
L
L
W
W
18

Le Havre

7

0

2

5

5:11

2

0.29

L
D
L
L
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre be played?
The Ligue 1 match between Olympique Marseille and Le Havre will be played on October 25, 2026 at 16:15.
Where will Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre be played?
The match between Olympique Marseille and Le Havre will be played at Stade Vélodrome, Marseille - France
Who will referee Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre?
The referee for the match will be Clément Turpin.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre in the Ligue 1?
The odds are: Olympique Marseille to win 1.55, draw 4.50, Le Havre to win 5.25.
What are the betting odds for Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Ligue 1?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.53 and Under 2.5 at 2.50.
Will both Olympique Marseille and Le Havre score in the Ligue 1?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.61, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.20.
What is the most likely correct score for Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre in the Ligue 1?
The most likely correct score is 2-1, with odds of 8.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Olympique Marseille and Le Havre?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille and Le Havre, Olympique Marseille won 5 times, Le Havre won 0, and 0 ended in a draw.

Article available in:

Unlock the full BetMines experience

Go Premium and get even more and better data for your bets.

What's included?

What's included

  • Live scanner
  • Pre-Match scanner
  • Value bet bot
  • Backtesting for Pre-Match scanner up to 24 months
  • Trends
  • Advanced team stats
  • Exclusive events in the advanced filter
  • Exclusive events in the BetMines Machine
  • All market predictions unlocked
  • VIP Telegram Group

Try BetMines Premium for free

Unlock scanners, alerts, monitoring and value bets.

  • Live alerts and Monitoring
  • Pre-match scanner and filters
  • Premium predictions and value bets