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Olympique Marseille
0 - 3
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Liverpool
Prediction published on Jan 19, 2026 10:01 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Jan 19, 2026 10:01 PM
The UEFA Champions League League Phase nears its conclusion as Olympique Marseille welcome Liverpool in a crucial encounter on Wednesday. With only two rounds remaining, both sides are still fighting for their respective objectives — Marseille aiming to secure a top-24 finish, and Liverpool looking to cement their place among the top eight. The French side currently sit 16th with nine points, while the English giants occupy ninth with twelve. This clash promises intensity, goals, and plenty of drama as both teams chase vital points in their European campaigns.
Marseille have found their rhythm at the perfect time. After a shaky start to the competition, losing three of their first four matches, they have bounced back with two consecutive wins that have reignited their qualification hopes. Their recent 5-2 away triumph over Angers showcased their attacking prowess, and they now boast four wins in their last five matches across all competitions. During this stretch, they have averaged an impressive 4.2 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.8.
At home, Marseille have been formidable, recording an 8-2-2 record this season. Under Roberto De Zerbi’s guidance, the team has transformed into a high-octane attacking unit, capable of overwhelming opponents with relentless pressure and creativity. The French side have also shown a remarkable tendency for action-packed games — over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 37 of their last 40 matches. Interestingly, they have not drawn any of their last 20 Champions League fixtures, a sign that their matches rarely lack decisive outcomes.
Among their standout performers, Mason Greenwood has been in sensational form, scoring in six of his last seven appearances and tallying nine goals during that run. His pace and finishing have made him Marseille’s most dangerous weapon, while veteran striker Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang continues to contribute with seven goal involvements in six Champions League outings. With confidence high and momentum on their side, Marseille will look to make the most of their home advantage against a Liverpool side that has struggled to turn draws into wins lately.
Liverpool enter this fixture unbeaten in their last twelve matches across all competitions, though four of their last five have ended in draws. Their most recent outing, a 1-1 stalemate against Burnley, extended this pattern of frustration. Despite their resilience, the Reds have found it difficult to convert dominance into victories, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match in their last five games.
In the Champions League, Liverpool have been consistent travelers, having gone nineteen away matches without a draw. Their last European outing — a 1-0 win over Inter Milan — demonstrated their ability to grind out results when needed. However, their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed at times this season, and facing a free-scoring Marseille side could test their backline once again. The Reds have seen over 0.5 goals in the second half in 37 of their last 40 matches, suggesting that late drama is almost guaranteed when they play.
Florian Wirtz has quietly become a key figure for Liverpool, contributing six goal involvements in his last seven appearances. The potential return of Mohamed Salah could further boost their attacking options, while the absence of several injured players may still limit their depth. With a top-eight finish within reach, Liverpool will be eager to secure a result that keeps them on course for automatic qualification to the round of 16.
This matchup brings together two teams with contrasting styles but similar ambitions. Marseille thrive on attacking football, often turning matches into goal-fests, while Liverpool rely on structured pressing and quick transitions. Both sides have shown defensive lapses recently, which could open the door for an entertaining, high-scoring affair. The French side’s home form and offensive momentum make them a dangerous opponent, but Liverpool’s experience and unbeaten streak cannot be overlooked.
Historically, these teams have met five times, with Liverpool winning three and Marseille two. The last encounter dates back to 2008, when the English side claimed a narrow 1-0 victory. Given the current form and statistical trends, another close contest seems likely, but one that should feature goals at both ends. Marseille’s attacking confidence and Liverpool’s tendency to concede late could combine to produce a thrilling spectacle for the fans.
Marseille vs Liverpool prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Olympique Marseille
Liverpool
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Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2