Olympique Marseille vs Nantes Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Ligue 1

The 24th round of Ligue 1 concludes with the fixture at the Velodrome, where Olympique Marseille, currently second in the table and battling for a Champions League spot, hosts Nantes, a team in need of crucial points to stay clear of the relegation zone. The home side suffered a heavy 3-0 defeat against Auxerre in their last match, a team that has proven to be their nemesis this season, having also beaten them in the reverse fixture. This loss allowed Nice and Lille to close the gap, with both teams securing wins against Montpellier and Monaco, respectively. Despite suffering their fifth league defeat—partly due to Cornelius’ red card at 1-0—Roberto De Zerbi’s side remains in second place. However, a win is essential to maintain distance from their pursuers and secure a return to the UEFA Champions League, a competition they last participated in during the 2022/2023 season. Nantes, their opponent in this Ligue 1 match, is once again fighting for survival. Under the guidance of experienced coach Kombouarè, they recently claimed a vital 3-1 home victory against Lens, extending their cushion to five points above the relegation zone. While a promising advantage, it provides no certainty with 11 rounds remaining in the season.

Olympique Marseille's Shape & Key Statistics

Olympique Marseille has won three of their last five matches but suffered two defeats, including the recent 3-0 loss to Auxerre. During this period, they have averaged 2 goals scored per match and 1.6 conceded. Their attacking prowess is unsurprising, as they hold the second-best attack in Ligue 1 with 50 goals (2.17 per match), trailing only Paris Saint-Germain.

At home, Marseille’s Ligue 1 record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses. Their last home defeat in the league dates back to November 8, when they suffered a 3-1 loss to Auxerre at the Velodrome.

Nantes' Shape & Key Statistics

Their 3-1 victory over Lens, with goals from Leroux, Simon, and Elia, ended a two-match losing streak, which included a 7-1 thrashing by Monaco on Matchday 22. This heavy defeat contributed to their 25 goals conceded away from home this season (an average of 2.08 per match).

Nantes' away record in Ligue 1 consists of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses. However, their last away victory came recently, with a 2-1 win against Reims on February 2, thanks to goals from Abline and Mostafa Mohamed.

Olympique Marseille vs Nantes Prediction & Tactical Overview

Olympique Marseille, having scored 8 goals in their last two home matches (against Olympique Lyon and St. Etienne), is expected to apply early pressure in search of three crucial points for their Champions League aspirations.

On the other hand, Nantes has shown offensive consistency, scoring in their last 10 consecutive away matches across all competitions. This trend suggests that they could at least find the net in this encounter.

The head-to-head record heavily favors Marseille, with 4 wins in the last 5 meetings. Nantes' only positive result in this stretch was a draw during the 2023/2024 season.

Given Marseille’s attacking firepower and Nantes’ tendency to score on the road, the BetMines algorithm’s prediction for Olympique Marseille vs Nantes leans towards an Over 2.5 goals outcome..

• The BetMines prediction for the Olympique Marseille vs Nantes match predicts Over 2.5 goals at 65%
• The BetMines prediction for the Olympique Marseille vs Nantes match predicts Under 2.5 goals at 35%

Predicted Lineups Olympique Marseille vs Nantes

OLYMPIQUE MARSEILLE (3-4-1-2): Rulli; Murillo, Kondogbia, Balerdi; Luis Henirique, Bennacer, Hojbjerg, Merlin; Rabiot; Greenwood, Gouiri. Coach: De Zerbi

NANTES (4-1-2-3): Lopes; Amian, Sow, Castelletto, Pallois; Douglas; Lepenant, Leroux; Abline, Ahmed Abdalla, Simon. Coach: Kombouaré