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Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga BetPlay 13-03-2026

Once Caldas

4 - 2

FT

Deportivo Pasto

Estadio Palogrande
Andrés José Rojas Noguera
light rain °C

Prediction published on Mar 12, 2026 12:03 AM by Dario in Colombia - Liga BetPlay | Modified on Mar 12, 2026 12:03 AM

The Colombian Apertura continues with an exciting clash in Matchday 11 as Once Caldas host Deportivo Pasto in Manizales. Both teams are fighting at the top of the Liga BetPlay standings, separated by just a few points, and this encounter could have a major impact on the race for first place. The home side arrive in excellent form, while the visitors have been one of the most consistent teams in the competition so far. With both sides showing strong attacking numbers and solid defensive records, fans can expect a competitive and entertaining match.


Once Caldas: Strong Home Form and Momentum


Once Caldas come into this fixture full of confidence after a 0-2 away win against Deportivo Cali on March 7, extending their impressive run of results. In their last five league matches, they have recorded four wins and one defeat, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match. Their attacking consistency is remarkable, having scored in each of their last 12 Liga BetPlay matches.


At home, Once Caldas have been particularly dominant. They have not lost at half time in 18 of their last 20 home games, and their stadium has become a difficult place for any opponent. The team’s ability to maintain control early in matches has been key to their success, as they have avoided trailing at the break in 26 of their last 28 league fixtures. Moreover, their recent head-to-head record against Deportivo Pasto is encouraging, with four wins in the last five meetings and an average of 2.0 goals scored per game in those encounters.



  • Ranking: 2nd in Liga BetPlay

  • Last 5 matches: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat

  • Average goals scored: 2.4 per match

  • Unbeaten at home in the current tournament

  • Over 1.5 total goals in each of their last 11 league games


With such consistency and the support of their fans, Once Caldas will look to extend their winning streak and possibly move to the top of the table. Their attacking rhythm and home advantage make them a serious threat in this fixture.


Deportivo Pasto: Consistency and Confidence on the Road


Deportivo Pasto travel to Manizales in excellent form as well. They currently sit top of the Liga BetPlay standings with 6 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 defeat. Their most recent result was a convincing 2-0 victory over América de Cali on March 10, confirming their strong start to the season. In their last five matches, they have remained unbeaten, collecting three wins and two draws while averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.


On the road, Deportivo Pasto have shown they can compete effectively. They have earned two wins and one draw in four away games, and their matches tend to be lively, with over 0.5 goals scored in the first half of each of their last 11 away fixtures. However, one area of concern is their tendency to struggle early in matches, having lost at half time in 8 of their last 11 away games. Despite that, their resilience and ability to recover have allowed them to remain among the league’s best-performing sides.



  • Ranking: 1st in Liga BetPlay

  • Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 defeats

  • Average goals scored: 1.8 per match

  • Over 0.5 goals at half time in last 11 away matches

  • Only one defeat in the entire season


Deportivo Pasto’s balance between attack and defense has been one of their main strengths. Their disciplined structure and ability to create chances even away from home make them a dangerous opponent for any team, including Once Caldas.


Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto: Analysis and Prediction


This top-of-the-table clash promises to be one of the highlights of the weekend in Colombian football. Once Caldas will rely on their strong home form and attacking momentum, while Deportivo Pasto will aim to maintain their unbeaten streak and prove their credentials as league leaders. The recent head-to-head history slightly favors the hosts, who have won the last three meetings between the sides, including a 1-0 victory in November 2025.


Statistically, both teams have shown solid defensive organization, with an average of just 1.0 goal conceded per match. However, their attacking numbers suggest that goals are likely, as both sides average close to two goals per game. The combination of Once Caldas’ home advantage and Pasto’s consistency could lead to a balanced and entertaining encounter, possibly decided by small details in the final third.


Given the current form and the data available, the BetMines prediction for this match points towards a home win (1) with a 59% probability. A draw (X) stands at 24%, while an away win (2) is estimated at 17%. With both teams in good scoring form, fans can expect a competitive match that could feature goals at both ends.


Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 59% probability.

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto - Predictions

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Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Once Caldas

Deportivo Pasto

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

90%

9

10%

1

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Once Caldas and Deportivo Pasto in Liga BetPlay

Apertura - Ranking

Team

3

Deportivo Pasto

19

10

4

5

29:25

34

1.79

D
W
W
L
L
5

Once Caldas

19

8

9

2

31:22

33

1.74

D
D
W
D
W
Next Round

Clausura - Ranking

Team

8

Once Caldas

6

2

3

1

11:7

9

1.5

D
L
D
D
W
20

Deportivo Pasto

7

0

1

6

5:13

1

0.14

L
L
L
D
L
Next Round

Who will win ?

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto be played?
The Liga BetPlay match between Once Caldas and Deportivo Pasto will be played on March 13, 2026 at 23:20.
Where will Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto be played?
The match between Once Caldas and Deportivo Pasto will be played at Estadio Palogrande, Manizales - Colombia
Who will referee Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto?
The referee for the match will be Andrés José Rojas Noguera.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto in the Liga BetPlay?
The odds are: Once Caldas to win 1.90, draw 3.30, Deportivo Pasto to win 4.10.
What are the betting odds for Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga BetPlay?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.10 and Under 2.5 at 1.70.
Will both Once Caldas and Deportivo Pasto score in the Liga BetPlay?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.90, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.80.
What is the most likely correct score for Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto in the Liga BetPlay?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Once Caldas and Deportivo Pasto?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Once Caldas and Deportivo Pasto, Once Caldas won 4 times, Deportivo Pasto won 1, and 0 ended in a draw.

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