Tools
Once Caldas
4 - 2
FT
Deportivo Pasto
Prediction published on Mar 12, 2026 12:03 AM by Dario in Colombia - Liga BetPlay | Modified on Mar 12, 2026 12:03 AM
The Colombian Apertura continues with an exciting clash in Matchday 11 as Once Caldas host Deportivo Pasto in Manizales. Both teams are fighting at the top of the Liga BetPlay standings, separated by just a few points, and this encounter could have a major impact on the race for first place. The home side arrive in excellent form, while the visitors have been one of the most consistent teams in the competition so far. With both sides showing strong attacking numbers and solid defensive records, fans can expect a competitive and entertaining match.
Once Caldas come into this fixture full of confidence after a 0-2 away win against Deportivo Cali on March 7, extending their impressive run of results. In their last five league matches, they have recorded four wins and one defeat, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match. Their attacking consistency is remarkable, having scored in each of their last 12 Liga BetPlay matches.
At home, Once Caldas have been particularly dominant. They have not lost at half time in 18 of their last 20 home games, and their stadium has become a difficult place for any opponent. The team’s ability to maintain control early in matches has been key to their success, as they have avoided trailing at the break in 26 of their last 28 league fixtures. Moreover, their recent head-to-head record against Deportivo Pasto is encouraging, with four wins in the last five meetings and an average of 2.0 goals scored per game in those encounters.
With such consistency and the support of their fans, Once Caldas will look to extend their winning streak and possibly move to the top of the table. Their attacking rhythm and home advantage make them a serious threat in this fixture.
Deportivo Pasto travel to Manizales in excellent form as well. They currently sit top of the Liga BetPlay standings with 6 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 defeat. Their most recent result was a convincing 2-0 victory over América de Cali on March 10, confirming their strong start to the season. In their last five matches, they have remained unbeaten, collecting three wins and two draws while averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
On the road, Deportivo Pasto have shown they can compete effectively. They have earned two wins and one draw in four away games, and their matches tend to be lively, with over 0.5 goals scored in the first half of each of their last 11 away fixtures. However, one area of concern is their tendency to struggle early in matches, having lost at half time in 8 of their last 11 away games. Despite that, their resilience and ability to recover have allowed them to remain among the league’s best-performing sides.
Deportivo Pasto’s balance between attack and defense has been one of their main strengths. Their disciplined structure and ability to create chances even away from home make them a dangerous opponent for any team, including Once Caldas.
This top-of-the-table clash promises to be one of the highlights of the weekend in Colombian football. Once Caldas will rely on their strong home form and attacking momentum, while Deportivo Pasto will aim to maintain their unbeaten streak and prove their credentials as league leaders. The recent head-to-head history slightly favors the hosts, who have won the last three meetings between the sides, including a 1-0 victory in November 2025.
Statistically, both teams have shown solid defensive organization, with an average of just 1.0 goal conceded per match. However, their attacking numbers suggest that goals are likely, as both sides average close to two goals per game. The combination of Once Caldas’ home advantage and Pasto’s consistency could lead to a balanced and entertaining encounter, possibly decided by small details in the final third.
Given the current form and the data available, the BetMines prediction for this match points towards a home win (1) with a 59% probability. A draw (X) stands at 24%, while an away win (2) is estimated at 17%. With both teams in good scoring form, fans can expect a competitive match that could feature goals at both ends.
Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pasto
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
9
1
9
1