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Once Caldas
1 - 1
FT
Jaguares de Córdoba
Prediction published on Jan 31, 2026 1:03 AM by Dario in Colombia - Liga BetPlay | Modified on Jan 31, 2026 1:03 AM
The fourth round of the Colombian Apertura brings an intriguing clash in Manizales, where Once Caldas host Jaguares de Córdoba. Both sides are looking to consolidate their early-season form, with the home team aiming to extend their unbeaten run and the newly promoted visitors eager to prove their competitiveness in the top flight. The encounter promises to be a tactical battle, with Once Caldas relying on consistency and Jaguares hoping to surprise in a demanding environment.
Once Caldas approach this fixture in solid shape, remaining unbeaten after three rounds of the Liga BetPlay. Their campaign so far includes a 1-1 draw against América de Cali on January 30, following earlier results that show a balanced and disciplined side. Over their last five matches, they have recorded 2 wins and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. This consistency extends beyond the current season, as they have gone seven league matches without defeat when including the end of the previous campaign.
At home, Once Caldas have been particularly reliable, winning five of their last seven matches in Manizales. Their defensive structure has been a key factor, with the team rarely trailing at half time — in fact, they have avoided losing at half time in 19 of their last 21 league games. These numbers underline their ability to control matches and maintain composure even against strong opponents. With a current league ranking of 8th place and an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match this season, the hosts enter this encounter as slight favorites.
Jaguares de Córdoba arrive in Manizales with mixed results but encouraging signs of competitiveness. Having played only two matches so far due to a postponement, they opened their campaign with a home win over Deportivo Cali before falling 2-3 to Internacional de Bogotá on January 29. Despite that defeat, their attacking output has been notable, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last five fixtures. Their overall record in that span stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses.
As a newly promoted side, Jaguares are still adapting to the higher level of competition, particularly in away matches. However, they have shown resilience, having avoided defeat at half time in their last 20 away games. Their attacking consistency is also impressive — they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 14 matches. Ranked 13th in the Liga BetPlay, Jaguares will look to build on their early momentum while maintaining defensive discipline in a challenging venue. Their matches tend to be open, but they may adopt a more cautious approach against a well-organized opponent like Once Caldas.
Historically, this fixture has been balanced, though Jaguares de Córdoba have had a slight edge in recent meetings. In their last five head-to-head encounters, Once Caldas have managed 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, scoring an average of 0.4 goals per game while conceding 1.0. The most recent meeting ended 2-0 in favor of Once Caldas on August 26, 2024, a result that could boost the home side’s confidence ahead of this new chapter.
Tactically, Once Caldas are expected to take the initiative, building from a solid defensive base and controlling possession without taking unnecessary risks. Jaguares, on the other hand, are likely to prioritize compactness and quick transitions, aiming to exploit spaces on the counterattack. Given both teams’ recent trends, the match could unfold at a measured pace, with limited clear chances and a focus on maintaining structure rather than chasing an early goal.
All indicators point toward a balanced and low-scoring contest. Once Caldas’ home strength and defensive reliability contrast with Jaguares’ attacking enthusiasm but limited top-flight experience. The hosts are likely to dictate the tempo, while the visitors will aim to stay compact and strike on the break. Considering the statistical trends and recent performances, a tight match with few goals seems the most plausible scenario.
BetMines prediction for Once Caldas vs Jaguares de Córdoba: Once Caldas or Draw (Double Chance) and Under 2.5 Goals. The data suggests a cautious affair, with the home side favored to avoid defeat and the total goals likely staying below the 2.5 threshold.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Once Caldas
Jaguares de Córdoba
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1