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Prediction published on Jun 11, 2025 9:18 AM by Dario in Sweden - Superettan | Modified on Jun 11, 2025 9:18 AM
After a disastrous start with just 3 points from 11 games, Orebro hosts Sandviken in Matchday 12 of Superettan with a single objective: to secure their first win of the season and revive hopes of avoiding relegation. At the Behrn Arena, Patrik Haginge’s men are aiming to shake off a poor opening run—just three draws in eleven games—and climb off second-to-last place, currently 9 points adrift of safety. Although only one-third of the season has been played, it's already crucial for Orebro to start turning things around. According to the Swedish second division rules, the bottom two are relegated directly, while the 13th and 14th placed teams enter the relegation playoffs. There was, however, a small sign of hope in their last outing: a 3-3 home draw against Brage, which was a step forward in terms of gameplay and intensity. Unfortunately, the equalizer came in stoppage time, cancelling out McCue’s 85th-minute goal. It was a bitter ending that sums up Orebro’s season so far: decent offensive output, but major defensive issues (they currently have the worst defense in the league). Sandviken comes into this clash searching for consistency. After 11 rounds, Abdulic’s team sits 10th, just two points clear of the relegation playoff zone. Their most recent game was a surprising and crucial 2-1 win over third-placed Varbergs BoIS, giving the side some breathing room, helped by all six teams below them dropping points. It’s worth noting, though, that Sandviken has performed better at home and hasn’t won away since April. That makes this matchup at Behrn Arena even more open and unpredictable. Given how vital these three points are for both sides, we can expect a tight and hard-fought encounter.
In their latest Superettan fixture, Orebro managed to earn a point in a 3-3 home draw against Brage, a team sitting 10 points ahead of them in the standings. That draw felt more like a missed opportunity, as the visitors’ equalizer came deep into stoppage time after Orebro had taken the lead through McCue in the 85th minute.
In their last five matches, Orebro has recorded three losses and two draws, with an average of 2 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game. So far this season, they haven’t won a single match—just 3 points from 3 draws and 8 defeats—which explains their second-to-last position. They also have the league’s worst defensive record, with 25 goals conceded (2.27 per game).
At home, they’ve managed just 2 draws and 3 losses in this campaign. Their last home victory dates back to last season—a 2-1 win over Helsingborg in November.
Sandviken bounced back with a 2-1 win against third-placed Varbergs BoIS (goals by Tagesson and Olsson), ending a three-match winless streak that included a draw against Ostersund and two defeats against Orgryte (second in the table) and GIF Sundsvall (mid-table). Before that slump, they had defeated bottom side Umea 2-1.
After 11 rounds, Abdulic’s side has earned 14 points from 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, averaging 1 goal scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Away from home, they have only one win this season—2-1 at Helsingborg on April 5. Since then, they’ve registered 1 draw and 3 losses on the road, conceding 11 goals and scoring just 3. Their last away match ended in a heavy 4-0 defeat to Orgryte.
There have been three official meetings between these two sides: two 1-0 wins for Orebro (including one last September) and a 2-1 win for Sandviken earlier the same year. These results indicate how evenly matched the teams have been, with every game decided by just a single goal.
Despite the 11-point gap in the standings, both sides have shown defensive frailties in this early part of the season: Orebro has conceded in five straight games, while Sandviken has allowed goals in nine consecutive matches.
The home side will be especially motivated given their desperate league position. They’ll rely on the attacking duo of Kalle Holmberg and Linus Alperud, who have each scored 3 goals so far in Superettan.
Sandviken, meanwhile, hasn't won away since April but could capitalize on Orebro’s leaky backline. Playing in a 4-3-3 setup, they will look to hit on the counter through the pace of wingers Simba and Carlsson.
As for the Orebro vs Sandviken prediction, according to the BetMines algorithm, this should be a tight match with a chance of both teams getting on the scoresheet.
OREBRO (5-3-2): Pahlsson; Shlimon, Soderstrom, McCue, Modig, Kroon; Andersson, Bajrovic, Yakoub; Holmberg, Alperud. Coach: Haginge
SANDVIKEN (4-3-3): Sveijer; Tagesson, Thorn, Engqvist, Redenstrand; Mahammed, Soderberg, Olsson; Simba, Arvidsson, Carlsson. Coach: Abdulic
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Örebro
Sandviken
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1