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Prediction published on Sep 4, 2026 1:33 PM by Dario in Sweden - Allsvenskan | Modified on Sep 4, 2026 1:33 PM
Örgryte welcome Hammarby to Gamla Ullevi on September 6, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 12:00 local time. The Allsvenskan fixture brings together two teams experiencing sharply contrasting campaigns. Örgryte are 15th after recording three wins, five draws and 11 defeats, while second-placed Hammarby have collected 11 victories, three draws and five losses. Their respective goal differences underline the gap: the hosts stand at -20, compared with the visitors’ +26. Although both sides lost their latest match, the broader statistics give Hammarby a clear advantage. Their attacking output, strong recent first-half record and emphatic victory in the previous head-to-head meeting make this an especially demanding assignment for an Örgryte team still searching for stability.
Örgryte enter this home match without a victory in their last five fixtures. That sequence consists of two draws and three defeats, with the team averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Their most recent result was a 1-0 loss against IFK Göteborg on August 30, extending a difficult run at an important stage of the Allsvenskan season.
Their season numbers provide further evidence of the challenge facing them. Örgryte have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded in league competition, producing a record of three wins, five draws and 11 losses. The negative goal difference of 20 and their position of 15th reflect a side that has regularly struggled to balance its attacking efforts with defensive resistance.
Goals have nevertheless been a consistent feature of their fixtures. At least two total goals were scored in 27 of Örgryte’s last 29 matches. This statistic refers to the combined score in those games and indicates that their contests rarely finish with a minimal total. The hosts have also been behind at half-time in 11 of their previous 17 matches across all competitions and in 10 of their last 16 Allsvenskan fixtures. Falling behind so frequently before the interval could be particularly costly against opponents who have recently made fast starts.
Hammarby also arrive after a setback, having lost 3-2 against AIK on August 30. However, their overall recent form is considerably stronger than that of the hosts. They have won three and lost two of their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals while conceding only 0.8 per game during that period.
Across the Allsvenskan campaign, Hammarby have registered 11 wins, three draws and five defeats. Their averages of 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded highlight their strength at both ends of the pitch. They have scored 44 league goals, the second-highest total in the division, and their +26 goal difference contrasts significantly with Örgryte’s -20.
The visitors’ first-half results are another important part of this match preview. Hammarby have been leading at the interval in each of their last four Allsvenskan games and in their last three away matches. That pattern aligns directly with Örgryte’s repeated half-time deficits and suggests that the opening period could have a major influence on the final outcome.
Hammarby’s matches have also consistently produced goals. Over 1.5 total goals have been scored in their last 12 league fixtures. Meanwhile, at least one second-half goal has occurred in each of their last 15 Allsvenskan away games, in 28 of their last 29 league matches and in 18 of their previous 20 away fixtures across all competitions. Even if the first half establishes an advantage, the statistical record indicates that the action is unlikely to stop after the break.
The available numbers point toward Hammarby controlling this contest. Their win probability stands at 61%, compared with 22% for the draw and 17% for an Örgryte victory. Those percentages are supported by the difference in league records, scoring averages and recent form. Hammarby have won three of their last five, whereas Örgryte have failed to win during the same period.
The previous meeting also provides a striking reference point. Hammarby won the latest head-to-head encounter 8-1 on April 18, 2026. Across the summarized series between the teams, Örgryte have one win, two draws and two losses, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Three of the last five meetings have ended with Hammarby winning by at least three goals, emphasizing the visitors’ capacity to create a decisive margin in this fixture.
There is also a reasonable case for another match containing several goals. The probability for over 2.5 goals is 54%, while both teams to score carries a 52% probability. Örgryte’s long run of matches producing at least two total goals combines with Hammarby’s 2.3 league scoring average and consistent second-half goal trend. Nevertheless, the clearest overall conclusion concerns the likely winner rather than the exact scoreline. Hammarby possess the stronger season record, the better recent results and a substantial statistical edge in attack and defence.
Örgryte vs Hammarby prediction from BetMines: Hammarby win (2) with 61% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Örgryte
Hammarby
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1