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Orlando City
11:30 PM
October 24, 2026
New York City
Prediction published on Oct 22, 2026 9:32 PM by Dario in USA - Major League Soccer | Modified on Oct 22, 2026 9:32 PM
Orlando City host New York City in Major League Soccer on October 24, 2026, with the match scheduled for 23:30 local time at Spectrum Stadium. With the season approaching its final fixtures, both teams are seeking points in the playoff race. Orlando are seventh and New York City are 12th, with seven points separating them. The hosts arrive after a 4-1 win over DC United, while the visitors drew 1-1 with Los Angeles FC in their most recent match. Orlando’s recent scoring record gives them reason for confidence, although their defensive figures suggest this contest may not be straightforward.
Orlando City have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five matches. Across that stretch, they have averaged 2.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game. Their 4-1 victory over DC United on October 17 was the latest result in a run that has also seen them score at least three goals in each of their last three matches.
Their Major League Soccer season record stands at 12 wins, five draws and 13 defeats, with averages of 1.9 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. Those figures underline the contrast in Orlando’s form: they have been a consistent attacking presence, but have also allowed opponents opportunities. They have scored at least once in each of their last 18 league matches and in 19 of their last 20 league games at home. Across all venues, 37 of their last 40 MLS matches have featured more than 1.5 total goals.
There is also a clear first-half pattern in Orlando’s results. At least one goal has been scored before half-time in each of their last 13 league matches and in 18 of their last 20 MLS home games. Orlando themselves have led at the interval in their last four home league fixtures. After the break, at least one goal has been scored in 25 of their last 26 MLS matches, so their recent games have rarely settled into a scoreless second half.
New York City travel to Orlando without a win in their last five matches, having recorded two draws and three defeats. They have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across those games. Their latest outing, a 1-1 draw with Los Angeles FC on October 17, added a point but did not end that winless five-match spell. The supplied match account also notes that they have won only once in their last 13 matches.
Over the MLS season, New York City have registered eight wins, 10 draws and 12 defeats. Their averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match are level, but their recent five-game figures show a lower scoring rate. That makes Orlando’s current attacking output a notable challenge for the visitors, even if the hosts’ own goals-conceded average leaves room for New York City to make an impact.
Goals before the interval have been a particularly persistent feature of New York City’s away fixtures: their last 21 MLS away matches have all produced at least one first-half goal. The same has been true in 20 of their last 22 league matches overall. In addition, each of their last 10 MLS away games has finished with more than 1.5 total goals. Those away trends sit alongside Orlando’s home figures as the teams prepare to meet.
The contrast in current results favors Orlando City: they scored four against DC United and have averaged 2.8 goals over their last five games, while New York City have not won any of their last five. The season-long and recent defensive numbers, however, offer a reason to be cautious about treating a home victory as certain. Orlando have conceded an average of 2.8 goals across that same five-match span.
The head-to-head record provides another counterweight to Orlando’s recent attacking form. In 32 meetings cited in the supplied match account, New York City have won 13 times and Orlando eight. From Orlando’s perspective, the five-match head-to-head summary is no wins, one draw and four defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 2.8 conceded. The latest meeting ended 5-0 on March 7, 2026. Those figures show why New York City’s current results should not be the only measure of this fixture.
For this match preview, the strongest shared statistical theme is the likelihood of an eventful opening period. Orlando’s last 13 league fixtures have had a first-half goal, and New York City’s last 21 MLS away games have followed the same pattern. Orlando have also been ahead at half-time in four consecutive home league matches. Those records do not determine which side will score first, but they make the opening 45 minutes especially relevant to the analysis.
Orlando City vs New York City prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 85% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Orlando City
New York City
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
1
9
7
3
3.5
3
7
9
1
4.5
3
7
10
0