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Prediction published on Nov 5, 2026 5:35 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Nov 5, 2026 5:35 PM
Osasuna host Athletic Club in La Liga on November 7, 2026, with kick-off set for 17:30 local time at Estadio El Sadar. The two sides arrive with contrasting results: Osasuna have lost three of their last five matches, while Athletic have won three of theirs and come into the fixture after a 2-1 victory over Real Sociedad. Osasuna sit 15th in the league and Athletic seventh, but the visitors’ recent form is only one part of the match preview. The hosts have had defensive problems this season, yet their recent games have also brought goals at the other end. Those trends, together with both teams’ first-half records, make the opening stages particularly worth watching.
Osasuna have recorded three wins, two draws and six defeats in La Liga. Across those league matches, they have averaged one goal scored and two conceded per game. Their latest result was a 2-1 defeat to Deportivo A Coruña on November 2, following a 2-0 loss to Sevilla in their previous league outing. Arrasate’s return began with a 2-0 win over Racing de Santander, but those subsequent league results have prevented Osasuna from building on it.
Their last five matches across competitions tell a more varied story: two wins and three defeats, with averages of 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. A 6-0 cup victory over Atlético Calatayud contributed to that recent scoring figure. In the league, however, Osasuna’s 22 goals conceded in 11 games remain a concern as they prepare to face an Athletic side that has scored six times across its last two league fixtures.
Ante Budimir has supplied much of Osasuna’s league scoring, with eight goals in 11 appearances. Moi Gómez has contributed two assists in eight matches, including a pass that led to a goal against Deportivo A Coruña. At home, another statistic offers a different perspective from Osasuna’s overall defensive record: each of their last 11 home league matches has finished with under 3.5 total goals. Their games have nevertheless tended to get off the mark early, with at least one first-half goal in each of their last 11 matches across competitions and each of their last 10 in La Liga.
Athletic Club have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game while conceding 1.0. Their November 1 win over Real Sociedad followed a 4-0 league victory against Getafe, giving them six goals across those two fixtures. They also beat El Prat 6-1 in the cup. In La Liga overall, Athletic have four wins, three draws and three defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
Álex Berenguer enters this match with four league goals and three assists, having scored in each of the last three rounds. Iñaki Williams found the net against both Getafe and Real Sociedad, while Nico Williams provided an assist in the Real Sociedad match. Those contributions help explain Athletic’s recent attacking improvement, although their wider league scoring average is lower than their output over the last five matches.
First-half results add an intriguing contrast. Athletic have led at half-time in each of their last three matches, but have trailed at the interval in eight of their last 12 away league games. That away record cautions against assuming their recent starts will carry over unchanged to this trip. It does, however, underline how much can happen before the break when set alongside Osasuna’s run of first-half goals in their matches.
Athletic bring the stronger recent record into this meeting, while Osasuna have won two of their last five despite losing the other three. The hosts’ league defensive average gives Athletic’s in-form attackers an opportunity, but Budimir’s eight league goals provide a clear reason not to overlook Osasuna’s scoring threat. The most recent head-to-head meeting ended 1-0 on April 21, 2026; across the five meetings in the supplied head-to-head record, Osasuna have one win, two draws and two defeats.
The match statistics point in more than one direction for a full-time goals assessment. Osasuna’s last 11 home league fixtures have stayed below four total goals, even as their recent all-competition scoring average has risen. Athletic’s last five matches have been productive in attack, but their season-long league average is more modest. The clearer shared theme concerns timing: Osasuna’s last 10 league games have all featured a goal before half-time, and Athletic have led at the break in their last three matches. Osasuna have also trailed at half-time in six of their last 10 league games, though Athletic’s away half-time record shows that an early advantage cannot simply be assigned to the visitors. For this La Liga preview, a first-half goal is the conclusion most directly supported by the supplied trends.
Osasuna vs Athletic Club prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 71% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Osasuna
Athletic Club
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
7
3
9
1