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Prediction published on Sep 23, 2025 12:50 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Sep 25, 2025 10:22 AM
On Thursday, September 25, at El Sadar Stadium, Osasuna hosts Elche in one of the final fixtures of LaLiga 2025/26 Matchday 6, the first midweek round of a championship that promises to be as competitive and thrilling as always. The home side is looking for a win that would allow them to catch up with their guests, currently three points ahead in the standings. Osasuna comes into this match with a modest haul of 6 points in 5 games, while newly-promoted Elche has already accumulated 9 points. Alessio Lisci's team, in his first experience as a top-flight coach, cannot afford any slip-ups, as a defeat would see them fall further from European qualification spots. After narrowly missing out last season, Osasuna will do everything to achieve this objective, giving their fans immense joy. On the other hand, newly-promoted Elche is exceeding all expectations, finding themselves among the top positions just a few points from the Champions League zone. Sarabia’s men know the season is just beginning, but they can take advantage of this positive momentum and the disappointing performances of direct relegation rivals to build a comfortable margin over the danger zone and aim for a stable season. Expect a competitive match, with the home team trying to leverage home advantage to bounce back from their recent defeat to Villarreal, while the visitors will aim to secure their first away victory since returning to the top flight.
Osasuna, defeated 2-1 last Saturday at Villarreal, suffered their third loss in the first five rounds of the season. Alessio Lisci’s side is struggling to find consistency, alternating wins and losses, and has so far collected 6 points from victories against Valencia and Rayo Vallecano.
The main weakness seems to be the attack, scoring only 4 goals in five matches, relying heavily on Ante Budimir, who has scored half of the team’s total goals. Defensively, however, the team is performing well, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game.
At home, Osasuna can count on a true fortress: in the last six LaLiga home matches at El Sadar Stadium, the Rojillos have won every game. Unsurprisingly, all six points so far have come at home, thanks to 1-0 victories against Valencia and 2-0 against Rayo Vallecano.
Newly-promoted Elche is surprising everyone at the start of the season, arriving at Matchday 6 still unbeaten. Sarabia’s team has collected two wins and three draws, the latest being a 1-0 victory over Real Oviedo last Sunday, thanks to a goal from Portuguese forward André Silva after just 9 minutes.
This excellent start has placed Elche in fifth place with 9 points, averaging 1.4 goals scored per game and 0.8 goals conceded. The team has been consistent offensively, led by newcomers André Silva and Rafa Mir, and solid defensively, keeping clean sheets in two of their five matches.
The only concern remains away performance: in the first two away games, Elche managed two draws in difficult stadiums, 1-1 against Atlético Madrid and 2-2 at Sevilla.
In the early stages of the season, Osasuna has shown a double-speed trend: flawless at home but rather poor on the road. Despite being three points behind in the standings, Alessio Lisci’s team starts as favorites for victory.
Head-to-head records favor Osasuna, victorious twice in the last three home meetings against Elche, with one draw completing the balance. The last encounter, in April 2023, saw the Rojillos win 2-1 at home with a brace from Abde Ezzalzouli, now playing for Real Betis.
Another factor supporting the Osasuna victory prediction is that in their first two home games of the season, they have kept clean sheets, showing a defense capable of excelling in front of their fans.
The visitors, meanwhile, have only drawn on the road so far but have played very competitive matches against Atlético Madrid and Sevilla. This means Sarabia’s side will certainly challenge the hosts, but home advantage could ultimately be the decisive factor for Osasuna.
OSASUNA (3-4-3): Herrera; Boyomo, Catena, Cruz; Bretones, Torro, I. Munoz, Moncayola; Garcia, Budimir, V. Munoz. Coach: Alessio Lisci
ELCHE (3-4-1-2): Pena; Nunez, Affengruber, Bigas; Josan, Febas, Mendoza, Valera; Diangana; Mir, Silva. Coach: Eder Sarabia
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Osasuna
Elche
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1