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Osasuna
2:15 PM
September 12, 2026
Espanyol
Prediction published on Sep 10, 2026 2:47 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Sep 10, 2026 2:47 PM
Osasuna host Espanyol at Estadio El Sadar on Saturday, September 12, with kick-off scheduled for 14:15 local time. The La Liga fixture brings together two teams separated by three points after four league matches: Osasuna are eighth with seven points, while Espanyol sit 12th with four. The hosts are looking to recover from a heavy defeat in their latest outing, whereas the visitors arrive after rescuing a draw in stoppage time. Both sides have already experienced contrasting results this season, making this an important opportunity to establish greater consistency and strengthen their positions away from the lower end of the standings.
Osasuna have recorded two wins, one draw and one defeat in La Liga this season. Their campaign began with a goalless draw against Levante before victories over Celta Vigo and Getafe provided a positive response. The 2-1 success against Celta was followed by a narrow 1-0 result against Getafe, but that run was interrupted by a 5-2 defeat against Deportivo Alavés on September 6.
Across their last five matches, Osasuna have collected two victories and one draw while suffering two defeats. They have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per game during that sequence. Their league numbers are slightly different, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 allowed across the opening four rounds. Those figures show that Osasuna have been capable of producing decisive results, although the seven goals in their most recent match exposed defensive issues that they will want to correct immediately.
The home side enter this fixture in eighth place and level on seven points with sixth-placed Atlético. Their early victories have kept them close to the European positions despite the setback against Deportivo Alavés. Budimir, described as Osasuna's player in the best form, is expected to remain an important attacking reference. However, the hosts will be without Moi Gómez, Herrando, Rosier and Aimar Oroz.
Espanyol opened their season with an emphatic 3-0 victory over Levante, but they were then beaten 2-1 by both Real Madrid and Real Sociedad. Their latest match produced a 1-1 draw against Sevilla on September 6, with the equaliser arriving in stoppage time. That result ended a run of two consecutive defeats and moved the visitors onto four points from four league games.
The Catalan side's season record stands at one victory, one draw and two losses. Espanyol are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per La Liga match. Looking at their latest five fixtures, they have one win, one draw and three defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals for and 1.6 against. While the results have been inconsistent, Espanyol have scored in every competitive match described from the start of this league campaign.
A notable trend surrounds the overall scoring level in their league games: under 3.5 goals have been recorded in Espanyol's last 11 La Liga matches. There has also been at least one second-half goal in 18 of their last 20 away league fixtures. These numbers point towards matches that generally stay below a very high scoreline but still contain decisive action, particularly after the interval.
Espanyol will travel without Kike García and Javi Puado. Even with those absences, the visitors have demonstrated that they can compete and find the net, scoring six times across their opening four league matches. Their challenge at El Sadar will be to turn that scoring consistency into a stronger overall result after taking only one point from the last three rounds.
Osasuna: Sergio Herrera; Arguibide, Boyomo, Catena, Bretones; Iker Muñoz, Moncayola; Dubasin, Rubén García, Kike Barja; Budimir.
Espanyol: Dmitrovic; El Hilali, Unai Núñez, Cabrera, Hinojo; Urko, Edu Expósito; Calatrava, Javi Hernández, Dolan; Roberto Fernández.
The available numbers suggest a competitive match rather than a clear mismatch. Osasuna hold the stronger league position and have won twice in four rounds, but they must respond defensively after conceding five goals in their latest appearance. Espanyol have fewer points and three defeats in their last five matches, yet their average of 1.5 league goals per game is slightly higher than Osasuna's 1.3.
The win probabilities give Osasuna a 46% chance, compared with 27% for the draw and 27% for Espanyol. Home advantage and the three-point gap therefore place Osasuna slightly ahead, although the combined 54% probability for a draw or away victory underlines the uncertainty surrounding the result. Espanyol's ability to score in each of their four league fixtures also means the hosts cannot rely solely on their superior points total.
Recent head-to-head data adds to the sense of balance. Across the five-match summary, Osasuna have one win, two draws and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The most recent meeting ended 1-2 on May 17, 2026. That record does not indicate sustained dominance from either team and reinforces the possibility of another closely fought contest.
There is only a narrow statistical preference in the main goal markets: both teams to score is rated at 52%, while under 2.5 goals also stands at 52%. Espanyol's long run of league matches finishing below 3.5 goals supports a controlled overall scoreline, but the teams' current scoring and conceding averages still create a solid case for at least two goals. Osasuna's last match contained seven, Espanyol have found the net in every league game listed, and both sides are conceding more than one goal per match on average this season. A result in the two-to-three-goal range would therefore fit several of the strongest trends surrounding this fixture.
Osasuna vs Espanyol prediction from BetMines: Over 1.5 goals with 73% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Osasuna
Espanyol
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
5
5
2
8
3.5
9
1
6
4
4.5
9
1
9
1