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Prediction published on Oct 2, 2025 10:02 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Oct 2, 2025 10:12 AM
The eighth round of La Liga opens at El Sadar with a clash between Osasuna and Getafe, two sides eager to end their winless streaks. Both teams arrive at this fixture after three consecutive matches without a victory, making this encounter crucial for their ambitions in the league table. Osasuna, currently 13th with 7 points, have collected all their points at home, while Getafe sit 8th with 11 points but have slowed down after a strong start to the season.
Osasuna have struggled to find consistency this season, with a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 defeats in La Liga. Their main issue has been in attack, with only 0.7 goals scored per game on average. In their last five matches, they managed just one win, one draw, and three defeats, scoring 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.2. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-0 defeat against Real Betis on September 28.
Despite their struggles, Osasuna remain strong at home. All of their points this season have come at El Sadar, where they have recorded two wins and one draw. They have also shown a remarkable trend of winning at half time in their last nine home matches in La Liga. Additionally, Osasuna have scored at least once in each of their last 16 home league games, and over 0.5 goals have been scored in 30 of their last 31 matches overall. However, their away form has been disastrous, with four defeats in four games and only one goal scored on the road.
For this match, coach Jagoba Arrasate cannot count on Aimar Oroz due to injury, but Juan Cruz returns and is expected to start. The probable lineup includes: Herrera; Rosier, Boyomo, Catena, Juan Cruz, Bretones; Torró, Moncayola; Víctor Muñoz, Moi Gómez, and Budimir.
Getafe began the season brightly with three wins in their first four matches, but their momentum has slowed. In their last three games, they suffered a 3-0 defeat at Barcelona and recorded two consecutive 1-1 draws at home against Alavés and Levante. Overall, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats this season, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
One of the most striking statistics about Getafe is their resilience: they have only lost twice this season, one of those defeats coming against the reigning champions. They also have a strong record of avoiding draws away from home, with no draws in their last 18 away La Liga matches. However, they tend to struggle in the first half of away games, having lost at half time in 6 of their last 10 away fixtures.
For this match, Juanmi is sidelined with injury, while Adrián Liso is unavailable due to international duty at the U20 World Cup. Coach José Bordalás is expected to field: Soria; Kiko Femenía, Djene, Abqar, Duarte, Diego Rico; Luis Milla, Mario Martín, Arambarri; Sancris and Mayoral.
This fixture promises to be a tight and low-scoring affair. Both teams have shown limitations in attack recently, with Osasuna averaging less than a goal per game and Getafe also struggling to find the net consistently. Historical head-to-head results also suggest a balanced contest: in their last five meetings, Osasuna have won once, drawn once, and lost three times, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per match.
Osasuna’s home form could be their biggest weapon, as they have been much stronger at El Sadar compared to their away performances. On the other hand, Getafe’s resilience and ability to grind out results make them a difficult opponent to beat. The absence of key players like Oroz for Osasuna and Liso for Getafe could further limit attacking options, reinforcing the likelihood of a cautious and tactical battle.
Given the current dynamics, a draw or a narrow win for Getafe seems plausible, but Osasuna’s strong home record cannot be ignored. Expect a match with few goals, where defensive solidity will likely prevail over attacking flair.
Osasuna vs Getafe prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Osasuna
Getafe
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
5
5
2.5
3
7
8
2
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0