Osasuna and Levante meet in La Liga on Monday, August 24, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:30 local time at Estadio El Sadar in Pamplona. The hosts are preparing for their first league appearance of the campaign after their opening fixture was postponed because of the poor condition of the pitch. Levante have already played once, suffering a clear 3-0 defeat away to Espanyol. Although the recent overall records of the two teams are identical, home advantage, Levante’s difficult start and the recent head-to-head numbers give Osasuna reasons for confidence. The La Liga rankings currently place Osasuna 14th and Levante 19th.

Osasuna Recent Form and Key Statistics

Osasuna begin their league campaign under Ramis after narrowly securing survival on the final matchday of the previous season. Their immediate objective is to avoid another difficult battle, and this home fixture provides the first opportunity to establish a more positive direction. With no competitive league performance from the new campaign available yet, recent results offer the clearest indication of their condition.

Across their last five matches, Osasuna have recorded three wins and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 1.2 per game. Their most recently listed result was a 2-0 loss against Al Ain on August 8, 2026. That setback adds some uncertainty ahead of the opener, but the broader five-match sequence remains positive in terms of victories.

The strongest statistical argument for the home side is their consistent scoring record at El Sadar. Osasuna have found the net at least once in each of their last 18 home matches in La Liga. This prolonged run suggests they have repeatedly been able to create a breakthrough in front of their own support, even when the final result has varied.

There has also been notable second-half action in their recent home league fixtures. Both teams scored after the interval in each of Osasuna’s last four La Liga matches at home. That pattern could become relevant if the opening stages are cautious and the contest develops after half-time. Osasuna’s recent head-to-head record provides another encouraging point: the summary against Levante stands at three wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.

Levante Recent Form and Key Statistics

Levante travel to Pamplona seeking a reaction after losing 3-0 against Espanyol on August 16. Their league record therefore reads one defeat from one match, with no goals scored and an average of three conceded. The scale of that opening loss highlighted the work still facing Luis Castro’s team at the beginning of the season.

The visitors have also been dealing with registration issues. Hugo Sotelo, Dani Requena, Thiago Fernández and Musuayi were unable to participate in the league opener, while the club was working to complete the pending registrations. Luis Castro also acknowledged before the match that further additions were still required to strengthen the squad. These circumstances form an important part of Levante’s early-season context, although their wider sequence is more balanced than the Espanyol result alone suggests.

Levante’s last five matches have produced three victories and two defeats, exactly the same win-loss split as Osasuna over that period. They averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. However, their only La Liga outing of the new season ended without a goal in their favour, leaving them in need of a sharper attacking response at El Sadar.

Second-half goals have been a recurring feature of Levante’s league matches. More than 0.5 goals were scored after half-time in 22 of their last 24 La Liga fixtures, and the same frequency applies across their last 24 matches overall. This does not specify which team scored, but it clearly indicates that Levante’s games have regularly produced at least one goal following the interval.

The recent venue-specific record makes this trip particularly demanding. Levante have lost on their last three visits to El Sadar, while the latest head-to-head meeting ended in a 3-2 result on May 8, 2026. They must therefore improve significantly on the display against Espanyol if they are to reverse that trend.

Osasuna vs Levante Match Analysis

The available numbers point to a competitive fixture, but they also establish Osasuna as the more likely winner. The calculated probabilities give the hosts a 48% chance of victory, compared with 26% for the draw and 26% for a Levante win. That advantage is reinforced by Osasuna’s home scoring sequence and their favourable record in the recent meetings between the sides.

The goal markets present a less decisive picture. Both Teams To Score is rated at 54%, while Over 2.5 goals also carries a 54% probability. At the same time, the last-ten-match figures list Over 2.5 at only 7% for each team. Rather than providing one completely dominant goals angle, these statistics underline the importance of the match-result evidence and Osasuna’s home record.

The second half could still be crucial. Osasuna’s last four home league matches featured goals from both sides after the break, while 22 of Levante’s previous 24 league games contained at least one second-half goal. If the first period remains balanced, the contest has statistical support for opening up later as both teams search for a decisive result.

Osasuna have not yet played a league fixture this season, so their precise level under Ramis remains uncertain. Nevertheless, their run of scoring in 18 consecutive home league matches gives them a dependable foundation. Levante, by contrast, arrive after conceding three times without scoring against Espanyol and while working through registration-related difficulties. Combined with three successive defeats on visits to El Sadar, those factors place the visitors under pressure.

Overall, home advantage appears capable of separating two teams that share the same three-win, two-loss record across their last five matches. Osasuna’s superior head-to-head summary, stronger venue-specific evidence and Levante’s poor opening performance make a home victory the most coherent conclusion, even though the probability percentages indicate that the game may remain closely contested.

Probable Lineups for Osasuna vs Levante

Osasuna: Herrera; Herrando, Rosier, Galán, Boyomo, Catena; Torró, Moncayola, Oroz; García, Budimir.

Levante: Ryan; Mandi, de la Fuente, García, Sánchez; Pérez, Olasagasti, Álvarez, Rey; Romero, Cortés.

Osasuna vs Levante prediction from BetMines: Osasuna win (1) with 48% probability.