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Prediction published on Apr 22, 2025 10:36 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Apr 22, 2025 11:25 AM
Estadio El Sadar in Pamplona will host a crucial clash on Thursday, April 24, featuring two teams with very different goals: Osasuna, chasing European qualification, and Sevilla, fighting to avoid relegation. The home side, buoyed by back-to-back wins over Getafe and Real Valladolid, now sit just two points off eighth place and three behind seventh—an unexpected European push considering they finished last season 12 points off the European zone. The situation is far more precarious for Sevilla, who are only six points above the relegation zone with six matches remaining in the La Liga season. To avoid slipping further, the board made the decision to part ways with manager Garcia Pimienta two weeks ago, appointing experienced coach Joaquín Caparrós. His debut was bittersweet: despite taking the lead, Sevilla were held to a 1-1 home draw by Alavés. Still, it ended a four-match losing streak, offering a bit more confidence heading into this pivotal Matchday 33 fixture.
Osasuna secured a thrilling 3-2 victory away at Real Valladolid, thanks to a brace from Budimir and a goal by Rubén García. That win followed a 2-1 home success over Getafe, giving them two straight victories. In their last 5 matches, Moreno’s squad have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss—scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game while conceding 1.4.
With 41 points (9 wins, 14 draws, 9 losses), Osasuna have reignited their hopes of finishing in a European spot. At El Sadar, they’ve lost just 2 of their last 10 La Liga matches, including a notable draw against Real Madrid in February.
Sevilla are mired in a crisis, with 4 losses and 1 draw from their last 5 La Liga games. Their latest result, a 1-1 home draw with Alavés (goal by Peque), gave Caparrós his first point since replacing Garcia Pimienta, who was dismissed after a loss to Valencia.
The Rojiblancos are enduring a disappointing campaign, sitting on just 37 points—only six above the drop zone. Away from home, they've lost their last two league matches (against Real Betis and Valencia), though they were previously unbeaten in five (3 wins, 2 draws).
This La Liga Matchday 33 encounter is vital for both clubs—Osasuna want to stay in the hunt for Europe, while Sevilla need to steer clear of relegation danger. That sets the stage for a tense, hard-fought contest.
Given that both teams are among the lowest scoring in the league—Osasuna average 1.22 goals/game, Sevilla 1.09 goals/game—this could be a tight affair with limited scoring chances. The reverse fixture ended 1-1 on December 2, a result mirrored in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head matches.
Due to their attacking struggles and past meetings, the BetMines algorithm’s prediction for Osasuna vs Sevilla favors under 2.5 total goals.
Osasuna (5-3-2): Sergio Herrera; Areso, Catena, Boyomo, Herrando, Bretones; Ibáñez, Torró, Oroz; Rubén García, Budimir. Manager: Moreno.
Sevilla (4-4-2): Nyland; Carmona, Badé, Salas, Pedrosa; Sánchez, Agoumé, Sow, Ejuke; Lukébakio, Isaac Romero. Manager: Caparrós.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Osasuna
Sevilla
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
9
1
8
2