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Pachuca vs Guadalajara Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga MX 29-08-2026

Pachuca

1 - 1

FT

Guadalajara

Estadio Hidalgo
Víctor Alfonso Cáceres Hernández
moderate rain °C

Prediction published on Aug 28, 2026 3:05 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Aug 28, 2026 3:05 AM

Pachuca welcome Guadalajara to Estadio Hidalgo on August 29, 2026, with the Liga MX fixture scheduled to begin at 23:00 local time. The teams enter the sixth round with contrasting domestic records. Pachuca are 14th after collecting one victory, one draw and three defeats, while Guadalajara sit fourth with three wins, one draw and one loss. The visitors, also known as Chivas, have accumulated ten points and arrive in stronger form, but Pachuca will seek to use home advantage to change the direction of their campaign. Both clubs exited in the first round of the Leagues Cup, making their Liga MX objectives the central focus of this encounter.

Pachuca Recent Form and Key Statistics

Pachuca have endured an inconsistent opening to the Liga MX season. Their record of one win, one draw and three losses is accompanied by averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per league match. Across their latest five fixtures, however, their defensive average rises to 1.8 goals conceded, compared with 1.2 scored. That sequence contains one victory, one draw and three defeats, underlining the need for greater consistency at both ends of the pitch.

The home side enter this contest after drawing 1-1 with Atlético San Luis on August 23. Carlos Moreno scored in the closing stages to secure the point. That result followed a 3-2 defeat against Puebla, another match in which Pachuca found the net but were unable to prevent their opponents from taking the result.

Their Leagues Cup campaign also produced mixed outcomes. Pachuca recorded a victory against Charlotte but suffered defeats to Columbus Crew and Cincinnati. Those results reflect the wider pattern surrounding the team: they have shown that they can score, although their recent numbers indicate that controlling matches defensively has been more difficult.

One encouraging home statistic is Pachuca's first-half record in Liga MX. They have been leading at half-time in nine of their last 14 home league matches. That trend gives the hosts a potential route into the contest, especially against a Guadalajara side arriving with momentum. A positive opening period could be important if Pachuca are to improve a record that has not yet included consecutive victories.

Christian Rivera is one of the Pachuca players to watch. The 30-year-old Colombian midfielder has started four matches, averaging 83 minutes per appearance and accumulating 332 minutes. His regular involvement makes him a notable figure as the hosts attempt to compete with one of the division's stronger early performers.

Guadalajara Recent Form and Key Statistics

Guadalajara have made the better start to the Liga MX season, recording three wins, one draw and one defeat. Chivas are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per league match, giving them stronger attacking and defensive figures than Pachuca. Their latest five-match sample is similarly positive, with three victories, one draw and one defeat, alongside averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.

The visitors produced an emphatic result in their most recent match, beating Tijuana 5-2 on August 22. Before that victory, they defeated Santos by a one-goal margin and overcame Seattle Sounders 2-1 in the Leagues Cup. Those three successive wins provide Guadalajara with clear momentum ahead of their trip to Estadio Hidalgo, even though their Leagues Cup participation ended in the first round.

Diego Campillo is a player who may attract attention for Guadalajara. The 24-year-old Mexican defender has started three of four possible matches, scoring one goal and providing one assist. He has also been selected in the team of the week once. Meanwhile, Armando González is no longer part of the Chivas squad.

Guadalajara's balance has been one of the clearest differences between the sides. They have scored more frequently across both their league campaign and latest five matches, while conceding less often in the recent sample. Their current position and results therefore give them a statistical advantage, although Pachuca's strong record for leading at the interval in home league games means the visitors cannot expect a straightforward evening.

Pachuca vs Guadalajara Match Analysis

The recent head-to-head record strongly favors Guadalajara. From Pachuca's perspective, the summary of the last five meetings reads zero wins, zero draws and five defeats. Pachuca averaged only 0.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across that sequence. The latest encounter, played on January 10, 2026, finished 2-0, extending Guadalajara's run of victories in this fixture.

Current form points in the same direction. Pachuca have taken only one win from their latest five matches and have conceded an average of 1.8 goals during that period. Guadalajara, by comparison, have won three of their last five while scoring 1.8 goals per game and allowing only 1.0. The supplied match probabilities also place the visitors ahead: Guadalajara have a 45% chance of victory, compared with 29% for Pachuca and 25% for the draw.

Goals remain an important theme in the preview. Both teams have scored in their recent league outings, with Pachuca drawing 1-1 and Guadalajara winning 5-2. The available figures give Both Teams To Score a 56% probability, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 53%. Pachuca's season averages show an even split between goals scored and conceded, whereas Guadalajara combine a higher scoring average with a lower rate of goals allowed.

The opening half may also shape the contest. Pachuca's record of leading at half-time in nine of their previous 14 home Liga MX matches suggests that they are capable of beginning strongly at Estadio Hidalgo. Guadalajara must therefore match the hosts' early intensity before attempting to make their superior recent form and head-to-head record count.

Overall, the evidence gives Guadalajara the edge. Their higher league ranking, stronger five-match record, three consecutive victories and perfect recent head-to-head sequence all support the visitors. Pachuca's home first-half numbers and ability to score prevent the match from looking one-sided, but their recent defensive average and lack of consecutive wins leave Chivas with the more convincing profile.

Pachuca vs Guadalajara prediction from BetMines: Guadalajara win (2) with 45% probability.

Pachuca vs Guadalajara - Predictions

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Pachuca vs Guadalajara: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Pachuca

Guadalajara

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

70%

7

30%

3

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Pachuca and Guadalajara in Liga MX

Apertura - Ranking

Team

2

Guadalajara

7

4

2

1

12:6

14

2

D
W
W
D
W
11

Pachuca

7

2

2

3

10:8

8

1.14

L
L
D
D
W
Final Series Play-offs

Who will win ?

Pachuca vs Guadalajara: Frequently asked questions

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When will Pachuca vs Guadalajara be played?
The Liga MX match between Pachuca and Guadalajara will be played on August 29, 2026 at 23:00.
Where will Pachuca vs Guadalajara be played?
The match between Pachuca and Guadalajara will be played at Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto - Mexico
Who will referee Pachuca vs Guadalajara?
The referee for the match will be Víctor Alfonso Cáceres Hernández.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Pachuca vs Guadalajara in the Liga MX?
The odds are: Pachuca to win 3.10, draw 3.50, Guadalajara to win 2.25.
What are the betting odds for Pachuca vs Guadalajara for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga MX?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.70 and Under 2.5 at 2.10.
Will both Pachuca and Guadalajara score in the Liga MX?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.57, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.25.
What is the most likely correct score for Pachuca vs Guadalajara in the Liga MX?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Pachuca and Guadalajara?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Pachuca and Guadalajara, Pachuca won 0 times, Guadalajara won 5, and 0 ended in a draw.

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