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Prediction published on Mar 6, 2026 3:01 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Mar 6, 2026 3:01 AM
The Liga MX continues with an exciting clash as Pachuca host Puebla in the 10th round of the competition. The match will take place on Saturday evening at the Estadio Hidalgo, where the home side aim to extend their strong run of form. Both teams come into this encounter after convincing victories in the previous round, setting the stage for a competitive and entertaining fixture. Pachuca’s consistency and home advantage make them the favorites, but Puebla’s recent resurgence suggests they will not go down easily.
Pachuca have been one of the most consistent sides in the current Liga MX campaign. They currently sit 4th in the table with a solid record of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats. Their attacking efficiency has been notable, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. In their last five outings, the Tuzos have recorded 4 wins and just 1 defeat, scoring an average of 1.8 goals while conceding 0.8. Their most recent success came in a 2-1 victory over Necaxa on March 4, 2026.
At home, Pachuca have been particularly strong, often taking control of matches early. They have led at half-time in their last three home games, a sign of their ability to impose their rhythm from the start. The team’s defensive organization has also been reliable, with only two of their last ten matches featuring under 0.5 total goals, showing that their games tend to be open and competitive.
Historically, Pachuca have enjoyed a dominant record against Puebla. In their last five head-to-head meetings, the Tuzos remain unbeaten with three wins and two draws, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The last encounter between the two sides ended in a 2-2 draw on September 24, 2025, but Pachuca’s home advantage could once again prove decisive.
Puebla arrive at this fixture with renewed confidence after a 3-1 home win over Tigres UANL on March 5, 2026. That result marked their second consecutive victory, helping them climb to 10th place in the standings with 6 wins, 5 draws, and 15 defeats. Despite their inconsistent season, the visitors have shown signs of improvement, particularly in attack, averaging 1.1 goals scored per game. However, their defensive record remains a concern, with 2.0 goals conceded on average.
In their last five matches, Puebla have registered 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 1.2 goals per match while conceding 1.6. Their away form, however, has been less convincing, as they have failed to win in their last four visits to Pachuca. The Franja’s matches tend to be lively, with only two of their last ten games ending with under 0.5 total goals, indicating that they often find themselves in high-scoring affairs.
Key players have stepped up recently, with Kevin Velasco contributing assists and defensive work, while goalkeeper Ricardo Gutiérrez has been tested frequently, averaging 1.2 goals conceded per match. Puebla’s challenge will be to maintain their attacking momentum while tightening up at the back against one of the league’s most balanced teams.
This encounter promises to be a fascinating battle between two sides in contrasting positions. Pachuca have been dominant at home and boast a strong record against Puebla, while the visitors will look to build on their recent momentum. The Tuzos’ ability to control possession and create chances early could once again be the difference, especially given their tendency to lead at half-time in recent home fixtures.
For Puebla, the key will be maintaining defensive discipline and exploiting counterattacks. Their recent attacking performances suggest they can find the net, but their defensive fragility could be exposed by Pachuca’s dynamic forward play. Considering the balance of form and historical data, the home side appear better positioned to secure another victory.
Pachuca vs Puebla prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Pachuca
Puebla
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1