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Pachuca vs Santos Laguna Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga MX 12-04-2026

Pachuca

4 - 2

FT

Santos Laguna

Estadio Hidalgo
Martín Molina Astorga
heavy intensity rain 15.06 °C

Prediction published on Apr 11, 2026 12:03 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Apr 11, 2026 12:03 AM

The fourteenth round of Liga MX continues with an intriguing clash between Pachuca and Santos Laguna. The match will take place at the Estadio Hidalgo, where the home side will look to secure three crucial points to strengthen their position near the top of the table. Meanwhile, the visitors arrive with little to lose, hoping to surprise one of the most consistent teams of the season.


Pachuca’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Pachuca come into this fixture in strong form, sitting fourth in the Liga MX standings. Their campaign so far includes seven wins, four draws, and two defeats, giving them a total of 25 points with 17 goals scored and 11 conceded. The team has shown balance between attack and defense, and their recent results confirm their consistency.


In their last five matches, Pachuca have remained unbeaten with three wins and two draws, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their most recent outing was an impressive 1-2 away victory against Cruz Azul on April 5, 2026, a result that boosted their confidence and reinforced their ambitions for a top playoff spot.


Throughout the season, Pachuca’s record stands at 14 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. These numbers underline their ability to manage tight games effectively. At home, they have been particularly solid, often controlling possession and creating multiple scoring opportunities.



  • Ranking in Liga MX: 4th place

  • Last 5 matches: 3W – 2D – 0L

  • Average goals scored: 1.6 per match

  • Average goals conceded: 1.0 per match

  • Last head-to-head vs Santos Laguna: 1-0 win (2025-11-09)


Historically, Pachuca have had the upper hand in this fixture, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five meetings against Santos Laguna. Their average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in those encounters suggests a slight but consistent dominance, especially when playing at home.


Santos Laguna’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Santos Laguna find themselves in a very different situation. They currently occupy the bottom spot in the Liga MX table, with just two wins, three draws, and eight defeats so far. Their total of nine points reflects a difficult campaign marked by defensive struggles and inconsistency.


Despite their position, Santos Laguna have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks. They earned a 1-1 draw against América on April 5, 2026, a result that could serve as a morale boost. Over their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.


Defensively, the team has struggled to maintain clean sheets. They have conceded at least one goal in their last 19 away matches in Liga MX, and over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 13 league games. Their away performances have been particularly problematic, with over 2.5 goals scored in each of their last 10 away fixtures and nine first-half defeats in their last 12 away matches.



  • Ranking in Liga MX: 18th place

  • Last 5 matches: 2W – 1D – 2L

  • Average goals scored: 1.2 per match

  • Average goals conceded: 1.6 per match

  • Season record: 8W – 5D – 17L

  • Conceded in last 19 away matches

  • Over 2.5 goals in last 10 away matches


Although their defensive record remains concerning, Santos Laguna’s attack has shown flashes of potential. With 15 goals scored this season, they have the ability to find the net, but their defensive fragility often undermines their efforts. Playing without pressure could make them a dangerous opponent, especially if they manage to exploit counterattacking opportunities.


Match Analysis and Tactical Overview


This encounter between Pachuca and Santos Laguna presents a clear contrast in form and objectives. Pachuca are pushing for a playoff position and have been one of the most balanced teams in the league, while Santos Laguna are fighting to restore pride after a disappointing season. The home side’s solid defense and consistent scoring rate make them favorites, but the visitors’ unpredictability could still make this a lively contest.


Given the statistical trends, goals are expected. Santos Laguna’s matches frequently produce high-scoring outcomes, with over 2.5 goals in their last 10 away games and both teams scoring in most of their recent fixtures. Pachuca, on the other hand, have been efficient in front of goal and rarely fail to score at home. The combination of these factors suggests that both sides could find the net.


Historically, Pachuca have dominated this matchup, and their current momentum supports the idea of another positive result. However, Santos Laguna’s “nothing to lose” attitude could lead to an open game, where defensive discipline will be crucial for both teams.


Pachuca vs Santos Laguna Prediction


According to the latest probabilities, Pachuca have a 64% chance of winning, the draw stands at 20%, and a Santos Laguna win is estimated at 16%. The data also indicates a 52% probability for Both Teams To Score – Yes and a 58% probability for Over 2.5 goals. Considering the attacking tendencies of both sides and the defensive issues of the visitors, a match with goals on both ends seems likely.


Pachuca vs Santos Laguna prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 52% probability.

Pachuca vs Santos Laguna - Predictions

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Pachuca vs Santos Laguna: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Pachuca

Santos Laguna

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

30%

3

70%

7

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Pachuca and Santos Laguna in Liga MX

Apertura - Ranking

Team

9

Pachuca

17

6

4

7

21:21

22

1.29

D
L
D
L
L
11

Santos Laguna

17

6

2

9

22:28

20

1.18

W
D
W
L
W
Final Series
Final Series Play-offs

Clausura - Ranking

Team

4

Pachuca

17

9

4

4

25:19

31

1.82

W
W
W
L
L
18

Santos Laguna

17

3

3

11

20:38

12

0.71

D
L
L
L
W
Final Series

Who will win ?

Pachuca vs Santos Laguna: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Pachuca vs Santos Laguna be played?
The Liga MX match between Pachuca and Santos Laguna will be played on April 12, 2026 at 01:00.
Where will Pachuca vs Santos Laguna be played?
The match between Pachuca and Santos Laguna will be played at Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto - Mexico
Who will referee Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
The referee for the match will be Martín Molina Astorga.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Pachuca vs Santos Laguna in the Liga MX?
The odds are: Pachuca to win 1.42, draw 4.75, Santos Laguna to win 6.50.
What are the betting odds for Pachuca vs Santos Laguna for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga MX?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.47 and Under 2.5 at 2.60.
Will both Pachuca and Santos Laguna score in the Liga MX?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.66, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.10.
What is the most likely correct score for Pachuca vs Santos Laguna in the Liga MX?
The most likely correct score is 2-1, with odds of 8.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Pachuca and Santos Laguna?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Pachuca and Santos Laguna, Pachuca won 3 times, Santos Laguna won 1, and 1 ended in a draw.

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