Tools
Prediction published on Apr 11, 2026 12:03 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Apr 11, 2026 12:03 AM
The fourteenth round of Liga MX continues with an intriguing clash between Pachuca and Santos Laguna. The match will take place at the Estadio Hidalgo, where the home side will look to secure three crucial points to strengthen their position near the top of the table. Meanwhile, the visitors arrive with little to lose, hoping to surprise one of the most consistent teams of the season.
Pachuca come into this fixture in strong form, sitting fourth in the Liga MX standings. Their campaign so far includes seven wins, four draws, and two defeats, giving them a total of 25 points with 17 goals scored and 11 conceded. The team has shown balance between attack and defense, and their recent results confirm their consistency.
In their last five matches, Pachuca have remained unbeaten with three wins and two draws, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their most recent outing was an impressive 1-2 away victory against Cruz Azul on April 5, 2026, a result that boosted their confidence and reinforced their ambitions for a top playoff spot.
Throughout the season, Pachuca’s record stands at 14 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. These numbers underline their ability to manage tight games effectively. At home, they have been particularly solid, often controlling possession and creating multiple scoring opportunities.
Historically, Pachuca have had the upper hand in this fixture, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five meetings against Santos Laguna. Their average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in those encounters suggests a slight but consistent dominance, especially when playing at home.
Santos Laguna find themselves in a very different situation. They currently occupy the bottom spot in the Liga MX table, with just two wins, three draws, and eight defeats so far. Their total of nine points reflects a difficult campaign marked by defensive struggles and inconsistency.
Despite their position, Santos Laguna have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks. They earned a 1-1 draw against América on April 5, 2026, a result that could serve as a morale boost. Over their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Defensively, the team has struggled to maintain clean sheets. They have conceded at least one goal in their last 19 away matches in Liga MX, and over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 13 league games. Their away performances have been particularly problematic, with over 2.5 goals scored in each of their last 10 away fixtures and nine first-half defeats in their last 12 away matches.
Although their defensive record remains concerning, Santos Laguna’s attack has shown flashes of potential. With 15 goals scored this season, they have the ability to find the net, but their defensive fragility often undermines their efforts. Playing without pressure could make them a dangerous opponent, especially if they manage to exploit counterattacking opportunities.
This encounter between Pachuca and Santos Laguna presents a clear contrast in form and objectives. Pachuca are pushing for a playoff position and have been one of the most balanced teams in the league, while Santos Laguna are fighting to restore pride after a disappointing season. The home side’s solid defense and consistent scoring rate make them favorites, but the visitors’ unpredictability could still make this a lively contest.
Given the statistical trends, goals are expected. Santos Laguna’s matches frequently produce high-scoring outcomes, with over 2.5 goals in their last 10 away games and both teams scoring in most of their recent fixtures. Pachuca, on the other hand, have been efficient in front of goal and rarely fail to score at home. The combination of these factors suggests that both sides could find the net.
Historically, Pachuca have dominated this matchup, and their current momentum supports the idea of another positive result. However, Santos Laguna’s “nothing to lose” attitude could lead to an open game, where defensive discipline will be crucial for both teams.
According to the latest probabilities, Pachuca have a 64% chance of winning, the draw stands at 20%, and a Santos Laguna win is estimated at 16%. The data also indicates a 52% probability for Both Teams To Score – Yes and a 58% probability for Over 2.5 goals. Considering the attacking tendencies of both sides and the defensive issues of the visitors, a match with goals on both ends seems likely.
Pachuca vs Santos Laguna prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Pachuca
Santos Laguna
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1