The upcoming clash in Liga Portugal 2 sees Paços de Ferreira host Benfica II at the Estádio Capital do Móvel this Saturday at 14:00. Both sides come into this encounter with different objectives but equal determination. The home team is fighting to escape the relegation zone, while the visitors aim to consolidate their position in the upper half of the table. With only a few points separating several teams in the standings, this fixture could prove decisive for both clubs’ ambitions as the season enters its final stretch.

Paços de Ferreira’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Paços de Ferreira currently sit 16th in Liga Portugal 2 with 27 points, just one point away from safety. Their recent 2-3 away victory over Portimonense SAD on March 7 has given them a much-needed confidence boost. That result ended a difficult run and reminded fans that the team still has the quality to compete. Over their last five matches, Paços have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. These numbers highlight their struggles in attack, but also a certain resilience in defense.

Throughout the season, the team’s record stands at 6 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. At home, Paços have found it hard to break down opponents, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in each of their last two home fixtures. In fact, three of their last ten league games have ended with fewer than 0.5 total goals, showing a trend of low-scoring encounters. However, the recent win away from home could mark a turning point, especially as they return to their own ground where they tend to be more competitive.

• Ranking: 16th place with 27 points.


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats.


• Average goals scored: 1.0 per match.


• Average goals conceded: 1.4 per match.


• Last result: 2-3 win at Portimonense SAD.

Given their precarious position, a victory here could lift Paços de Ferreira out of the relegation zone. The team’s motivation will be high, and the home crowd could play a crucial role in pushing them toward another positive result.

Benfica II’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Benfica II approach this fixture in 9th place, with 8 wins, 10 draws, and 7 defeats so far this season. They come off a convincing 3-0 home win against Feirense on March 9, a result that ended a two-game winless streak. Over their last five matches, the young Eagles have collected 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. This attacking efficiency has been one of their main strengths, allowing them to stay comfortably in mid-table.

One of Benfica II’s most consistent traits this season has been their stability in the first half of matches — they have avoided defeat at half time in 19 of their last 21 league games. This shows a disciplined approach and tactical maturity, even when playing away from home. Their overall season average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match reflects a balanced side capable of both defending and attacking effectively.

• Ranking: 9th place in Liga Portugal 2.


• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat.


• Average goals scored: 1.4 per match.


• Average goals conceded: 1.2 per match.


• Last result: 3-0 win vs Feirense.

Despite their solid form, Benfica II have occasionally struggled against lower-ranked teams, drawing with Penafiel (1-1), Portimonense (1-1), and Leixões (0-0). This inconsistency could make their trip to Paços de Ferreira more complicated than expected. Still, their seven-point advantage over their hosts gives them some breathing room, and even a draw would be a satisfactory outcome to maintain that gap.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

In recent meetings between these two sides, Benfica II have had the upper hand. The last head-to-head ended 2-1 in their favor on October 30, 2025. Overall, Paços de Ferreira have yet to beat Benfica II in their last five encounters, with a record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats. Across those matches, Paços have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.8 conceded, suggesting that the visitors have historically found ways to exploit their defensive weaknesses.

From a tactical perspective, Paços de Ferreira are expected to adopt a cautious but determined approach, focusing on defensive solidity and quick transitions. Their main goal will be to avoid defeat, as even a draw could prove valuable in their fight for survival. Benfica II, on the other hand, are likely to control possession and look for openings through their dynamic attacking play. However, given their tendency to drop points against lower-ranked teams, they will need to remain focused throughout the 90 minutes.

Considering the current form and motivation levels, this match could be tighter than the table suggests. Paços de Ferreira’s home advantage and recent morale boost make them a dangerous opponent, while Benfica II’s superior technical quality could still make the difference if they find their rhythm early on.

Paços de Ferreira vs Benfica II Prediction

According to the latest probabilities, Paços de Ferreira have a 33% chance of winning, the draw stands at 28%, and a Benfica II win is rated at 39%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes option has a 51% likelihood, while Under 2.5 goals is slightly favored at 53%. These figures suggest a balanced contest with a moderate chance of goals on both sides.

Given the context, the most reasonable prediction leans toward a cautious outcome. Paços de Ferreira’s resilience at home and Benfica II’s tendency to settle for draws against lower-ranked teams point toward a result where the hosts avoid defeat.

Paços de Ferreira vs Benfica II prediction from BetMines: Double Chance – Paços de Ferreira win or draw (1X) with 67% probability.