The upcoming clash between Paços de Ferreira and Sporting CP II promises to be a crucial encounter in the 21st round of Liga Portugal 2. Scheduled for Tuesday evening at the Estádio Capital do Móvel, this fixture brings together two sides with very different objectives but equally strong motivations. The hosts are fighting to escape the relegation zone, while the visitors aim to stay close to the promotion places. With both teams coming off positive results, the stage is set for an intense and competitive match.

Paços de Ferreira’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Paços de Ferreira currently sit at the bottom of the Liga Portugal 2 table in 18th place, but their recent performances suggest a team on the rise. Over their last five matches, they have collected three wins, one draw, and just one defeat, averaging one goal scored and one conceded per game. Their most recent victory, a 2-1 success against Académico Viseu on January 23, highlighted their growing confidence and fighting spirit.

Despite their low ranking, the “Castores” have two games in hand compared to some of their direct rivals, which could prove decisive in their battle for survival. With 22 points so far (5 wins, 7 draws, 7 losses), they are only two points behind safety. Their home form has also shown signs of improvement, with fewer low-scoring matches recently — only two of their last ten home games in the league ended with under 0.5 total goals. This suggests that Paços are finding ways to be more effective in front of goal, especially when playing at home.

• Ranking: 18th in Liga Portugal 2


• Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat


• Average goals scored: 1.1 | Average conceded: 1.5


• Under 0.5 goals in only 4 of their last 18 league matches


• Last victory: 2-1 vs Académico Viseu (23 January 2026)

Given their current momentum and the importance of this fixture, Paços de Ferreira will likely approach the game with an attacking mindset, knowing that a win could lift them out of the relegation zone. Their recent consistency and home advantage could make them a tough opponent for any visiting side.

Sporting CP II’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Sporting CP II have enjoyed a strong season overall, sitting in 3rd place with 32 points. However, their form dipped dramatically in recent months, as they endured a six-match losing streak stretching from mid-December 2025. That poor run ended in their last outing, when they defeated UD Oliveirense 2-0 on February 1, a result that restored some confidence and kept them within touching distance of the top two.

Across their last five matches, Sporting CP II have recorded one win and four defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game while conceding 1.8. Despite this inconsistency, their season-long numbers remain solid: 10 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and only 0.9 conceded per match. Their defensive record has been one of the best in the division, though recent results suggest some vulnerability away from home. In fact, only four of their last twenty away fixtures have ended with under 0.5 goals, indicating that their matches tend to be open and competitive.

• Ranking: 3rd in Liga Portugal 2


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.5 | Average conceded: 0.9 (season)


• Last victory: 2-0 vs UD Oliveirense (1 February 2026)


• Head-to-head: 3-0 win in the previous meeting (31 August 2025)

Sporting CP II’s challenge will be to maintain their attacking rhythm while avoiding defensive lapses that have cost them points recently. Their away form has been unpredictable, and facing a motivated Paços de Ferreira side could test their resilience once again.

Paços de Ferreira vs Sporting CP II Analysis and Prediction

This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting trajectories. Paços de Ferreira are showing signs of revival and have been difficult to beat in recent weeks, while Sporting CP II are trying to regain the consistency that kept them near the top of the table earlier in the season. The hosts’ recent improvement, combined with their urgent need for points, could make them particularly dangerous in front of their home supporters.

Historically, Sporting CP II have had the upper hand, winning the last meeting 3-0. However, current form suggests a more balanced contest this time. Paços de Ferreira’s defensive structure has tightened, and their ability to score in key moments could be decisive. On the other hand, Sporting CP II’s attacking potential remains strong, and they will look to exploit any defensive gaps left by the hosts’ aggressive approach.

Given the statistical trends, this match could be closely contested, with limited goal opportunities. The data shows a slight tendency towards low-scoring outcomes, as both teams have been involved in several matches with under 2.5 goals this season. Still, the motivation levels and stakes involved could lead to a more open game than expected.

Paços de Ferreira vs Sporting CP II prediction by BetMines:
Double Chance – Paços de Ferreira win or draw (1X) with a strong probability based on recent form and home advantage.