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Prediction published on Feb 5, 2026 5:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Feb 5, 2026 5:01 PM
The upcoming Serie B clash between Palermo and Empoli promises to be a fascinating encounter at the Renzo Barbera Stadium. Scheduled for Saturday, February 7 at 17:15, this fixture brings together two sides with contrasting momentum. The home team are enjoying a strong run of form and will look to extend their unbeaten streak, while the visitors are desperate to rediscover consistency after a difficult spell. With both teams fighting for crucial points in the promotion race, the match is expected to be intense and tactically balanced.
Palermo approach this fixture in excellent shape, sitting 4th in the Serie B standings. Their recent 0-3 away victory over Bari highlighted their efficiency and defensive solidity. Over the last five matches, they have collected three wins and two draws, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game while conceding just 0.2. This impressive defensive record has been a cornerstone of their campaign, as they currently boast the best defense in the league.
Across the season, Palermo’s record stands at 11 wins, 8 draws, and only 3 defeats, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match. Their home form has been particularly strong, often taking control early in games: they have led at half time in each of their last five home fixtures. Moreover, under 1.5 goals have been scored in the first half in 23 of their last 25 Serie B matches, showing their ability to manage games with patience and discipline.
With such consistency and a solid defensive base, Palermo will aim to maintain their momentum and continue their push for automatic promotion. The home advantage and their current form make them a formidable opponent for any visiting side.
Empoli arrive in Sicily in a more complicated situation. Currently 11th in the table, they have struggled to find rhythm in recent weeks. Their latest outing ended in a goalless draw against Modena, a result that extended their winless run to three matches. Over their last five games, Empoli have managed just one victory, alongside two draws and two defeats, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match.
Throughout the season, their record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses reflects inconsistency, particularly in attack. The team has failed to score more than one goal in any of their last eight matches, underlining their offensive difficulties. However, there are some encouraging signs away from home: over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 19 away fixtures, suggesting that their matches tend to open up after the break.
Despite their recent struggles, Empoli remain a dangerous side on their travels, having won three of their last five away fixtures. They will need to rediscover that resilience if they are to challenge a Palermo side that rarely concedes at home.
The recent meetings between Palermo and Empoli have been fairly balanced. In their last five encounters, both sides have won twice, with one draw. The most recent clash ended 1-3 in favor of Empoli, showing that the visitors are capable of causing problems even away from home. However, Palermo’s current defensive form and home advantage could tilt the balance this time.
Given the statistical trends, this match is likely to be tight and low-scoring, especially in the first half. Palermo’s disciplined defensive structure contrasts with Empoli’s recent attacking inefficiency, suggesting that clear chances may be limited. Both teams tend to adopt a cautious approach, prioritizing organization over risk-taking, which could lead to a tactical battle decided by small details.
All indicators point toward a controlled and strategic contest. Palermo’s unbeaten run, combined with their strong defensive numbers, makes them the favorites to secure another positive result. Empoli, meanwhile, will need to find a way to break down a backline that has conceded only 0.6 goals per game this season. The visitors’ inability to score freely could once again prove costly.
Considering the data and recent performances, the most probable scenario is that not both teams will find the net. Palermo’s defensive discipline and Empoli’s offensive struggles align with this outcome, making it a logical prediction for this fixture.
Palermo vs Empoli prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score – No with 47% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Palermo
Empoli
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2