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Prediction published on Mar 2, 2026 9:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Mar 2, 2026 9:01 PM
The midweek round of Serie B brings an intriguing clash between Palermo and Mantova, scheduled for Wednesday, March 4, at 20:00. The match will be played at the Renzo Barbera Stadium, where the home side are seen as clear favourites according to most predictions. After a surprising defeat away to Pescara, Palermo are eager to bounce back and maintain their push for automatic promotion. Mantova, on the other hand, will try to extend their recent positive streak and move further away from the relegation zone.
Palermo currently sit 4th in the Serie B standings, with a record of 14 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats. Their attacking numbers are impressive, averaging 1.7 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.8. Despite the recent 2-1 loss against Pescara, the Sicilian side remain one of the most consistent teams in the league. Over their last five matches, they have collected three wins, one draw and one defeat, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game and conceding 1.4.
At home, Palermo have been almost unstoppable. They have won their last eight home matches in Serie B, keeping a clean sheet in seven of them. Their first-half performances have also been strong, leading at the break in eight of their last ten home games. Matches at the Renzo Barbera tend to start with intensity, as over 0.5 goals have been scored in the first half of each of their last ten home fixtures. These numbers underline the team’s dominance and efficiency in front of their supporters.
With promotion ambitions still alive, Palermo cannot afford to drop points. A win here would help them stay close to the top three and strengthen their position in the race for Serie A.
Mantova approach this fixture sitting 16th in the Serie B table, with a record of 7 wins, 6 draws and 14 defeats. Their average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per match highlights their defensive struggles, as only Pescara have allowed more goals this season. However, recent results show signs of improvement: a 1-0 win over Sampdoria followed by a 1-1 draw against Carrarese have given them some breathing space in the relegation battle.
Playing away from home has been a challenge for Mantova. They have lost their last two away matches and managed to win only one of their last seven on the road. In addition, under 0.5 goals have been scored in two of their last ten away games, showing that their attacking output often drops when playing outside their stadium. On the positive side, their matches tend to be lively in terms of set pieces, with over 7.5 corners recorded in each of their last 18 Serie B fixtures.
For Mantova, the main goal will be to stay compact and try to exploit counterattacks. A draw would be considered a positive result given their current position and the strength of their opponent.
The head-to-head record between these two sides shows complete balance, with all three previous meetings ending in draws, including the 1-1 result earlier this season. However, the current form and home advantage clearly favour Palermo. Their defensive solidity and attacking rhythm at the Renzo Barbera make them a tough opponent for any visiting team. Mantova’s recent improvement is encouraging, but their away form remains a major concern.
Given the statistics, this match could follow a familiar pattern: Palermo dominating possession and creating chances early, while Mantova focus on containment. The hosts’ ability to score before half time and maintain control could once again prove decisive. For Mantova, avoiding early mistakes and staying disciplined will be essential to keep the game open.
Considering all the data, the most likely outcome appears to be a home win. Palermo’s consistency at home, combined with Mantova’s defensive issues, points towards another successful night for the Sicilians as they continue their pursuit of promotion.
Palermo vs Mantova prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 62% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Palermo
Mantova
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1