Tools
Prediction published on Oct 23, 2026 6:03 AM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Oct 23, 2026 6:03 AM
Palmeiras host Bragantino at Allianz Parque in São Paulo on October 24, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 21:30 local time. The Serie A fixture brings together teams in contrasting positions: Palmeiras are second and pursuing the title, while Bragantino are tenth and aiming to improve their standing. The hosts have also reached the Copa Libertadores final, adding another demand to a busy schedule. Bragantino arrive with fewer wins in their recent run, but their 1-1 draw with Remo gives them a point to build on before this trip.
Palmeiras have won four of their last five matches, losing the other. They scored an average of 1.8 goals per game across that stretch and conceded 0.6. Their most recent result was a 1-0 defeat against Fluminense on October 22, though they secured a place in the Copa Libertadores final on penalties. That qualification provides a boost ahead of Bragantino's visit, even as the number of matches across competitions puts demands on the squad.
In Serie A, Palmeiras have recorded 19 wins, nine draws and three defeats, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Their home first-half record is particularly relevant to this match preview: they have not trailed at half-time in their last 15 home matches and have led at the break in each of their last three home league fixtures. They have also been ahead at half-time in their last three Serie A matches overall. Those figures offer a clearer indication of their starts than the latest full-time loss alone.
There are possible personnel concerns for Abel Ferreira. Jefté, Paulinho, Piquerez and Vitor Roque could miss out through injury, while Andreas Pereira is suspended. With the schedule also a consideration, the availability of those players is one factor in how Palmeiras approach the game. The broader record remains strong: across their last 18 matches, they have not gone into half-time behind.
Bragantino have taken one win, two draws and two defeats from their last five matches. Their goals scored and conceded averages are level at 1.4 per game over that period. On October 18, they drew 1-1 with Remo. Looking across a longer ten-match run, they have two wins, four draws and four defeats, a record that leaves them seeking a more consistent sequence as they visit the side in second place.
The visitors' Serie A record stands at 11 wins, eight draws and 12 defeats, with averages of 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their away matches have tended to stay below a high goals total: under 3.5 goals have been scored in each of Bragantino's last 14 league games on the road. That statistic concerns total goals by both teams, rather than Bragantino's scoring alone, and is worth weighing against Palmeiras' stronger attacking average.
Vagner Mancini also has absences to manage. Davi Gomes, Mosquera and Rodriguinho are dealing with injuries, and Ramires is suspended. Bragantino are seeking to remain in contention for a direct Copa Libertadores place, but this fixture presents a difficult test given their recent results and Palmeiras' home record.
The contrast in league records and recent form makes Palmeiras the stronger side on the supplied figures. They have three fewer defeats across the whole Serie A season than Bragantino have suffered in their last five matches, and their 0.7 goals conceded per league game compares favourably with the visitors' 1.2. The head-to-head summary also favours Palmeiras, with three wins and two draws from the five meetings listed and no defeats. The latest encounter, on April 26, ended 0-1.
The first half could be important. Palmeiras' run of avoiding a half-time deficit, together with three successive half-time leads in home Serie A games, suggests they have often established themselves early. Bragantino's record of 14 consecutive away league matches with fewer than four total goals, however, gives reason not to assume a high-scoring contest. Palmeiras' crowded schedule adds another consideration after their October 22 match and penalty-shootout qualification.
For this Palmeiras vs Bragantino preview, the most persuasive conclusion is based on the hosts' season-long results, recent winning form and record against the visitors. Bragantino have drawn two of their last five and cannot be dismissed, but they have won only once in that span. Palmeiras enter at home with the clearer statistical advantage, even if absences and their demanding schedule could affect the match.
Palmeiras vs Bragantino prediction from BetMines: Palmeiras win (1) with 63% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Palmeiras
Bragantino
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
7
3
6
4
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
8
2
8
2