Favourites
Settings

Palmeiras vs Grêmio Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Serie A 03-04-2026

Palmeiras

2 - 1

FT

Grêmio

Allianz Parque
Bruno Arleu de Araujo
light rain 24.86 °C

Prediction published on Apr 1, 2026 1:02 AM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Apr 1, 2026 1:02 AM

The upcoming clash between Palmeiras and Grêmio promises to be one of the highlights of the ninth round of the Brasileirão Série A. The home side enters this fixture in excellent form, sitting at the top of the table and looking to extend their winning streak. The match will take place on Thursday, April 2, at 21:30 (Brasília time), with Palmeiras hosting the encounter at the Arena Barueri due to preparations at their main stadium for an upcoming event. Despite the change of venue, the Alviverde remain strong favorites to claim another victory.


Palmeiras’ Recent Form and Key Stats


Palmeiras have been one of the most consistent teams in the competition so far. With six wins, one draw, and only one defeat in their first eight league matches, they have shown both attacking power and defensive solidity. The team averages 2.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, underlining their balance across all areas of the pitch. Their recent 0-1 away win against São Paulo further reinforced their credentials as title contenders.


At home, Palmeiras have been nearly unbeatable. They have avoided defeat in 20 of their last 21 home matches and have not lost at half time in 19 of their last 20 home appearances. The team’s ability to start strong is also remarkable, having won at half time in their last six home matches and in their last five Serie A games overall. The Alviverde’s attack has been relentless, scoring in each of their last 13 matches, while their defense remains disciplined and compact.



  • Ranking in Serie A: 1st place

  • Last 5 matches: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat

  • Average goals scored: 1.4 per match

  • Average goals conceded: 0.8 per match

  • Haven’t lost at half time in their last 14 Serie A matches

  • Over 0.5 goals at half time in their last 11 Serie A matches


Even with several players returning late from international duty, Palmeiras’ squad depth allows them to maintain a high level of performance. Their offensive unit has been particularly effective, producing 17 goals in eight matches, the best attack in the league. The team’s confidence and cohesion make them a formidable opponent for any visitor.


Grêmio’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Grêmio have had a more inconsistent start to the season but remain competitive, currently sitting in eighth place. Their record of three wins, two draws, and three defeats reflects a team still searching for stability. In their last outing, they suffered a 2-1 loss to Vasco da Gama, ending a four-match unbeaten run. Despite this setback, the visitors have shown resilience and the ability to score regularly, averaging 1.6 goals per game while conceding 1.5.


Grêmio’s matches have generally been open and entertaining, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 14 Serie A fixtures. However, their defensive record remains a concern, especially against high-scoring teams like Palmeiras. The team’s away performances have been mixed, and they will need to tighten up at the back to stand a chance of taking points from this encounter.



  • Ranking in Serie A: 8th place

  • Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

  • Average goals scored: 1.4 per match

  • Average goals conceded: 1.0 per match

  • Over 1.5 goals in last 14 Serie A matches


Injuries and international call-ups have slightly affected Grêmio’s preparations, but the team still has enough quality to pose a threat. Their attacking players will look to exploit any defensive lapses, though facing a side as organized as Palmeiras will be a major test.


Palmeiras vs Grêmio Tactical Overview and Prediction


This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting momentum. Palmeiras are in top form, combining efficiency in attack with defensive discipline, while Grêmio are trying to regain consistency after a mixed run of results. The head-to-head record between the two teams is balanced, with each side having won twice in their last five meetings, but Palmeiras’ current momentum and home advantage could tilt the balance in their favor.


Given the statistics, the match is likely to feature goals but could also be decided by Palmeiras’ superior organization and finishing. The hosts have not lost at half time in 25 of their last 27 matches, often taking control early and maintaining their lead. Grêmio’s tendency to concede could make it difficult for them to contain the league leaders, especially away from home.


With Palmeiras’ attack firing on all cylinders and their defense among the most reliable in the competition, the home side looks well-positioned to secure another victory. Grêmio will need to produce a near-perfect performance to avoid defeat, but the odds and form suggest a continuation of Palmeiras’ dominance.


Probable Lineups Palmeiras vs Grêmio


PALMEIRAS: Carlos Vinícius; Khellven (Giay), Bruno Fuchs, Murilo, Arthur (Jefté); Marlon Freitas, Andreas Pereira, Felipe Anderson, Jhon Arias; Vitor Roque (Flaco López), Allan.


GRÊMIO: Weverton; Pavon, Gustavo Martins, Viery, Caio Paulista; Leonel Pérez, Nardoni, Arthur; Enamorado (Tetê), Amuzu, Carlos Vinicius.


Palmeiras vs Grêmio prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 63% probability.

Palmeiras vs Grêmio - Predictions

Go premium

This is a PREMIUM functionality. Subscribe now to use this and many other exclusive functionalities

Odds

Go premium

This is a PREMIUM functionality. Subscribe now to use this and many other exclusive functionalities

Palmeiras vs Grêmio: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Palmeiras

Grêmio

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

30%

3

70%

7

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

70%

7

30%

3

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of Palmeiras and Grêmio in Serie A

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

2

Palmeiras

26

15

8

3

45:21

53

2.04

D
L
W
D
D
15

Grêmio

24

7

7

10

27:32

28

1.17

D
W
L
L
W
CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores Qualifiers
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Relegation

Who will win ?

Palmeiras vs Grêmio: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Palmeiras vs Grêmio be played?
The Serie A match between Palmeiras and Grêmio will be played on April 3, 2026 at 00:30.
Where will Palmeiras vs Grêmio be played?
The match between Palmeiras and Grêmio will be played at Allianz Parque, São Paulo - Brazil
Who will referee Palmeiras vs Grêmio?
The referee for the match will be Bruno Arleu de Araujo.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Palmeiras vs Grêmio in the Serie A?
The odds are: Palmeiras to win 1.57, draw 4.20, Grêmio to win 5.75.
What are the betting odds for Palmeiras vs Grêmio for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Serie A?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.65 and Under 2.5 at 2.20.
Will both Palmeiras and Grêmio score in the Serie A?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.80, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.95.
What is the most likely correct score for Palmeiras vs Grêmio in the Serie A?
The most likely correct score is 2-0, with odds of 7.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Palmeiras and Grêmio?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Palmeiras and Grêmio, Palmeiras won 2 times, Grêmio won 2, and 1 ended in a draw.

Article available in:

Unlock the full BetMines experience

Go Premium and get even more and better data for your bets.

What's included?

What's included

  • Live scanner
  • Pre-Match scanner
  • Value bet bot
  • Backtesting for Pre-Match scanner up to 24 months
  • Trends
  • Advanced team stats
  • Exclusive events in the advanced filter
  • Exclusive events in the BetMines Machine
  • All market predictions unlocked
  • VIP Telegram Group

Try BetMines Premium for free

Unlock scanners, alerts, monitoring and value bets.

  • Live alerts and Monitoring
  • Pre-match scanner and filters
  • Premium predictions and value bets