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Prediction published on Mar 13, 2026 10:03 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Mar 13, 2026 10:03 PM
The sixth round of the Brazilian Serie A brings an intriguing clash between Palmeiras and Mirassol, two teams from São Paulo that meet again after a recent encounter in the state championship. The match is scheduled for Sunday, March 15, at 18:30 (Brasília time), and will take place at the Allianz Parque. Both sides come into this fixture looking to bounce back from recent setbacks, with the home team aiming to reclaim the top spot in the standings and the visitors hoping to maintain their unbeaten run in the league.
Palmeiras suffered their first defeat of the season in the previous round, losing 2-1 away to Vasco da Gama. Despite that result, the team remains in second place in the Serie A table, just three points behind the leaders. The Alviverde had been on a strong run before that setback, with five consecutive victories and a nine-match unbeaten streak across all competitions. Their attacking power has been impressive, averaging 2.6 goals scored per game in the league, while conceding 1.4 on average.
At home, Palmeiras have been particularly dominant. They have avoided defeat in 20 of their last 21 home matches and have led at half time in four consecutive home games. The team’s consistency in the first half is also notable, having avoided losing at half time in 22 of their last 24 matches. These numbers highlight a side that starts strong and maintains control throughout the game.
In terms of recent performance, Palmeiras’ last five matches show four wins and one defeat, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. The team’s last home encounter with Mirassol ended in a 1-0 victory earlier this year, reinforcing their dominance in this fixture. Historically, Palmeiras have won three of the last five head-to-head meetings, drawing once and losing once, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Mirassol arrive at this match still unbeaten in the current Serie A campaign, though their performances have been marked by a series of draws. After opening the season with a win over Vasco da Gama, the team recorded three consecutive draws against Remo, Cruzeiro, and Santos. Their most recent result was a 2-2 draw against Santos on March 11. Despite their resilience, Mirassol have struggled to turn solid performances into victories, which has left them in 10th place in the standings.
Statistically, Mirassol’s matches have been entertaining, with Over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 10 Serie A games. They have also been involved in high-tempo first halves, with Over 0.5 goals at half time in 24 of their last 26 league matches. However, their defensive record remains a concern, as they have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game this season. Away from home, Mirassol tend to struggle early on, having lost at half time in 7 of their last 10 away matches.
In their last five outings, Mirassol have recorded no wins, three draws, and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.4 goals while conceding 1.8. Their attacking approach often leads to open games, but their inability to maintain defensive solidity has cost them valuable points. The team’s last victory dates back several weeks, and they will need to improve their efficiency in front of goal to challenge a strong Palmeiras side.
This encounter brings together two teams with contrasting dynamics. Palmeiras are one of the most consistent sides in Brazilian football, boasting a deep squad and a strong home record. Their attacking line has been prolific, and the return of key players could further strengthen their performance. On the other hand, Mirassol have shown determination and balance but lack the cutting edge needed to secure wins against top-tier opponents.
Historically, Palmeiras have dominated this fixture, and their home advantage could once again prove decisive. Mirassol’s tendency to concede early and their struggles away from home suggest that the hosts are likely to control the tempo from the start. Given Palmeiras’ impressive record of leading at half time and their attacking efficiency, the match could follow a familiar pattern of early dominance and sustained pressure.
While Mirassol’s unbeaten run adds an element of intrigue, the difference in squad depth and recent form points towards a home victory. The visitors’ defensive vulnerabilities, combined with Palmeiras’ offensive momentum, make it difficult to foresee an upset at the Allianz Parque.
PALMEIRAS (4-4-2): Carlos Miguel; Khellven (Giay), Gustavo Gómez, Bruno Fuchs, Piquerez; Marlon Freitas, Andreas Pereira, Mauricio (Allan), Arias; Flaco López, Sosa (Vitor Roque).
MIRASSOL (4-2-3-1): Walter; Igor Formiga, João Victor, Willian Machado, Reinaldo; Neto Moura, Aldo Filho; Shaylon, Firmino Negueba, Alesson; Nathan Fogaça.
Palmeiras vs Mirassol prediction by BetMines:
The forecast points to a Palmeiras win (1) with a probability of 61%. The draw (X) has a 24% chance, while an away win (2) is estimated at 15%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Palmeiras
Mirassol
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
7
3
6
4
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
8
2
10
0