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Panama
1 - 1
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Suriname
Prediction published on Oct 13, 2025 4:47 PM by Dario in North & Central America - WC Qualification Concacaf | Modified on Oct 13, 2025 5:19 PM
The 4th round of Group A in the CONCACAF qualifiers for the 2026 FIFA World Cup sees Panama face Suriname at Estadio Rommel Fernandez, in a match that could already shape the outcome of the group. Both teams occupy the top two positions with equal points, each having 5 points from one win and two draws in the first three rounds. Suriname currently leads the group, but only due to one more goal scored than their opponents, a narrow margin that offers little comfort. The group remains very balanced, with El Salvador and Guatemala just two and three points behind, meaning every point could be decisive for qualification to the FIFA World Cup. This is a true clash for the top spot, with the winner putting a serious stake on participation in the upcoming North American World Cup. Both teams will aim decisively for victory, as a draw might not be enough, especially if El Salvador beats Guatemala.
Panama is in excellent form, with nine consecutive unbeaten results combining wins and draws (6 wins and 3 draws). In their last match, played on October 11, the Panamanians defeated El Salvador 1-0 thanks to José Fajardo’s goal in the 55th minute.
In the first three rounds of Group A in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers, Menzo’s team collected 5 points from one win and two draws, averaging 0.67 goals scored and 0.34 goals conceded per game. Panama proves to be stronger in defense than prolific in attack, showing a compact and combative team.
Including the first qualification phase, Panama remains unbeaten with an overall record of 5 wins and 2 draws, scoring an average of 1.71 goals per game while conceding only 0.29. At home, Panama is unbeaten in seven matches, with four wins and three draws, keeping a clean sheet only once.
Suriname enters this match with four consecutive unbeaten results (three draws and one win). In their last match, played on October 10, Suriname drew 1-1 against Guatemala, with Misidjan scoring in the final minutes.
With this point, Christiansen’s team maintained the top spot in Group A, totaling 5 points (1 win and 2 draws) with an average of 1 goal scored and 0.66 conceded per game. Defensively, Suriname has conceded in the last two matches after keeping a clean sheet in their opener against Panama.
Considering the previous qualification phase, the Suriname national team has 4 wins and 3 draws, scoring an average of 1.86 goals per game and conceding 0.57. Their away performance is also solid: Suriname has lost only one of the last five away matches across all competitions.
As the top two teams in Group A, Panama and Suriname will face each other in a match that promises intensity and balance, with the home side slightly favored.
According to BetMines’ algorithm, Panama has a 51% chance of winning, while a draw and a Suriname win stand at 26% and 23%, respectively. The home advantage could be decisive in such a high-stakes match.
Regarding goals, the prediction suggests a not particularly spectacular game: both under 2.5 goals and the “at least one team does not score” option have a 51% probability. So far, both national teams have stood out more for defensive solidity than offensive effectiveness.
BetMines predicts that Panama could win narrowly, with a possible final score of 1-0.
PANAMA (3-4-3): Mosquera; Andrade, Ramos, Escobar; Davis, Carrasquilla, Martinez, Murillo; Barcenas, Rodriguez, Fajardo. Coach: Menzo
SURINAME (4-2-3-1): Vessen; Anderson, Pina, Denswil, Haps; Paal, Lonwijk; Becker, Chery, Misidjan; Grot. Coach: Christiansen
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Panama
Suriname
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
7
3
9
1