The final round of the Europa League group stage brings an intriguing clash between Panathinaikos and AS Roma. The Greek side will host the Italians in a match that could determine their fate in the competition. Panathinaikos currently sit 19th in the overall ranking, while Roma occupy 6th place. Both teams have plenty to play for, with the hosts chasing a top-eight finish and the visitors looking to secure their qualification spot.

Panathinaikos’ Recent Form and Key Stats

Panathinaikos enter this decisive fixture after a goalless draw against Atromitos on January 25, 2026. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five matches across all competitions, alongside two draws and two defeats. During this run, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, highlighting their struggles in front of goal.

In the Europa League, the Greek side’s campaign has been steady but unspectacular. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses shows resilience, yet their attacking output remains modest with an average of 1.1 goals scored per match. Defensively, they have been relatively solid, conceding only 0.8 goals on average. However, their inability to convert chances has cost them valuable points in recent rounds, including a 0-0 draw with Plzen and a 1-1 result at Ferencvaros.

At home, Panathinaikos have been involved in low-scoring encounters. In fact, Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last ten Europa League home matches, and Under 0.5 goals in two of those. This trend suggests a cautious approach, especially when facing stronger opposition. Their last victory in this competition came several weeks ago, and they will need to rediscover that winning touch to have any chance of progressing.

• Europa League record: W 4 · D 5 · L 2


• Average goals scored: 1.1


• Average goals conceded: 0.8


• Under 3.5 goals in last 10 home matches


• Under 0.5 goals in 4 of last 11 matches

AS Roma’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Roma arrive in Athens in strong form, having drawn 1-1 with AC Milan in their most recent outing. That result extended their run of seven unbeaten games in their last ten across all competitions. In Europe, the Italian side have been particularly impressive, winning four consecutive matches and all three of their away fixtures in the Europa League group stage.

Roma’s season statistics underline their efficiency and balance. With 5 wins and 2 losses in the competition, they have averaged 1.7 goals scored and just 0.7 conceded per match. Their defensive organization has been a key factor in their success, while their attack has shown consistency, especially in the first halves of games. Notably, Roma have won at half time in their last four Europa League matches and in seven of their last eleven away fixtures.

Another remarkable trend is their avoidance of draws. The Giallorossi have not drawn in their last 17 away matches and have avoided stalemates in 35 of their last 36 overall. This pattern suggests that Roma play to win, regardless of venue or opponent. Their ability to control matches early and maintain composure under pressure could prove decisive once again.

• Europa League record: W 5 · D 0 · L 2


• Average goals scored: 1.7


• Average goals conceded: 0.7


• Won at half time in last 4 Europa League matches


• No draws in last 17 away matches


• At least one team failed to score at half time in 37 of last 40 Europa League games

Panathinaikos vs Roma Analysis and Prediction

This encounter brings together two sides with contrasting styles and momentum. Panathinaikos will rely on their defensive discipline and home advantage, but their recent lack of goals could be a major concern. Their cautious approach has kept matches tight, yet it may not be enough against a team as efficient as Roma.

Roma, on the other hand, have found their rhythm in Europe. Their four straight wins in the competition and perfect away record underline their confidence and tactical maturity. Even though their top-eight position is not mathematically secured, their current form makes them strong favorites to extend their winning streak.

Historically, Panathinaikos have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning both previous meetings, including a 3-2 victory back in 2010. However, much has changed since then, and the Italians now appear far better equipped to dictate proceedings. Given Roma’s attacking consistency and Panathinaikos’ low-scoring tendencies, a narrow away win seems the most plausible outcome.

BetMines Prediction: Roma win (2) with 34% probability.