Tools
Paris Saint Germain
2 - 2
FT
Monaco
Prediction published on Feb 24, 2026 12:01 AM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Feb 24, 2026 12:01 AM
The UEFA Champions League playoff tie between Paris Saint Germain and Monaco reaches its decisive second leg at the Parc des Princes. After a thrilling 3-2 victory in the first leg, PSG hold a narrow advantage and will look to finish the job in front of their home supporters. The reigning European champions are determined to confirm their place in the round of 16, while Monaco must produce something special to overturn the deficit and keep their continental hopes alive. With both sides showing attacking intent in the first encounter, another high-scoring spectacle could be on the cards.
Paris Saint Germain approach this second leg in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches across all competitions. Their most recent outing was a convincing 3-0 win over Metz on February 21, a result that underlined their attacking depth and confidence. In the Champions League, PSG’s record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, with an impressive average of 2.7 goals scored per game and 1.4 conceded. The Parisians have also been remarkably consistent in the first halves of matches, avoiding defeat before halftime in 20 of their last 21 Champions League fixtures.
At home, PSG’s offensive rhythm rarely falters. They have seen over 0.5 goals in the second half in 19 of their last 20 home games in the competition, a sign of their ability to maintain pressure throughout the match. Their dominance at the Parc des Princes is further reflected in their head-to-head record against Monaco, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five meetings, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The comeback victory in the first leg, where PSG rallied from 0-2 down to win 3-2, showcased their resilience and attacking firepower.
In terms of individual performances, several players have stepped up in recent weeks. Vitinha remains the team’s top scorer in the Champions League with five goals, while Desire Doue has impressed since stepping in for the injured Ousmane Dembele. The young Frenchman scored twice in Monaco and added another goal against Metz, proving to be a valuable attacking asset. With such depth in their offensive options, PSG will be confident of finding the net again in this decisive clash.
Monaco travel to Paris knowing they must score at least twice to have any chance of progressing. Their recent form has been mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five matches. The 3-2 win away to Lens on February 21 provided a timely boost, but their defensive vulnerabilities remain a concern. In the Champions League, Monaco’s record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses reflects a season of inconsistency, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
Monaco’s away performances in Europe have been particularly unstable. They have lost at halftime in six of their last ten away matches in the competition, and their attack has struggled to find rhythm, with under 0.5 goals scored in two of their last ten Champions League away fixtures. Despite these numbers, Monaco remain dangerous in transition, as shown in the first leg when Florian Balogun struck twice early on to give them a temporary lead. The American forward, who has five goals in the tournament, will again be the focal point of their attack.
However, Monaco will be without Aleksandr Golovin, suspended after his red card in the first leg. His absence deprives the team of creativity in midfield. Paul Pogba also remains sidelined, further limiting their options. On the positive side, Ansu Fati and Mika Biereth have contributed a combined 12 goals this season and could play key roles if Monaco are to mount a comeback. The visitors’ challenge will be to balance their attacking ambition with defensive discipline against a PSG side that thrives on exploiting space.
Given the attacking quality on both sides and the open nature of the first leg, this second encounter promises another entertaining contest. PSG will look to control possession and dictate the tempo, while Monaco are expected to press high and take risks in search of goals. The hosts’ recent scoring record and home advantage make them clear favorites, but Monaco’s counter-attacking potential ensures that the tie is far from over.
Statistically, PSG’s matches have been rich in goals, with over 0.5 goals in the second half in nearly every recent fixture. Monaco’s defensive record suggests they may struggle to contain the Parisians’ relentless attack. The first leg produced five goals, and with both teams boasting prolific forwards, another high-scoring affair seems likely. PSG’s superior form, combined with their psychological edge from the comeback win, positions them well to secure another victory and advance to the next round.
BetMines prediction for PSG vs Monaco:
Over 3.5 goals with a strong probability of a high-scoring match, reflecting both teams’ attacking tendencies and recent performances.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
9
1