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Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Ligue 1 04-09-2026

Paris Saint Germain

7:05 PM

September 4, 2026

Monaco

Parc des Princes
Jérôme Brisard
light rain °C

Prediction published on Sep 2, 2026 7:35 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Sep 2, 2026 7:35 PM

Paris Saint Germain host Monaco at the Parc des Princes on September 4, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:05 local time. This Ligue 1 match brings together two teams that have made contrasting starts to the season. PSG are still searching for their first league victory after consecutive 2-2 draws against Stade Rennais and LOSC Lille, while Monaco have collected maximum points from their opening two fixtures. The hosts have already demonstrated their ability to recover from difficult situations, coming back from two goals down in both league games. Monaco, however, arrive in Paris with confidence after defeating Le Havre AC 1-0 and Olympique Marseille 2-0. With PSG sitting 12th and Monaco leading Ligue 1, this third-round fixture offers the home side an opportunity to close the early gap and gives the visitors a chance to maintain their perfect record.

Paris Saint Germain Recent Form and Key Statistics

Paris Saint Germain have opened their Ligue 1 campaign with two draws, scoring and conceding an average of 2.0 goals per match. Their latest result was a 2-2 draw away to LOSC Lille on August 28, when both PSG goals arrived during second-half stoppage time. It was another difficult start for Luis Enrique's team, which had also fallen two goals behind against Stade Rennais before recovering to secure the same scoreline.

Across their last five matches in all competitions, PSG have registered one win, three draws and one defeat. They have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded during that sequence. Before the Ligue 1 season began, they beat Aston Villa 2-1 in the European Super Cup and lost 1-0 to RC Lens in the Champions Trophy. Their immediate objective is now clear: convert their attacking recovery into a first league win of the campaign.

The scoring trends surrounding the hosts are particularly notable. PSG have found the net in each of their last 31 matches, including their previous 22 Ligue 1 games. At home, they have scored in 16 consecutive fixtures and in each of their last 12 league matches. Furthermore, 19 of their previous 20 games have produced more than 1.5 total goals.

  • PSG have recorded two draws from two Ligue 1 matches.
  • They have scored at least once in their last 31 fixtures.
  • A second-half goal has been recorded in their last 20 matches.
  • There has been a first-half goal in 19 of their last 21 home games.
  • PSG have led at half-time in eight of their last 12 home league fixtures.

Nuno Mendes remains unavailable as he serves the final match of his suspension following his dismissal in the Champions Trophy. The supplied team information indicates that Matvei Safonov, Achraf Hakimi, Willian Pacho, Joao Neves and Vitinha are among the options available. Ousmane Dembele has returned after a few days of rest, while Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is also pushing to be involved from the start.

Monaco Recent Form and Key Statistics

Monaco enter this match as the only side yet to drop a point in the new Ligue 1 season. Filipe Luis's team followed a 1-0 victory over Le Havre AC with a 2-0 success against Olympique Marseille on August 30. Their league record therefore stands at two wins, no draws and no defeats, with averages of 1.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game.

The visitors have won four of their last five matches in all competitions, losing once and averaging 2.0 goals scored alongside 1.0 conceded. They also qualified for the league phase of the Conference League by overcoming Gornik Zabrze 7-3 on aggregate. Those results underline the momentum Monaco have built before facing a PSG side that has needed late recoveries in both of its league appearances.

Monaco's first-half performances provide another important theme. They have been ahead at the interval in each of their last five matches, including their previous three Ligue 1 fixtures and their last three away games. In addition, both teams scored during the second half in nine of Monaco's previous 15 away matches. Only two of their last 10 away league games ended without a goal, highlighting how rarely their road fixtures have remained scoreless.

Mohammed Salisu, Ansu Fati, Takumi Minamino and Folarin Balogun are listed as absent. Sadibou Sane and Eric Dier have formed the central defensive partnership, with Flavio Nazinho operating on the left. Lamine Camara remained with the club and has featured alongside Denis Zakaria in midfield. In attack, Paris Brunner has scored four goals in all competitions this season and arrives after registering two against Olympique Marseille.

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco Match Analysis

The central question is whether PSG can avoid another slow opening. Luis Enrique's side recovered impressively against Stade Rennais and LOSC Lille, but repeatedly falling two goals behind is a dangerous pattern before facing opponents who have led at half-time in five consecutive matches. Monaco's strong starts could therefore test the hosts immediately, especially with the visitors carrying a perfect league record into the Parc des Princes.

At the same time, PSG's long scoring sequence makes it difficult to overlook their attacking threat. They have scored in 31 straight matches and in 16 consecutive home fixtures, while Monaco have combined a perfect start with two clean sheets in Ligue 1. That contrast creates an intriguing contest between PSG's consistency in front of goal and a Monaco defence that has not yet conceded in the competition.

The broader numbers point towards an active match. The supplied probabilities give PSG a 62% chance of winning, compared with 21% for the draw and 17% for a Monaco victory. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 59%, while both teams to score stands at 53%. The head-to-head summary is also balanced, with PSG recording two wins, one draw and two defeats across the listed five meetings, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The latest encounter is recorded as a 1-3 result on March 6, 2026.

First-half trends may be the most compelling feature of this Ligue 1 preview. A goal before the break has been recorded in 19 of PSG's last 21 home matches, while Monaco have led at half-time in their last five fixtures. PSG themselves have been ahead at the interval in eight of their previous 12 home league games. With both teams showing repeated early-match patterns, the opening 45 minutes could be decisive in shaping this high-profile contest.

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 85% probability.

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco - Predictions

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Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Paris Saint Germain

Monaco

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

50%

5

50%

5

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

60%

6

40%

4

BetMines

Standings of Paris Saint Germain and Monaco in Ligue 1

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

1

Monaco

2

2

0

0

3:0

6

3

W
W
12

Paris Saint Germain

2

0

2

0

4:4

2

1

D
D
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco be played?
The Ligue 1 match between Paris Saint Germain and Monaco will be played on September 4, 2026 at 19:05.
Where will Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco be played?
The match between Paris Saint Germain and Monaco will be played at Parc des Princes, Paris - France
Who will referee Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
The referee for the match will be Jérôme Brisard.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco in the Ligue 1?
The odds are: Paris Saint Germain to win 1.42, draw 5.00, Monaco to win 6.00.
What are the betting odds for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Ligue 1?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.44 and Under 2.5 at 2.75.
Will both Paris Saint Germain and Monaco score in the Ligue 1?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.61, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.20.
What is the most likely correct score for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco in the Ligue 1?
The most likely correct score is 2-1, with odds of 9.
What are the head-to-head results between Paris Saint Germain and Monaco?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Paris Saint Germain and Monaco, Paris Saint Germain won 2 times, Monaco won 2, and 1 ended in a draw.

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