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Prediction published on Mar 4, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Mar 4, 2026 8:02 PM
The 25th round of Ligue 1 brings an exciting clash between Paris Saint Germain and Monaco, two sides that recently met in the Champions League playoffs. The match will take place at the Parc des Princes, where the league leaders aim to strengthen their position at the top before turning their attention to European duties. PSG currently sit first in the table, four points ahead of their nearest rival, and will be eager to maintain that cushion with another strong home performance. Monaco, meanwhile, are enjoying a resurgence and will look to continue their positive momentum as they chase a top-four finish.
Paris Saint Germain approach this fixture in excellent domestic form. They recently defeated Le Havre 0-1 and have collected three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five Ligue 1 matches. Over the course of the season, PSG have recorded 18 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, averaging 2.2 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per game. Their attacking consistency has been remarkable, with at least one goal scored in 19 of their last 20 home matches.
At the Parc des Princes, PSG have been particularly dominant. They have won at half time in their last six home league games and have not lost at half time in 19 of their last 21 matches overall. The second half often brings plenty of action, as over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second period in 18 of their last 20 home fixtures. This pattern highlights their ability to maintain intensity and find breakthroughs even late in matches.
With a strong home record and a deep squad, PSG remain the clear favorites. Their recent head-to-head record against Monaco also supports this, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in the last five meetings, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The last encounter between the two sides ended in a 2-2 draw, showing that while PSG dominate, Monaco can still pose a threat.
Monaco have rediscovered their rhythm in recent weeks. They come into this match after a 2-0 victory over Angers SCO and have posted three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five Ligue 1 outings. Over the season, their record stands at 11 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. This shows a team capable of scoring regularly but still vulnerable defensively.
On the road, Monaco’s performances have been mixed. Both teams have scored in the second half in 11 of their last 18 away matches, suggesting that their games often open up after the break. However, they have also experienced quieter outings, with under 0.5 goals recorded in two of their last ten away league matches. This inconsistency makes them unpredictable but also dangerous when their attack clicks.
Despite several absences, Monaco’s recent victories have boosted confidence. Their attacking line has shown efficiency, averaging 2.4 goals per game in their last five matches. The team’s resilience and ability to find goals in key moments could make them a challenging opponent for PSG, especially if they manage to exploit spaces on the counterattack.
This encounter promises to be one of the highlights of the Ligue 1 weekend. PSG’s attacking power and home advantage make them the favorites, but Monaco’s recent form suggests they won’t go down easily. The last head-to-head ended 2-2, and both sides have shown a tendency to produce high-scoring matches when they meet. PSG’s consistency in front of goal, combined with Monaco’s offensive resurgence, points toward another entertaining contest.
Statistically, PSG’s dominance at home is hard to overlook. They have won 10 of their 11 home league matches this season, often taking control early and maintaining pressure throughout. Monaco, however, have the attacking tools to trouble any defense, and their recent scoring record supports the idea that they can find the net even against the best teams.
Given the data, a competitive match with goals on both sides seems likely. PSG’s superior balance between attack and defense should ultimately make the difference, especially with their ability to score in both halves and maintain composure under pressure.
Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 67% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
9
1