Coming off two very different seasons, Paris Saint-Germain and Real Madrid face off in the semi-finals of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup with one clear objective: reaching the final on Sunday, July 13. The French side is chasing their fourth major trophy of the season after winning Ligue 1, the Coupe de France, and the UEFA Champions League. Real Madrid, underwhelming in both La Liga and the Champions League, are looking to secure an international title that could inject confidence and momentum ahead of the upcoming season. Luis Enrique’s men — with the former Barcelona player and manager undoubtedly emotionally invested in this clash — have met expectations so far, winning Group B and cruising through the knockout stages with victories over Inter Miami and Bayern Munich. The Parisians’ campaign has been nearly flawless, with the only blemish being a meaningless group-stage loss to Botafogo. They remain strong favorites to win this first expanded edition of the Club World Cup. Real Madrid entered the tournament with plenty of uncertainty. The managerial shake-up saw Xabi Alonso replace Carlo Ancelotti, and the late health scare involving Kylian Mbappe — who missed the group stage but returned for the closing minutes of the round of 16 clash against Juventus — didn’t help. However, Los Blancos quickly stabilized, topping Group H and eliminating Juventus and Borussia Dortmund in the knockout rounds. Given the pedigree and high motivation on both sides — not to mention the many recent Champions League encounters — this promises to be a high-intensity, hard-fought, and entertaining match with goals on both ends.

Paris Saint-Germain Recent Form and Key Stats

Paris Saint-Germain are enjoying a strong end to their season, having won nine of their last ten matches across all competitions, with the only loss coming against Botafogo (1-0) in their second group-stage match at the Club World Cup. Even then, Luis Enrique’s team dominated possession and were undone only by a counterattack.

In the quarter-finals, PSG convincingly defeated Bayern Munich 2-0 with goals from Doue in the 78th minute and Dembele in the 96th. The Parisians finished that match with nine men due to red cards to Pancho and Hernandez — both suspended for the Real Madrid game.

PSG have now kept three clean sheets in a row (six in their last seven matches). In this tournament, their record stands at four wins and one loss, with 12 goals scored (2.4 per game) and just one conceded over five matches.

Real Madrid Recent Form and Key Stats

Real Madrid also come into this match in solid form, unbeaten in their last eight matches with seven wins and a draw. More broadly, Los Blancos have lost only once in their last 13 games — a 4-3 defeat to Barcelona on May 11 in La Liga's Matchday 35.

In their most recent match, a thrilling quarter-final, Xabi Alonso’s side defeated Borussia Dortmund 3-2, despite finishing with ten men after Huijsen's red card. Madrid’s goals came from Gonzalo Garcia — now on four for the tournament — Fran Garcia, and Kylian Mbappe, who is particularly eager to face his former club.

The two goals conceded against Dortmund raise questions for Rudiger and the backline, especially after consecutive clean sheets in the prior rounds. However, the attack remains in top form, having scored three goals for the third time in the tournament. So far, Madrid’s Club World Cup campaign includes four wins and one draw, with 11 goals scored (2.2 per game) and four conceded.

Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid Prediction and Tactical Overview

The Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid prediction from BetMines suggests a thrilling encounter. Expect goals from both sides, with at least three total goals likely.

This is a clash between two attack-minded teams packed with talent capable of scoring at any moment. Both PSG and Real Madrid saw key goals from Dembele and Mbappe in the last round — their respective top scorers this season. Mbappe, in particular, will be fired up against his former club.

With both teams missing key defenders due to suspension — Pancho for PSG and Huijsen for Madrid — their replacements, Beraldo and Asencio, may struggle to provide the same defensive stability. This further boosts the probability of both teams finding the net.

Given the attacking firepower on display and recent defensive absences, the Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid prediction leans strongly toward "both teams to score" and "Over 2.5 goals."

• Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid Prediction by BetMines: Both teams to score - 64%
  
  
• Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid Prediction by BetMines: Over 2.5 Goals - 67%

Predicted Lineups Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid

PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN (4-3-3): Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Beraldo, Mendes; Joao Neves, Vitinha, Fanian Ruiz; Doue, Dembele, Kvaratskhelia. Manager: Luis Enrique

REAL MADRID (3-4-2-1): Courtois; Rudiger, Tchouameni, Asencio; Alexander-Arnold, Valverde, Arda Guler, Fran Garcia; Bellingham, Vinicius Junior; Mbappé. Manager: Xabi Alonso