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Prediction published on Aug 28, 2026 1:23 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Aug 28, 2026 1:23 PM
Paris host Nice at Stade Jean Bouin on Sunday, August 30, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 local time. Both teams enter the second round of the Ligue 1 season searching for their first victory after beginning the campaign with goalless draws. Paris were held 0-0 by Troyes, while Nice recorded the same result against Lorient. The hosts are currently 12th and the visitors 11th, but there is little to separate them after one league fixture. With neither side registering a shot on target more than once in the opening round and both defences keeping clean sheets, this meeting in Paris could be decided by small margins. Paris are aiming to respond to a five-game winless sequence, whereas Nice travel with one defeat across their latest five matches and a particularly modest scoring average.
Paris started their Ligue 1 campaign with a 0-0 draw away to Troyes on August 22. Liam Rosenior’s team were unable to secure all three points, but their defensive performance offered encouragement. Kevin Trapp kept a clean sheet, with Moustapha Mbow and Diego Coppola producing solid displays in front of him.
The wider form remains less convincing. Paris have recorded no wins, three draws and two defeats across their last five matches. During that period, they averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Their league record this season currently stands at one draw from one match, with no goals scored or allowed. In addition, five of their last 21 Ligue 1 games and four of their last 18 matches in all competitions have finished without a goal.
Paris ended the previous Ligue 1 campaign in 11th place and entered the new season with increased ambitions. However, they did not win any of their final four preparation matches and then had to settle for a point at Troyes. Their position of 12th after the opening round means that this home fixture offers an early opportunity to establish some momentum.
Pierre-Lees Melou is expected to remain an important presence in midfield, while Ilan Kebbal, Pablo Pagis and Lassine Sinayoko provide the hosts with attacking options. Rosenior will not have a full squad available, as Emmanuel Mbemba, Nhoa Sangui, Tuomas Ollila and Jonathan Ikoné are unavailable. Jean-Philippe Krasso is also considered uncertain for the match.
Nice also opened the league season with a goalless draw on August 22, sharing the points with Lorient. Olivier Pantaloni’s side were unable to turn their defensive control into a winning result, but the clean sheet continued a low-scoring trend. Nice have now seen each of their last two Ligue 1 matches finish with fewer than 0.5 total goals.
The visitors have collected one win, three draws and one defeat from their latest five matches. Their average of 0.6 goals scored per game illustrates the lack of attacking output during that sequence, although an average of only 0.4 conceded highlights their defensive resistance. Three of their last ten matches have contained no goals, as have two of their latest ten away fixtures. Nice have also failed to lead at half-time in their last 15 games.
After having to contest a relegation playoff to preserve their Ligue 1 status last season, Nice are seeking a less difficult campaign. Their opening draw leaves them 11th with one point, no goals scored and none conceded. Yehvann Diouf will attempt to register another clean sheet after shutting out Lorient.
Pantaloni has several absences to manage. Ali Abdi, Laurent Abergel and Morgan Sanson are unavailable, while Salis Abdul Samed and Hicham Boudaoui are also absent as they are set to leave. Moïse Bombito remains uncertain. Summer recruit Axel Witsel could make his first appearance in midfield, while the returning Elye Wahi is hoping to feature in attack alongside options such as Gauthier Hein and Sofiane Diop.
The evidence available before this Ligue 1 fixture points towards a cautious contest. Both clubs began the season with identical 0-0 scorelines, and each managed only one shot on target in the opening round. Paris can take confidence from their defensive display against Troyes, while Nice arrive with an average of just 0.4 goals conceded across their latest five matches.
The recent head-to-head record also slightly favors Paris. They are unbeaten across the two meetings included in the available summary, recording one victory and one draw while averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.5 conceded. The latest encounter ended in a 1-0 result on March 1, 2026. Those figures reinforce the possibility of another match in which clear scoring opportunities are limited.
Paris nevertheless have reasons to pursue the initiative at home. The match probabilities give them a 49% chance of winning, compared with 26% for the draw and 25% for a Nice victory. Their recent average of 2.2 goals conceded is a concern, but that weakness was not visible in the clean sheet at Troyes. Nice, meanwhile, have been difficult to break down but have averaged only 0.6 goals scored over five games and have not won at half-time in 15 consecutive matches.
The goals market is closely balanced, with Under 2.5 goals rated at 51% and Over 2.5 at 49%. Although the difference is narrow, the two opening goalless draws, the limited number of shots on target and Nice’s recent defensive numbers make a low-scoring outcome the more coherent conclusion. Paris may hold a slight overall advantage, but converting that edge into a comfortable win could prove difficult against opponents who have conceded very little lately.
Paris vs Nice prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Paris
Nice
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
4
6
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
2
8
6
4
3.5
5
5
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1