On Saturday, November 8, at the Ennio Tardini Stadium, Carlos Cuesta’s Parma will host Massimiliano Allegri’s AC Milan in a match that could prove decisive for both teams’ seasonal ambitions. The home side is desperate for a win, which has been missing in Serie A for over a month, but beating the Rossoneri—one of the most in-form teams in Italy—won’t be easy. A victory, however unlikely, would be a huge boost, given that the Gialloblù currently sit just one point above the relegation zone. The mood is completely different for AC Milan, unbeaten in their last ten matches and coming off a crucial win against AS Roma last weekend. After last season’s disappointing eighth-place finish, Allegri’s men seem to have turned the page and are once again among the main contenders for the Serie A title. For this reason, the Rossoneri will be aiming to return from Parma with all three points, heading into the international break still firmly in the Scudetto race. This clash promises to be anything but ordinary, featuring two sides with very different goals but the same desire to claim the full prize.

 

Parma's Recent Form and Key Stats

Last weekend, Parma suffered their second consecutive league defeat, losing 1–3 at home to Bologna. The Gialloblù took an early lead thanks to Adrian Bernabé’s first goal of the season but were later overwhelmed by the Rossoblù, who looked superior both in play and finishing.

It’s been a rough patch for Parma: in their last five league matches, they’ve failed to win, collecting just 2 draws and 3 losses, with an average of 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. After keeping clean sheets against Genoa and Como, the defense has started to show cracks, conceding 5 goals in the last two games.

In Serie A, Cuesta’s men currently sit in 16th place with 7 points (1 win, 4 draws, 5 losses), 5 goals scored (the worst attack in Serie A), and 12 conceded. They haven’t won at home in their last three (1 draw, 2 defeats), with their last home victory dating back to September 29—a 2–1 win over Torino.

 

AC Milan's Recent Form and Key Stats

In their latest Serie A match, AC Milan earned a vital 1–0 win over AS Roma thanks to a goal from Pavlovic, moving just one point off the top of the table. For the Rossoneri, it was their tenth consecutive positive result across Serie A and Coppa Italia, with their only defeat of the season coming on August 23 (1–2 vs Cremonese on Matchday 1).

Over the last five games, Milan’s record stands at 2 wins and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Among the key players driving the Rossoneri’s form is Rafael Leão, who has scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist in his last four appearances.

As expected at the start of the season, Massimiliano Allegri’s side currently sit 2nd in the table (level on points with Inter and Roma) with 21 points from 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeat, 15 goals scored, and 7 conceded. Away from home, Milan remain unbeaten this season, with 2 wins (against Lecce and Udinese) and 2 draws (against Juventus and Atalanta), scoring 6 and conceding just 1.

 

Parma vs AC Milan Prediction by BetMines

Based on the first ten rounds of Serie A, BetMines’ prediction clearly favors an AC Milan victory. The Rossoneri’s win probability stands at 51%, with a draw at 27% and a Parma success at 21%.

Milan approach this match with an impressive away record: Allegri’s men are unbeaten in their last nine Serie A away fixtures and also hold a strong head-to-head record. In the last ten meetings between the two clubs, Milan have won seven, drawn twice, and lost only once—the first-leg match of last season (2–1 for Parma).

Tactically, the Rossoneri may allow the home side to control possession, looking to strike on the counter through the pace and unpredictability of Leão, Saelemaekers, and Nkunku, who is expected to start given Gimenez’s injury absence. From the bench, Allegri can also rely on Pulisic, recently back from a long injury layoff.

On the other side, Cuesta’s Parma continue to struggle offensively, relying heavily on the aerial presence of Pellegrino, who has scored 2 league goals but will face a tough challenge against Milan’s defensive duo of Gabbia and Pavlovic—both strong in the air. Breaking through Milan’s backline and goalkeeper Mike Maignan, who already boasts 5 clean sheets and a penalty save against Dybala in the Roma match, will be anything but easy.

Given these factors, BetMines tips suggest betting on Under 2.5 goals (fewer than three total goals) and “both teams to score – No”, estimated at 55% and 52% probability, respectively.

 

Probable Lineups Parma vs AC Milan

PARMA (4-3-1-2): Suzuki; Delprato, Ndiaye, Valenti, Britschgi; Bernabè, Keita, Sorensen; Benedyczak; Cutrone, Pellegrino. Coach: Cuesta

AC MILAN (3-5-2): Maignan; Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic; Saelemaekers, Fofana, Modric, Ricci, Bartesaghi; Nkunku, Leão. Coach: Allegri