Parma host Bologna at Stadio Ennio Tardini on Saturday, November 7, in Serie A’s 11th round. Both teams arrive with signs of improvement: Parma have taken four points from their last two matches, while Bologna have won three league games in a row. The visitors have produced more goals across the first ten rounds, but Parma’s recent clean sheets and a long sequence of matches with fewer than four goals make this an intriguing test of their respective recoveries.

Parma’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Parma’s latest result was a 3-0 away win over Atalanta on November 2. It followed a 0-0 draw with Udinese and ended a four-match winless run. Gilardino, who replaced Cuesta, has therefore seen his side collect four points without conceding in their last two outings.

The wider picture is less convincing. Parma are 15th in Serie A with two wins, two draws and six defeats from ten matches. They have scored eight goals and conceded 15, averages of 0.8 scored and 1.5 allowed per game. Across their last five fixtures, they have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats, scoring 0.8 goals and conceding 1.6 per match.

Finding a consistent scoring rhythm remains a concern, particularly at home: Parma failed to score in their last two matches at the Tardini. Lontani, who has three goals this season, offers a positive note in attack. Gilardino also received an encouraging response from Sierro against Atalanta after trying him in Bernabé’s place.

Parma’s goal trends point towards controlled scorelines. Under 3.5 total goals have been recorded in each of their last 14 matches, including their last 12 in Serie A. At least one team has failed to score before half-time in their last 21 matches, although the second half has produced at least one goal in 18 of their last 20 league games.

Bologna’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Bologna visit Parma in ninth place, with four wins, two draws and four defeats after ten Serie A rounds. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 13, averaging 1.4 scored and 1.3 allowed per game. That gives them a clear advantage over Parma in goals scored so far, even if the two sides’ defensive totals are closer.

Their recent results are stronger still. Bologna have won four of their last five matches, losing once, and have averaged 2.2 goals scored over that span. A 2-1 victory over Monza on October 31 continued a run of three consecutive league wins. Under Palladino, who took over from Tedesco, Bologna have also won their last three away league fixtures.

Bernardeschi is Bologna’s leading scorer with three goals. The team’s improvement has come despite several absences: Emil Holm, Jay Enem and Lorenzo De Silvestri are unavailable, while Dallinga and Piccoli are in doubt. Recent matches have rarely remained goalless after the interval, with at least one second-half goal in Bologna’s last 13 Serie A games and their last 11 away matches.

Parma vs Bologna Match Analysis

Recent form gives Bologna a compelling case, particularly after three successive away league victories. Parma, however, come into this fixture with two straight clean sheets and a decisive win over Atalanta. Their challenge is to sustain that defensive improvement while adding to an attack that has averaged fewer than one goal per match this season.

The recent head-to-head record offers little separation: across the last five meetings, Parma and Bologna have each won twice, with one draw. Parma won the most recent encounter 1-0 on February 8, 2026, while Bologna won 3-1 on their previous visit to the Tardini. Home advantage has not settled these meetings consistently.

Bologna’s current scoring form makes Parma’s defensive progress especially important. At the same time, Parma’s sequence of 14 matches under 3.5 goals suggests that their games have tended to stay within a relatively narrow scoring range. Bologna may be the more productive side, but the contrast between their attacking momentum and Parma’s recent clean sheets sets up a contest in which chances could be valuable.

Parma vs Bologna prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 60% probability.